Columbusbuckeye Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 47 minutes ago, RobB said: Especially as a kid. I didn't have to deal with disposal of the stuff nor the need to drive anywhere 🙂 Truth! 🙂 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bradjl2009 Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 8 minutes ago, bigben89 said: Should I expect to cut the 9.9 inches thru 129 hours for Pittsburgh in half or more than half, maybe by 9.9? LOL The Canadian and the GFS so far this morning have been promising IMO. Not as doomed as I was feeling when I went to bed last night. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StLweatherjunkie Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 3 minutes ago, easton229 said: It’s truly amazing how every single storm seems to hit SEMI with some type of dry slot. Even on the bigger storms there is always a prolonged period that SEMI drys out. Wonder if there’s science behind it geographically or we really are just that unlucky lol Lows are trying to mix up hot/cold air masses and the great lakes are a heat source. So I think lows try to get as much lake surface in the warm sector as the synoptic pattern allows. For SEMI in particular, I think the Wisconsin/Lake MI interface sets up a favorable baroclinic zone that draws lows farther west that then 'jump' to Lake Huron (north of you). As the synoptic pattern moves farther east, the East Coast becomes the more favorable baroclinic zone because Erie and Ontario are relatively small. This kind of screws SEMI in most situations 😕 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beaver56 Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 Didn't the 2004 Christmas Storm really change as it progressed closer to the event? I can remember it starting as a 3 to 6 incher and morphing into 20 plus in my area in about 48 hours. By no means am I say that is what is at stake here, but for some reason I remember that being the case. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Columbusbuckeye Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 18 minutes ago, BuckeyeGal said: It was 979 when I was looking but yep.. 967 later! 967 would really be something. I'm not sure I wish that upon everyone with Christmas coming up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easton229 Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 2 minutes ago, StLweatherjunkie said: Lows are trying to mix up hot/cold air masses and the great lakes are a heat source. So I think lows try to get as much lake surface in the warm sector as the synoptic pattern allows. For SEMI in particular, I think the Wisconsin/Lake MI interface sets up a favorable baroclinic zone that draws lows farther west that then 'jump' to Lake Huron (north of you). As the synoptic pattern moves farther east, the East Coast becomes the more favorable baroclinic zone because Erie and Ontario are relatively small. This kind of screws SEMI in most situations 😕 Thanks for the quick lesson! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jpfalcon Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 Just now, Columbusbuckeye said: 967 would really be something. I'm not sure I wish that upon everyone with Christmas coming up. Imagine explaining to children why Santa and his reindeer are flying down the street in the middle of the morning. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist Ingyball Posted December 19, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted December 19, 2022 At the surface the models have improved with the timing of the cold. The 500mb pattern just hasn't caught up yet to what will be seen at the surface. So I still expect to see that upper trough dig more. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow____ Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 Now I’m randomly thinking about all the Christmas decorations blowing around the neighborhood like projectiles. 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blitz Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 (edited) GFS definitely a little more amped with an easterly shift of about 350 miles (not insignificant). Fingers crossed this continues a little more. As wind and cold is a given, it would be nice for that wind to have something to blow around here. Edited December 19, 2022 by Blitz 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist Ingyball Posted December 19, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted December 19, 2022 In other news this may be the fastest I've seen a GEFS mean shrink for a storm in my area lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted December 19, 2022 Author Share Posted December 19, 2022 (edited) 6 minutes ago, Snow____ said: Now I’m randomly thinking about all the Christmas decorations blowing around the neighborhood like projectiles. yes, 8 foot frosty will not be making an appearance during Christmas 😞 I already had to buy him a new fuse because of the 20-30 MPH winds a couple days ago we had and accidentally forgot to unplug him Edited December 19, 2022 by Ohiobuckeye45 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FortySixAnd32 Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 6 minutes ago, Snow____ said: Now I’m randomly thinking about all the Christmas decorations blowing around the neighborhood like projectiles. And trampolines. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beaver56 Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 5 minutes ago, Snow____ said: Now I’m randomly thinking about all the Christmas decorations blowing around the neighborhood like projectiles. We have 100k lights. Trust me, the stress is real. I am one of those weirdos who waste time putting them out. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted December 19, 2022 Author Share Posted December 19, 2022 Just now, beaver56 said: We have 100k lights. Trust me, the stress is real. I am one of those weirdos who waste time putting them out. Just now, Ohiobuckeye45 said: yes, 8 foot frosty will not be making an appearance during Christmas 😞 I already had to buy him a new fuse because of the 20-30 MPH winds a couple days ago we had and accidentally forgot to unplug him lets talk hahahaha 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jpfalcon Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 2 minutes ago, Blitz said: GFS definitely a little more amped with an easterly shift. Fingers crossed this continues a little more. As wind and cold is a given, it would be nice for that wind to have something to blow around here. Not sure if it's east as it is just faster with the arctic front and associated energy. The low track still looks about the same if you plot it out from the 6z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grace Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 It's not about fast or slow. Here's the NAM, GFS, & GEM 12z. The differences are over Montana/N. Dakota. NAM closes it off fast & hence NW. GFS & GEM do not hence closes off later leading to further east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hassaywx1223 Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 Once again I still stand by if I can get 3-5 inches of snow and have a white Christmas that’s all that matters with 100+ days of storm chances left I’ll take it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncinthenext3 Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 Maybe we'll see the stars while the eye of this hurricane passes right over top of us. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beaver56 Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 (edited) 3 minutes ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said: lets talk hahahaha Not the best picture, but my house is in the red circle. It is about 2 acres worth. I need help! Edited December 19, 2022 by beaver56 4 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grace Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 11 minutes ago, Ingyball said: At the surface the models have improved with the timing of the cold. The 500mb pattern just hasn't caught up yet to what will be seen at the surface. So I still expect to see that upper trough dig more. I totally agree. With the tele's that alone makes since as well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Ohiobuckeye45 Posted December 19, 2022 Author Popular Post Share Posted December 19, 2022 (edited) 3 minutes ago, beaver56 said: Not the best picture, but my house is in the red circle. It is about 2 acres worth. I need help! This is incredible, now I have goals Edited December 19, 2022 by Ohiobuckeye45 3 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easton229 Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 If I’m allowed to pick what model to use, I vote for the CMC 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indygirl Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 10 minutes ago, beaver56 said: We have 100k lights. Trust me, the stress is real. I am one of those weirdos who waste time putting them out. Well, “you go, Clark!!” lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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