StormfanaticInd Posted January 8, 2023 Share Posted January 8, 2023 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
junior Posted January 8, 2023 Share Posted January 8, 2023 Those were interesting runs last night. Still subpar temperature support. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Hiramite Posted January 8, 2023 Moderators Share Posted January 8, 2023 1-8-23 0Z comparisons: The Euro has the tightest grouping. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted January 8, 2023 Admin Share Posted January 8, 2023 48 minutes ago, junior said: Those were interesting runs last night. Still subpar temperature support. I believe last night had a little bit of flight recon data. More flights today. I'm interested to see if they next few runs feature some meaningful shifts. [Quote] NOUS42 KNHC 071821 REPRPD WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL. 0120 PM EST SAT 07 JANUARY 2023 SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD) VALID 08/1100Z TO 09/1100Z JANUARY 2023 WSPOD NUMBER.....22-038 I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS 1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS. 2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE. II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS 1. FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 72 A. 09/0000Z B. AFXXX 07WSE IOP09 C. 08/1600Z D. 5 DROPS APPROXIMATELY 130 NM APART, FOLLOWED BY 25 DROPS APPROXIMATELY 60 NM APART, WITHIN AN AREA BOUNDED BY: 25.0N 125.0W, 25.0N 145.0W, 45.0N 145.0W, AND 45.0N 125.0W E. AS HIGH AS POSSIBLE/ 08/2030Z TO 09/0230Z F. THE FIRST FIVE DROPSONDES WILL BE RELEASED PRIOR TO 08/2030Z FOR THE 08/1800Z SYNOPTIC TIME. 2. FLIGHT TWO - NOAA 49 A. 09/0000Z B. NOAA9 08WSC IOP09 C. 08/2015Z D. 30 DROPS APPROXIMATELY 60 NM APART WITHIN AN AREA BOUNDED BY: 20.0N 140.0W, 20.0N 160.0W, 40.0N 160.0W, AND 40.0N 140.0W E. 41,000 TO 45,000 FT/ 08/2330Z TO 09/0230Z 3. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK: A USAF RESERVE WC-130J AIRCRAFT AND THE NOAA G-IV AIRCRAFT MAY FLY TWO CONCURRENT ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS MISSIONS OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN PACIFIC FOR THE 10/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME. 4. ADDITIONAL DAY OUTLOOK: A USAF RESERVE WC-130J AIRCRAFT AND THE NOAA G-IV AIRCRAFT MAY FLY ANOTHER TWO CONCURRENT ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS MISSIONS OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN PACIFIC FOR THE 11/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME. [/Quote] 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Hiramite Posted January 8, 2023 Moderators Share Posted January 8, 2023 Hopefully someone in the region can cash in on a possible thin ribbon of white in this marginal set-up. WPC, Day 5: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted January 8, 2023 Share Posted January 8, 2023 A further north track has allowed for somewhat more Jetstream interaction, still closed off in its early stages. But this would move it from no shot at cold air, to marginal shot at cold air😅 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted January 8, 2023 Share Posted January 8, 2023 6z ICON puts it at a GFS ish type track Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easton229 Posted January 8, 2023 Share Posted January 8, 2023 11 minutes ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said: 6z ICON puts it at a GFS ish type track Gross. Can’t ask for a more perfect track for southern Michigan and we can’t get any cold in the middle of January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easton229 Posted January 8, 2023 Share Posted January 8, 2023 And GFS goes all rain to join the others. On to the next one! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted January 8, 2023 Meteorologist Share Posted January 8, 2023 Approaching 2 months since I've been in Amarillo and already I'm pretty sure I've experienced more precip-less systems here than I have in my entire life. Half an inch of precip since October. But at least we still get some interesting weather from all this dryness. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted January 8, 2023 Admin Share Posted January 8, 2023 Things that make you go Hmm.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted January 8, 2023 Author Share Posted January 8, 2023 Euro... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted January 8, 2023 Author Share Posted January 8, 2023 Let's just lock in the NAV & be done with it 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted January 8, 2023 Author Share Posted January 8, 2023 JMA 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted January 8, 2023 Share Posted January 8, 2023 This one is starting to draw me in 👀 only to most likely face heartbreak 😭😭😒🙄 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted January 8, 2023 Share Posted January 8, 2023 (edited) The euro mean has a really good track for me. Just a matter of how fast we can get that cold air in Edited January 8, 2023 by StormfanaticInd 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SNOWBOB11 Posted January 8, 2023 Share Posted January 8, 2023 Does anyone have the EPS total snow map for around hr 132? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted January 8, 2023 Share Posted January 8, 2023 2 minutes ago, SNOWBOB11 said: Does anyone have the EPS total snow map for around hr 132? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SNOWBOB11 Posted January 8, 2023 Share Posted January 8, 2023 10 minutes ago, StormfanaticInd said: Thank you 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted January 8, 2023 Author Share Posted January 8, 2023 (edited) 18z GFS is a big hit for the Thumb area of Michigan Edited January 8, 2023 by MesoscaleBanding Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SNOWBOB11 Posted January 8, 2023 Share Posted January 8, 2023 (edited) 18z GFS went west. All rain for me now. Can’t say I’m surprised. NW shifts have been on all year. Still time but I don’t like the shifts we are seeing currently. Edited January 8, 2023 by SNOWBOB11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted January 8, 2023 Author Share Posted January 8, 2023 Just now, SNOWBOB11 said: 18z GFS went west.all rain for me now. Can’t say I’m surprised. NW shifts have been on all year. Still time but I don’t like the shifts we are seeing currently. Windshield wiper time for the models over the next 72 hours 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easton229 Posted January 8, 2023 Share Posted January 8, 2023 57 minutes ago, MesoscaleBanding said: 18z GFS is a big hit for the Thumb area of Michigan Brutal cutoff for the south eastern part of Michigan. My backyard has 2” while 20 miles away is 8”. Living on the edge once again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
junior Posted January 8, 2023 Share Posted January 8, 2023 Being aware of the SEMI screw zone, it makes sense the band will be south of that into OH or NW into Wisconsin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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