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December 29-January 3, 2022-23 | Tornado Outbreak | Day 1 & 2 Enhanced Risk


ClicheVortex2014

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1 minute ago, ClicheVortex2014 said:

 

Looks like they trimmed you out of the watch, so there's your answer haha.

That almost appears intentional!

 

Can't count out the Dry Line Convection, could decide to spin up and take the SPC by surprise. I don't think it would happen though.

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On 1/1/2023 at 5:49 PM, ClicheVortex2014 said:

RAP is showing Monday's parameters on a larger scale on Tuesday. Of course, we don't exactly know how convection will evolve tomorrow. Could be debris clouds/warm sector rain that messes things up.

floop-rap-2023010121.ehi03.us_se.gif

Still think tomorrow could be more active than today. Will be interesting to see what 0z HRRR does, but 23z HRRR has a huge warm sector. Half of Mississippi and Alabama has 65-70 dew points. Could also see storm mode more favorable than today. And as of right now, that bar is set pretty low.

jgQ0oqQ.png

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Northern Louisiana is waking up again. The reflectivity signature in the northern tornado warning is a pretty classic signature that hints at tornadic rotation in QLCSs. The "S" signature.
The southern one is a new embedded supercell.

image.thumb.png.04fc61a7cdcd26b66ce78d493bb3dda9.png

Edited by ClicheVortex2014
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