StormfanaticInd Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 47 minutes ago, junior said: UK also nodding to the GFS this run. High impact blizzard potential is growing with each passing run 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Columbusbuckeye Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 (edited) This storm definitely has my attention. It’s too early to take it as gospel, but it’s getting within the range where we need to start to take it serious. Someone is going to get one hell of a snowstorm. Buckle up! Edited December 18, 2022 by Columbusbuckeye 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rickrd Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 (edited) Prelim observation of 0z Euro 500 mb has the beast coming east IMO. Edited December 18, 2022 by Rickrd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow____ Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 Looking at radar and seeing what’s happening at Orchard Park right now upsets me 😂😂😂 embedded yellow meaning some very heavy maybe even congestive snowfall. Oh what could have been. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 Not much difference from the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow____ Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 Just now, snowlover2 said: Not much difference from the Euro. Not at all. Gonna hit the sack everyone. Goodnite Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CrazyINwx Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 The EURO is the outlier, imo, at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 Just now, CrazyINwx said: The EURO is the outlier, imo, at this point. Wish i had a nickel for every time we said that and it was right. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIWeather Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 1 minute ago, CrazyINwx said: The EURO is the outlier, imo, at this point. I would agree with you. Gives western MI as the jackpot zone. Just now, snowlover2 said: Wish i had a nickel for every time we said that and it was right. If this isn't the truth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted December 18, 2022 Author Share Posted December 18, 2022 (edited) For a 970 MB low the ecm sure is dry (syntopically speaking, without lake enhancement) Edited December 18, 2022 by Ohiobuckeye45 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 The euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheBlizzardOf1978 Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 000 FXUS63 KIND 180740 AFDIND Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Indianapolis IN 240 AM EST Sun Dec 18 2022 Thursday through Saturday(Potential Winter System)... Latest guidance continues to signal towards the potential for an impactful low pressure system to pass through the Ohio Valley sometime between Thursday morning and Friday. With that said, there is still significant variability amongst both ensemble members and various deterministic runs. *************************************** Differences in Deterministic Solutions: *************************************** First, lets discuss the deterministic runs. The last few GFS runs have done a better job of representing the expected very anomalous cold sector within this system. This along with a gradual shift westward of the upper level ridge axis over the western CONUS has allowed for solutions closer to the expected conceptual model discussed in previously (see below). This leads to increased confidence that a deep low pressure system will develop over the Great Lake or Ohio Valley late next week. There will still be a significant spread in the snowfall maxima over the next several runs amongst all deterministic models, of which leads to plenty of uncertainty on snowfall expectations Thursday and Friday. One trend of note is a slight delay in pressure depletion as the low tracks west to east. This is likely due to the lack of true lee cyclogenesis, and with organization of dynamic forcings becoming more aligned later in its life cycle. This will be something to watch over the next several days to see if this trend continues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pros3lyte Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 1 hour ago, snowlover2 said: Holy crap that gradient in SEMI. I’m assuming that’s a result of dry slotting. I expect nothing less Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pghsnow Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pghsnow Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pghsnow Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pghsnow Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 Each of the 4 at 84. Still pretty big differences. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pghsnow Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 i 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easton229 Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 I won’t get sucked into the GFS, I won’t get sucked into the GFS, I won’t get sucked into the GFS… 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
junior Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 (edited) 4 hours ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said: For a 970 MB low the ecm sure is dry (syntopically speaking, without lake enhancement) You can thank the disturbance/coastal in front of it for stealing some moisture. Great runs last night. GFS nudges back west. Edited December 18, 2022 by junior Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Hiramite Posted December 18, 2022 Moderators Share Posted December 18, 2022 Blues make an appearance.... Quote 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Hiramite Posted December 18, 2022 Moderators Share Posted December 18, 2022 6Z GEFS. Just one frame, still quite a bit of spread but a cluster starting to show up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ak9971 Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 4 hours ago, StormfanaticInd said: The euro No way this would actually verify, that’s insanity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now