CrazyINwx Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 Interesting to note the GEFS is even further east. I 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 6z ICON 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hassaywx1223 Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 14 minutes ago, MesoscaleBanding said: 6z ICON Eastern Ohio really starting to pop up to higher totals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bigben89 Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 15 minutes ago, Hassaywx1223 said: Eastern Ohio really starting to pop up to higher totals From the ICON, ok. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Hiramite Posted December 20, 2022 Moderators Share Posted December 20, 2022 (edited) ‘ Morning. 0Z Low Party Tracker Tracks have really converged once the low goes sub 1000. Timing and strength also coming together as well. (I’ve omitted or smoothed low locations that were “misplaced” IMO.) Edited December 20, 2022 by Hiramite 3 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted December 20, 2022 Admin Share Posted December 20, 2022 2 minutes ago, Hiramite said: ‘ Morning. 0Z Low Party Tracker Tracks have really converged once the low goes sun 1000. Timing and strength also coming together as well. (I’ve omitted or smoothed low locations that were “misplaced” IMO.) You're doing a great job of shifting that Skittle snot swipe closer to East of my house. Thanks. 😄 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 As mentioned trend over last several winters has been to show amped NW track systems mid range only to watch them slide SE and progressively weaken as the event nears. Still time for more shifts maybe even back west but LOT put out WSWs kinda early. Maybe more for wind and wind chill then snow amts 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted December 20, 2022 Admin Share Posted December 20, 2022 3 minutes ago, Cary67 said: As mentioned trend over last several winters has been to show amped NW track systems mid range only to watch them slide SE and progressively weaken as the event nears. Still time for more shifts maybe even back west but LOT put out WSWs kinda early. Maybe more for wind and wind chill then snow amts Think the holiday travel has all the offices wanting to get an early word out. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Hiramite Posted December 20, 2022 Moderators Share Posted December 20, 2022 2 hours ago, CrazyINwx said: Did you realize the top is 06z and the bottom 00z? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CrazyINwx Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 6 minutes ago, Hiramite said: Did you realize the top is 06z and the bottom 00z? Nope. I was trying to do too many things at once. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted December 20, 2022 Author Share Posted December 20, 2022 6z euro, this thing is drying out like a raisin 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grace Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 1 hour ago, CrazyINwx said: Interesting to note the GEFS is even further east. I That's the best the GEFS has looked for me & several of us the last couple of days. I can't post...in a hurry, but 6z Euro a tad SE. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Hiramite Posted December 20, 2022 Moderators Share Posted December 20, 2022 1 hour ago, RadioWX said: Think they have to go Winter Storm Warning until actual blizzard conditions start. Not sure the reasoning, but my understanding is that is the new protocol. That's what I found in the NWS bulletin. Same thing holds true for Ice Storm Warnings....both are covered with a WS Watch until warnings are issued. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grace Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 Just now, Ohiobuckeye45 said: 6z euro, this thing is drying out like a raisin It is dryer. Cold air. Track better...but dryer. However, with the track being further SE I have a hunch the GOM moisture fetch will be better. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Hiramite Posted December 20, 2022 Moderators Share Posted December 20, 2022 3 minutes ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said: 6z euro, this thing is drying out like a raisin Kind of what I would expect in OH for such a track....unfortunately. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted December 20, 2022 Author Share Posted December 20, 2022 00z Compare Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted December 20, 2022 Author Share Posted December 20, 2022 1 minute ago, Hiramite said: Kind of what I would expect in OH for such a track....unfortunately. This is usually where all the "backside/post frontal" corrections take place. And sure enough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StLweatherjunkie Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 5 minutes ago, Grace said: It is dryer. Cold air. Track better...but dryer. However, with the track being further SE I have a hunch the GOM moisture fetch will be better. I'm sure there's a plume of Gulf moisture in here, but it seems like the Atlantic is where more of the moisture comes from: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Hiramite Posted December 20, 2022 Moderators Share Posted December 20, 2022 2 minutes ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said: This is usually where all the "backside/post frontal" corrections take place. And sure enough In the spirit of Christmas, maybe @StLweatherjunkie can do us a solid and gather up some of that wasted snow over Superior and bring it down here. 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted December 20, 2022 Author Share Posted December 20, 2022 6z Gefs 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWOhioChaser Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 Models been trying to screw majority of Ohio the whole time. Dry slot, drier storm, more rain, more progressive solutions, etc. Have had the feeling it’s been IL, IN, western MI storm the majority of the time tracking this thing. Hoping it can pick up more moisture if it digs to the Gulf more. But then we run the risk of warm sector storms gaining more moisture as well. hoping we can see more corrections east today as more runs have sampling 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted December 20, 2022 Author Share Posted December 20, 2022 Michigan suddenly looks the most consistent on all models now with the later ramp up, and over lake Erie vs lake Michigan Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWOhioChaser Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 (edited) 3 minutes ago, Hiramite said: In the spirit of Christmas, maybe @StLweatherjunkie can do us a solid and gather up some of that wasted snow over Superior and bring it down here. yeah, what’s up there. Moose, bears? They’re not going to appreciate the snow as much as we do. Stop being greedy wildlife. 😆 Edited December 20, 2022 by NWOhioChaser 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StLweatherjunkie Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 2 minutes ago, Hiramite said: In the spirit of Christmas, maybe @StLweatherjunkie can do us a solid and gather up some of that wasted snow over Superior and bring it down here. It's tough to get snow accumulation on the lakes until they're frozen 🤪 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ak9971 Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 ILN morning graphics posted below. Look at that shift on their guidance. First is this morning about an hour ago, second is yesterday. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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