NWOhioChaser Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 37 minutes ago, easton229 said: Never fails that the eastern edge of Macomb, Wayne, and Monroe counties in SEMI get a quarter of the rest of MI. But even then, 9” would be amazing. I’m trying to reserve myself that Lucas county will be in a general 1-3” zone. Energy isn’t even sampled yet, so there’s so much time to watch things unfold. A white Christmas with 1” on the ground is my lowest expectation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 In case it was not posted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 GEFS mean 24-hr precip: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easton229 Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 2 minutes ago, NWOhioChaser said: I’m trying to reserve myself that Lucas county will be in a general 1-3” zone. Energy isn’t even sampled yet, so there’s so much time to watch things unfold. A white Christmas with 1” on the ground is my lowest expectation. I will accept nothing less than the 2’ the GFS is showing 😝 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWOhioChaser Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 18 minutes ago, junior said: Someone's gonna get dryslotted wherever that low briefly closes off Looks like Western to North central Ohio is a constant in the models so far. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow____ Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 Well the 12z suite so far has been fugly imby lol. And I actually put a little weight in it if it’s taking in that recon data. Plenty of time left though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 GEFS mean snowfall (10:1) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 Take it for what it's worth... 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CrazyINwx Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 I’m not sure what he’s trying to say. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIWeather Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 Just now, CrazyINwx said: I’m not sure what he’s trying to say. I think what he is trying to say is that the ensembles do not support the OP at this point as far as what it is showing with where the low is and the amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 Just now, CrazyINwx said: I’m not sure what he’s trying to say. Basically, they are thinking the Op run is way too amped, too soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RadioWX Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 1 minute ago, CrazyINwx said: I’m not sure what he’s trying to say. I take it as he thinks the GFS 12z is over amped and thus too far NW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryanmkay Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 I’m sitting in Temperance (extreme SE MI) I’ve seen this end one of 2 ways…we end up in the bullseye and get dry slotted or it goes just a touch NW and we end up with 34° cold rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easton229 Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 Cmon Euro, show me something good! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jpfalcon Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 7 minutes ago, ryanmkay said: I’m sitting in Temperance (extreme SE MI) I’ve seen this end one of 2 ways…we end up in the bullseye and get dry slotted or it goes just a touch NW and we end up with 34° cold rain. We've had about one storm per year in these parts that hits hard, typically later in the winter season (February). It's still way too far out to get excited about anything. Models have historically had a very difficult time handling setups like this. Tuesday evening things will probably get sorted. In the meantime to me everything else is just noise regarding track and intensity. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 I think the Euro should pop a coastal just to mess with us. 😊 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin Sentinel Posted December 18, 2022 Admin Share Posted December 18, 2022 1 minute ago, JayPSU said: I think the Euro should pop a coastal just to mess with us. 😊 I literally just wrote this in the other thread: “I think something to keep an eye on: that artic boundary pushing thorough is a classic baroclynic boundary. Coast should watch for a spin up." Clarification: in addition to what happens in the midwest. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWOhioChaser Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 (edited) 1 hour ago, MesoscaleBanding said: West she goes...have painfully seen this a million times over the years. The eastern OV members need that HP to bear down a bit more, ugh. But hey, aren't we Ohioans getting use to the pre-Christmas torchy rain events?😂 At least it’s a storm that will happen literally at the beginning of winter. 2+ months to track after it departs! That being said, many of us are overdue for a White Christmas. Edited December 18, 2022 by NWOhioChaser 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin Sentinel Posted December 18, 2022 Admin Share Posted December 18, 2022 So... I'm bummed my area will not be pounded by this, BUTTTT I hope you all look like Buffalo did. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pghsnow Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 What time does the Korean come out? I need some hope here in WPa... 😁 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIWeather Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 Fire up the Euro! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 1 minute ago, CIWeather said: Fire up the Euro! Me: Sir! The Euro is ready! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beaver56 Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 Euro is going to south and east. 😂 True forecasting here, no wishcasting. Well, maybe a small amount. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidMichiganWx Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 Bernie going live in a few minutes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
junior Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 No major structural changes through hr 78. Some small nudges; ridge out west a bit more prompt, tpv has a tad less influence, and our storm is a tad stronger. Gonna be another juicy run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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