Meteorologist Ingyball Posted December 19, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted December 19, 2022 1 minute ago, MesoscaleBanding said: I'm really having a hard time with this thing cutting so hard into such deep cold air with a powerful HP system pressing SE. 🤦♂️ My guess on what's happening is that the cold air moves south so quickly along the western High Plains that it causes the upper trough to tilt in the orientation that favors quick strengthening. On top of that there's a massive amount of energy on the backside of the trough allowing it to dig further on the west side creating this negative tilt type orientation. I think that scenario is definitely possible, but really depends on timing. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoroBuckeye Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 18 minutes ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said: 12z vs. 18z for reference, big time consolidation Vs 18Z GEFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 Utter insanity Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pghsnow Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 11 minutes ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said: Cyclones stopped updating but the end result is out so...spoiler alert 😅 Wow those are brutally bad for WPa. Only one purple. 37 are pretty much nothing. The rest maybe 2-3 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 Just now, StormfanaticInd said: Utter insanity Cincy goes from 46F to 3F in 6 hours. 2 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 Just now, Pghsnow said: Wow those are brutally bad for WPa. Only one purple. 37 are pretty much nothing. The rest maybe 2-3 inches. The EPS is like "NO SNOW FOR YOU FOR CHRISTMAS!" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 Just now, MesoscaleBanding said: Cincy goes from 46F to 3F in 6 hours. If caught outside during the transition you could be in serious trouble 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 Just now, MesoscaleBanding said: Cincy goes from 46F to 3F in 6 hours. My area is the same general thing, in just 6 hours as well. This is the definition of a Extreme Flash Freeze Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 Just now, StormfanaticInd said: If caught outside during the transition you could be in serious trouble I do want to be, except being prepared for it! 😆 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 Just now, Iceresistance said: My area is the same general thing, in just 6 hours as well. This is the definition of a Extreme Flash Freeze I've read stories about the flash freeze that happened in the blizzard of 78. Water puddles froze instantly 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeXrad Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 2 minutes ago, MesoscaleBanding said: Cincy goes from 46F to 3F in 6 hours. glad I got the furnace replaced last week they wanted to do sometime this week I was like NOPE..what's coming I need this now the old one will not survive what is coming lol 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 Just now, NeXrad said: glad I got the furnace replaced last week they wanted to do sometime this week I was like NOPE..what's coming I need this now the old one will not survive what is coming lol Mine was replaced and upgraded this past summer 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoroBuckeye Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 I keep telling myself, we’re not even in the long range of the NAM… still plenty of time either way. I do generally feel that storms tend the weaken on the models as we get closer so there’s that going from an Eastern shift. However, it also feels like all the models picked up on this early on which makes me think the signal is strong. Hmmmmm ☺️ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted December 19, 2022 Author Share Posted December 19, 2022 (edited) Cranks up big time over Indiana and S.MI hence the mean pop to green (sub 1000) Edited December 19, 2022 by Ohiobuckeye45 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 2 minutes ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said: Cranks up big time over Indiana and S.MI hence the mean pop to green (sub 1000) Some very deep members in there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SOMOSnow Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 (edited) 15 minutes ago, Ingyball said: My guess on what's happening is that the cold air moves south so quickly along the western High Plains that it causes the upper trough to tilt in the orientation that favors quick strengthening. On top of that there's a massive amount of energy on the backside of the trough allowing it to dig further on the west side creating this negative tilt type orientation. I think that scenario is definitely possible, but really depends on timing. Yes please. Edited December 19, 2022 by SOMOSnow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeXrad Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 1 minute ago, Iceresistance said: Mine was replaced and upgraded this past summer mine was over 25 yrs old it was the original furnace when the house was built in 1995.....still fired up and heated at the beginning of this cold season but it didn't want to shut off and would keep the blower running I had to manually shut it off ....I was like I think it's time to replace it lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
junior Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 Dang all but one of those EPS members in Michigan and Lakes are under 980mb. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 33 minutes ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said: Cyclones stopped updating but the end result is out so...spoiler alert 😅 e14 is onto something.... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DJKuo Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 For kicks and giggles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pghsnow Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 I've reached the desperate stage. Looking for that one glimmer of hope. Riding the CFS... 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bradjl2009 Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 19 minutes ago, Pghsnow said: Wow those are brutally bad for WPa. Only one purple. 37 are pretty much nothing. The rest maybe 2-3 inches. I only counted about 20 that were not at least in the blue for my area of Pittsburgh. I think one thing to also keep in mind with this is that the temperatures with this on the Euro are extremely low, so even if there would only be 2 inches if the ratios were 10 to 1, it will have to be accounted for that ratios in the end for this event will probably be 15 to even 20 to 1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted December 19, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted December 19, 2022 (edited) Edited December 19, 2022 by ClicheVortex2014 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 This is funny, has anyone ever seen a 1040 mb LP in the Arctic before? 😆 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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