snowlover2 Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 Quote URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 2 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 335 PM CST Mon Jan 2 2023 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Northwest Arkansas Southeast Kansas Eastern Oklahoma * Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 335 PM until 1000 PM CST. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will intensify rapidly this afternoon over eastern Oklahoma and southeast Kansas. These storms will pose a risk of large hail, damaging winds, and a few tornadoes. Activity will spread eastward into western Arkansas this evening. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles east and west of a line from 30 miles north northwest of Chanute KS to 65 miles south southeast of Mcalester OK. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 1... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 23035. ...Hart Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted January 2, 2023 Author Meteorologist Share Posted January 2, 2023 (edited) Beautiful cold front in the panhandle. Quite a few lightning strikes which is dangerous given our drought. Edited January 2, 2023 by ClicheVortex2014 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 3 minutes ago, ClicheVortex2014 said: Impressive dryline here in the panhandle. Quite a few lightning strikes which is dangerous given our drought. I'm sure that there is going to be a nasty storm blowing up from the Dry Line soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 I'm feeling sickly right now, it feels like my gut has collapsed. This is likely pressure related. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hassaywx1223 Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 Boy the tornado watch covered this might not end up good tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted January 2, 2023 Author Meteorologist Share Posted January 2, 2023 2 minutes ago, Hassaywx1223 said: Boy the tornado watch covered this might not end up good tonight Low-level shear is going to increase in the coming hours. The developing convection in the new tornado watch is sluggish, but it's January. Also, RAP-generated skew-ts show skinny cape with mid-level dryness especially in Oklahoma. That explains the sluggish start. But that's a temporary setback. I'd imagine west Arkansas is going to recover via advection. East Texas is looking pretty unstable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted January 2, 2023 Author Meteorologist Share Posted January 2, 2023 (edited) The storms east of OKC are producing a lot of lightning so their updrafts aren't struggling The dominant supercell in N LA is producing an enormous amount of lightning. Appears to be taking off. Edited January 2, 2023 by ClicheVortex2014 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FortySixAnd32 Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 This looks like it means business!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FortySixAnd32 Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 Possible debris signature? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted January 2, 2023 Author Meteorologist Share Posted January 2, 2023 (edited) Yea that's a confirmed tornado. It's a lead supercell with clean inflow due to nothing being to its southeast. Now PDS warned Edited January 2, 2023 by ClicheVortex2014 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ElectricStorm Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 Looks like most of it is east of me now but maybe I can get a decent storm later. Not much going on up here so far but I think that could change here in the next couple hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FortySixAnd32 Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 2 minutes ago, ClicheVortex2014 said: Yea that's a confirmed tornado. It's a lead supercell with clean inflow due to nothing being to its southeast. Now PDS warned Looks rain-wrapped as well....scary!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FortySixAnd32 Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 Cycling or are we gonna have twins??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 1 minute ago, FortySixAnd32 said: Cycling or are we gonna have twins??? It looks like it's trying to go for Triplets! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 Found this Skew-T from the SPC Mesoanalysis map. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 Storms are really taking off now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted January 2, 2023 Author Meteorologist Share Posted January 2, 2023 (edited) 3 supercells are strengthening in E OK. Especially the one east of Tulsa. Question is how long they'll stay discrete/semi-discrete. Especially with the cold front advancing. Edited January 2, 2023 by ClicheVortex2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ElectricStorm Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 3 minutes ago, ClicheVortex2014 said: 3 supercells are strengthening in E OK. Especially the one east of Tulsa. Question is how long they'll stay discrete/semi-discrete. Yep two of those are tor warned now both are starting to look pretty dangerous Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 Did I miss the storm chances? Or could the Dry Line trigger the final wave? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FortySixAnd32 Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 Wicked line!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FortySixAnd32 Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 Downsville is about to take a direct hit!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FortySixAnd32 Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 It's night, this is making it worse Also, some Dry Line convection is trying to turn into storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted January 2, 2023 Author Meteorologist Share Posted January 2, 2023 Just now, Iceresistance said: Did I miss the storm chances? Or could the Dry Line trigger the final wave? Cold front caught up to the dryline in Oklahoma but not in Texas fwiw. But I think you're gonna cut it close to getting something. Eastern OK seems more of a lock for multiple rounds --- Max post-frontal gust of 44 so far here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted January 2, 2023 Author Meteorologist Share Posted January 2, 2023 7 minutes ago, Iceresistance said: Did I miss the storm chances? Or could the Dry Line trigger the final wave? 3 minutes ago, ClicheVortex2014 said: Cold front caught up to the dryline in Oklahoma but not in Texas fwiw. But I think you're gonna cut it close to getting something. Eastern OK seems more of a lock for multiple rounds --- Max post-frontal gust of 44 so far here. Looks like they trimmed you out of the watch, so there's your answer haha. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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