junior Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Interesting runs last night. And then the 06z GFS comes in with flurries 😂 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easton229 Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Since I don’t like the GFS and love the euro, can I just say the GFS is wrong and the euro will be the exact storm? 😂 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mulaman984 Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 2 minutes ago, easton229 said: Since I don’t like the GFS and love the euro, can I just say the GFS is wrong and the euro will be the exact storm? 😂 Yes you can. 100% allowed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CrazyINwx Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Just a few of the GEFS of the agree with the operational GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bigben89 Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 39 minutes ago, easton229 said: Since I don’t like the GFS and love the euro, can I just say the GFS is wrong and the euro will be the exact storm? 😂 GFS is all cold and no snow. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted December 15, 2022 Author Share Posted December 15, 2022 (edited) Complete cave by the euro then we lose the GFS...it can never be easy...LOL. the only one that's had a bit of consistency is the CMC. The euro is showing what the 12z cmc had Edited December 15, 2022 by Ohiobuckeye45 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CrazyINwx Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 4 minutes ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said: Complete cave by the euro then we lose the GFS...it can never be easy...LOL. the only one that's had a bit of consistency is the CMC. The euro is showing what the 12z cmc had I'd rather have the Euro and CMC on my side than the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Hiramite Posted December 15, 2022 Moderators Share Posted December 15, 2022 6 minutes ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said: Complete cave by the euro then we lose the GFS.. I see we have lost the GFS (for now), but don't see the Euro cave. What am I missing...maybe its too early for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mulaman984 Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 (edited) 6 minutes ago, Hiramite said: I see we have lost the GFS (for now), but don't see the Euro cave. What am I missing...maybe its too early for me. He’s saying the euro caved in a good way to the more robust solutions, but then the 06Z op gfs lost it. It def can never be easy lol. Edited December 15, 2022 by Mulaman984 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted December 15, 2022 Author Share Posted December 15, 2022 (edited) 8 minutes ago, Hiramite said: I see we have lost the GFS (for now), but don't see the Euro cave. What am I missing...maybe its too early for me. Euro essentially went from a frontal passage to a Miller B Edited December 15, 2022 by Ohiobuckeye45 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Hiramite Posted December 15, 2022 Moderators Share Posted December 15, 2022 4 minutes ago, Mulaman984 said: He’s saying the euro caved in a good way to the more robust solutions, but then the 06Z op gfs lost it. It def can never be easy lol. 1 minute ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said: Euro essentially went from a frontal passage to a Miller B Oh, I thought you meant it in a bad way. Thx. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted December 15, 2022 Author Share Posted December 15, 2022 Same players might still be on the field, but they've drastically changed positions and the ridging in the west has caught up to the gfs/cmc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wnwniner Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Gonna be a long week of model watching.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted December 15, 2022 Author Share Posted December 15, 2022 (edited) Models are now lockstep together on western ridging during this time frame. I feel like things are interesting now, although I was partial to the clipper only idea where there was no potential for surging warm air out ahead of the system, euro would allow that and as we get closer we all know how that goes Edited December 15, 2022 by Ohiobuckeye45 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mulaman984 Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 (edited) Those who know Scott - pretty solid (no hype). So I find it interesting he posted the euro. Edited December 15, 2022 by Mulaman984 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easton229 Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 15 minutes ago, Mulaman984 said: Those who know Scott - pretty solid (no hype). So I find it interesting he posted the euro. Might as well start getting the word out now since that’s a huge travel day for Christmas. Can already see people complaining about hyping something up though if it doesn’t verify. Double edged sword. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted December 15, 2022 Author Share Posted December 15, 2022 UK at 168, stronger further east ridge in the west gives me a slight bit more confidence this wouldn't turn in to a full blown lakes cutter like prior solutions. Euro for comparison Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted December 15, 2022 Author Share Posted December 15, 2022 EPS, keep in mind in the north this is including the on going storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 3-4" in time for Christmas....I'd take it in a heartbeat. Kind of like the snow we had for Christmas of 2020. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted December 15, 2022 Author Share Posted December 15, 2022 (edited) 6 minutes ago, JayPSU said: 3-4" in time for Christmas....I'd take it in a heartbeat. Kind of like the snow we had for Christmas of 2020. yup....I would much rather take the 3-4'' of fluff the unphased clipper solutions were showing rather than rolling the dice on a 6''+ with the prospect of being rear ended by WAA out ahead and clinging to the always over modeled "backside snow".......but I guess we don't really have a say haha Edited December 15, 2022 by Ohiobuckeye45 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted December 15, 2022 Author Share Posted December 15, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Hiramite Posted December 15, 2022 Moderators Share Posted December 15, 2022 31 minutes ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said: I see the Ensemble Mean is 10:1 which is probably going to be pretty conservative with these temps. What is the ratio for the above chart? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mulaman984 Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 12 minutes ago, Hiramite said: I see the Ensemble Mean is 10:1 which is probably going to be pretty conservative with these temps. What is the ratio for the above chart? Agreed. It won’t be 10:1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pghsnow Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mulaman984 Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 (edited) This is interesting to me, because he essentially doesn’t feel this will be a coastal event. He said this yesterday, and alludes to it as well in some of the subtweets. Edited December 15, 2022 by Mulaman984 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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