Wnwniner Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 (edited) 31 minutes ago, BuckeyeGal said: It is definitely a different setup with the strength (and potentially the speed) of the cold. 21 minutes ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said: WAA will ALWAYS be out ahead of the low (in reference an approaching storm from the SW here), but timing at which cold air pulls in after, is what's different here. No one out east of the low will stay all snow, but being right under the low this go round will yield almost an immediate changeover to snow, typically its takes a while for cold air to filter back in Got it-this storm is stronger which is why its quicker to changeover, thus the higher than normal amounts for those of us east of the modeled path. Thank you! Edited December 19, 2022 by Wnwniner 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easton229 Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 I like seeing this already this far out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SNOWBOB11 Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 Does anyone have the 18z euro? I believe it only goes to hr 90 but still wanted to see if any changes from 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted December 19, 2022 Author Share Posted December 19, 2022 18z eps coming in with major clustering now, clustering is also west of the mean 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted December 19, 2022 Admin Share Posted December 19, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easton229 Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 5 minutes ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said: 18z eps coming in with major clustering now, clustering is also west of the mean Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted December 19, 2022 Author Share Posted December 19, 2022 (edited) Stuck at 96 but I'm not sure I want to see the rest anyways lol but will post once updated Edited December 19, 2022 by Ohiobuckeye45 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted December 19, 2022 Author Share Posted December 19, 2022 12z vs. 18z for reference, big time consolidation 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 (edited) 9 minutes ago, BuckeyeGal said: Oh come on! It stops just as the fun gets started! 🙄 Edited December 19, 2022 by Iceresistance 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted December 19, 2022 Author Share Posted December 19, 2022 Cyclones stopped updating but the end result is out so...spoiler alert 😅 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted December 19, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted December 19, 2022 18z GFS has an 18mb pressure rise in 3 hours for Amarillo... Wind chills here could get down as low as -30 here btw. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted December 19, 2022 Author Share Posted December 19, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 Geez - getting close to 'congrats Minneapolis' territory on the EPS 🤣 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist Ingyball Posted December 19, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted December 19, 2022 1 minute ago, ClicheVortex2014 said: 18z GFS has an 18mb pressure rise in 3 hours for Amarillo... Wind chills here could get down as low as -30 here btw. We're starting to look at the potential for -40 wind chills here if we get snow. Gonna be brutal 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 Just now, MesoscaleBanding said: Geez - getting close to 'congrats Minneapolis' territory on the EPS 🤣 The 0-33 comeback? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SOMOSnow Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 (edited) 18z Euro ensemble mean 10:1 ratios through noon Christmas Eve or hour 144. Looking at comparison to 12z, it looks an average of about 20 to 30 miles South for everyone, basically. In terms of the 2+ inch zone on South extent. Let's keep that trend going! Edited December 19, 2022 by SOMOSnow 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SOMOSnow Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 1 minute ago, MesoscaleBanding said: Geez - getting close to 'congrats Minneapolis' territory on the EPS 🤣 Overall, tho, it's about 25 miles or so South of 12z for South extent of 2+ inch zone pretty much everywhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 THIS WILL BE A SEVERE BLIZZARD FOLKS. JUST A MATTER OF WHERE 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 I'm really having a hard time with this thing cutting so hard into such deep cold air with a powerful HP system pressing SE. 🤦♂️ 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 Eps looks better for snow here in Indy. I am getting very concerned/excited about this situation though 😱 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted December 19, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted December 19, 2022 2 minutes ago, Ingyball said: We're starting to look at the potential for -40 wind chills here if we get snow. Gonna be brutal Lost my winter coat in the process of moving so I think I'm gonna need to go to the store. I just finished my E shifts today... the other new hire is gonna have the E shift on Thursday, so he's gonna get the worst of it in the morning launch. I'll be doing the 0z launch but it won't be as bad. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 Just now, StormfanaticInd said: Eps looks better for snow here in Indy. I am getting very concerned/excited about this situation though 😱 I'm already prepared for the worst of the storm because around 50% of the time, it is for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SOMOSnow Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 2 minutes ago, MesoscaleBanding said: I'm really having a hard time with this thing cutting so hard into such deep cold air with a powerful HP system pressing SE. 🤦♂️ Agree fully Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeXrad Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 1 hour ago, Snow____ said: You know a major winter storm/blizzard for the Ohio valley/Great Lakes doesn’t mean Kentucky gets more than 2 inches.. what he said is absolutely true. yea I got the clarification of blizzard criteria, thanks! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellWX Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 2 minutes ago, MesoscaleBanding said: I'm really having a hard time with this thing cutting so hard into such deep cold air with a powerful HP system pressing SE. 🤦♂️ Bernie Rayno said mid week last week that it didn’t make sense for the modeling to be so far east when the set up was there for it to come west, and he was right based on what made sense. Again, it doesn’t make sense it keeps tracking this far west with the arctic HP coming into the storm, so have to think it makes sense to suppress this SE some in the coming days. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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