FortySixAnd32 Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 9 hours ago, Hiramite said: Back in the Accu Weather days, it was around this time we anxiously awaited the posting of the Brazilian Model. For some reason, it always looked good. This what you were talking about??? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Hiramite Posted December 19, 2022 Moderators Share Posted December 19, 2022 Just now, FortySixAnd32 said: This what you were talking about??? Welcome back. Nope, but similar. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easton229 Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 8 minutes ago, RobB said: He’s Doubling down on his more eastern thought than the modes are showing. Bold, but I like it since it means more snow for me lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 4 minutes ago, easton229 said: He’s Doubling down on his more eastern thought than the modes are showing. Bold, but I like it since it means more snow for me lol He shifted a bit west with his call but I like that he didn't constantly flip flop. Made his thoughts available and adjusted west as time progressed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FortySixAnd32 Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 (edited) 8 hours ago, easton229 said: Hopefully Bernie didn’t bet all his money on this one lol Me, @easton229 and Bernie. Don't be Bernie. Edited December 19, 2022 by FortySixAnd32 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FortySixAnd32 Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 8 hours ago, NeXrad said: this did more than cave it's like hold my beer EURO look what I can do 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 2 minutes ago, RobB said: He shifted a bit west with his call but I like that he didn't constantly flip flop. Made his thoughts available and adjusted west as time progressed. Yes, his original thoughts were Chicago was too far west let alone Dubuque IA. Heard 6Z Euro shifted east some and is less amped for second run in a row. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted December 19, 2022 Admin Share Posted December 19, 2022 3 minutes ago, Cary67 said: Yes, his original thoughts were Chicago was too far west let alone Dubuque IA. Heard 6Z Euro shifted east some and is less amped for second run in a row. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FortySixAnd32 Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 1 hour ago, CrazyINwx said: I'll have the #9. Super-sized please!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWOhioChaser Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 12 minutes ago, BuckeyeGal said: That looks depressing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jpfalcon Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 1 minute ago, NWOhioChaser said: That looks depressing Yep, looks like mid-30s and rain, a flash freeze, then 1-2" on top. Just enough to make things slippery, but the big story here is going to be the wind and cold. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin Popular Post BuckeyeGal Posted December 19, 2022 Admin Popular Post Share Posted December 19, 2022 Everyone needs to breathe. I understand the models have generally shifted everything West, and I know that they threw out some blockbuster options a few days ago that made many of us salivate. We know from past experience, though, that living and dying by every model run will only lead to heartache. And NOBODY needs heartache the week of Christmas. Focus on the fact that this is going to likely be a historic storm for many, that everyone in this sub-forum is going to see some kind of weather brilliance, and that it still looks like a White Christmas for a great deal of us. ..Uh, and that it's the middle of December and there will hopefully be plenty of these buggers to track. 🙂❤️ 3 3 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWOhioChaser Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 4 minutes ago, Jpfalcon said: Yep, looks like mid-30s and rain, a flash freeze, then 1-2" on top. Just enough to make things slippery, but the big story here is going to be the wind and cold. Yeah…13ABC saying gusts between 50-60 possible. Guess I’ll have to get the generator out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ak9971 Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 Euro looks a jog west if anything to be honest but it’s been within the same 75 mile radius for about 6 model runs now. I think a low track throw Norther Indiana is going to be the winner. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beaver56 Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 (edited) 48 minutes ago, RobB said: Thought he would stick to his guns? 😂 These people need to learn to chill until details are ironed out. That map sure as hell doesn't represent what his bullish predictions were yesterday. Edited December 19, 2022 by beaver56 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wnwniner Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 On 12/17/2022 at 2:19 PM, Wnwniner said: Bernie says we're in the bullseye 5 days out. What can go wrong? I mean, being the bullseye in this time frame has worked sooooooooooo well in the past. This aged well...we're now firmly in the "get excited about maybe a few inches of backside snow" camp... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 9 minutes ago, beaver56 said: Thought he would stick to his guns? 😂 These people need to learn to chill until details are ironed out. That map sure as hell doesn't represent what his bullish predictions were yesterday. I have no problem with it. It wasn't his final call and have no problem with them opining where they see things falling. Sometimes it works out. Waiting until it is but guaranteed (though in local conditions, nothing is guaranteed) is not useful either. As far as snow hopes dashed or not, one would think peeps would quit tracking digital snows so early 😊 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blitz Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 (edited) Looks like Bernie caved to the Euro, which he was insistent upon being wrong for the last three days. Edited December 19, 2022 by Blitz 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
junior Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 (edited) Euro has been the most consistent on a low in south MI. I don’t think it’s shown an eastern solution in a minute. It makes sense to ride the baroclinic zone there. Now that solution would still work for OH/IN if it gets wrapped up and stacked. Edited December 19, 2022 by junior 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryanmkay Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 Saw someone state earlier about getting generator ready.... From DTX afd: The latest 19.00Z ECMWF run has 75 knots at 925mb over Toledo and western Lake Erie at 24.00Z. Stated it earlier, but the main narrative should be about the impacts the strong winds would bring with falling snow during the holiday travel period and potential widespread power outages. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryanmkay Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 Also from DTX: It still appears that decent sampling of the exit region to the powerful upper level jet will not happen over the PACNW until 00Z Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beaver56 Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 19 minutes ago, RobB said: I have no problem with it. It wasn't his final call and have no problem with them opining where they see things falling. Sometimes it works out. Waiting until it is but guaranteed (though in local conditions, nothing is guaranteed) is not useful either. As far as snow hopes dashed or not, one would think peeps would quit tracking digital snows so early 😊 I agree with the opinions. The problem is that most of our general population can't decipher potential from reality. Sadly, honest forecasting simply doesn't pay as well as the hype machines because people love drama. I find it ironic he stated he would not update over the weekend and yet that is exactly what he did and is now changing his tune because of the weekend update he said he wasn't going to do. There are ways to notify and express caution without causing a sensationalized situation. Maybe not as extreme as other, but never the less still much of the same. Just my two cents. P.S. - People with social media accounts all need a PR rep to edit what they post. 😆 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIWeather Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 1 minute ago, beaver56 said: I agree with the opinions. The problem is that most of our general population can't decipher potential from reality. Sadly, honest forecasting simply doesn't pay as well as the hype machines because people love drama. I find it ironic he stated he would not update over the weekend and yet that is exactly what he did and is now changing his tune because of the weekend update he said he wasn't going to do. There are ways to notify and express caution without causing a sensationalized situation. Maybe not as extreme as other, but never the less still much of the same. Just my two cents. P.S. - People with social media accounts all need a PR rep to edit what they post. 😆 There are a few people/groups I can definitely think of this with 😂 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWsnowhio Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 (edited) 9 minutes ago, ryanmkay said: Saw someone state earlier about getting generator ready.... From DTX afd: The latest 19.00Z ECMWF run has 75 knots at 925mb over Toledo and western Lake Erie at 24.00Z. Stated it earlier, but the main narrative should be about the impacts the strong winds would bring with falling snow during the holiday travel period and potential widespread power outages. That’s wild. So we’re talking 75 knots at surface level?? Quite honestly, the wind/flash freeze/extreme cold is what I’ve been warning friends and family in Ohio about since Saturday. Told them snow totals won’t matter as much as those factors. And with the wind it’ll be hard to tell just how much falls anyhow. Edited December 19, 2022 by NWsnowhio 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryanmkay Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 Just now, NWsnowhio said: That’s wild. So we’re talking 75 knots at surface level?? Quite honestly, the wind/flash/freeze/extreme cold is what I’ve been warning friends and family in Ohio about since Saturday. Told them snow totals won’t matter as much as those factors. And with the wind it’ll be hard to tell just how much falls anyhow. Correct. At this point, with wind gusts that high and the freeze behind, my attention has been drawn much more to this aspect of it than the snow totals TBH. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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