MesoscaleBanding Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 Good ol' Henry already throwing around the 'B' word... 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 6 minutes ago, MesoscaleBanding said: 6z GEFS hints at a track up the Apps with a transfer to the coast... Buried - bump... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pghsnow Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 ICON Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bigben89 Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 13 minutes ago, MesoscaleBanding said: Good ol' Henry already throwing around the 'B' word... Henry with the 100% guaranteed jinx! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SOMOSnow Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 (edited) Just dipping in from the long range thread. Really wish we could blow up a huge Christmas week storm/series of storms and all of us get a white Christmas . Edited December 14, 2022 by SOMOSnow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted December 14, 2022 Author Share Posted December 14, 2022 24 hour gaps of the CMC totals. yikes. 😞 you know a solution is good.....when your disappointed that its so good because its so un probable 1 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted December 14, 2022 Author Share Posted December 14, 2022 GFS is even amazing, not as expansive for other states though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beaver56 Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 3 minutes ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said: GFS is even amazing, not as expansive for other states though And honestly, way more believable. Not that it will happen, but a lot better chance than the CMC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easton229 Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 4 minutes ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said: GFS is even amazing, not as expansive for other states though Ah, the ol southern Michigan screw zone. Winter is officially back! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted December 14, 2022 Author Share Posted December 14, 2022 (edited) I think this has ALOT to do with the last several runs of the GFS for this storm from setting up the big trough through the plains initially Edited December 14, 2022 by Ohiobuckeye45 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist Ingyball Posted December 14, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted December 14, 2022 12z GFS dialed back the +PNA some making it more in line with the previous GEFS some. Still think models are too quick to trend positive with the PNA. It won't happen until after the storm next week so I'm still favoring a suppressed pattern with a storm diving into Texas and then moving northeast after that. Models always underestimate how fast that cold air spills southward in the Plains and end up too far north and east at this range. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted December 14, 2022 Author Share Posted December 14, 2022 similar GEPS view, doesn't have the op so the mean is more smoothed out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
junior Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 Last night's 0z GEPS had a couple good members but especially a 948mb low on Lake Erie. 12z Euro coming in better than 0z for sure. Gonna be a long time tracking if we keep this up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted December 14, 2022 Author Share Posted December 14, 2022 yeah I throw the Euro in the dud category as a FROPA, not on the same page as CMC/GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidMichiganWx Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 My first post of the year - this storm will be the one. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SNOWBOB11 Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 Here’s some 12z GEFS members. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Hiramite Posted December 14, 2022 Moderators Share Posted December 14, 2022 2 hours ago, junior said: Last night's 0z GEPS had a couple good members but especially a 948mb low on Lake Erie. That would be quite the storm to say the least, lol. But what the hell, records are made to be broken, right? FWIW…. As a comparison the Jan ‘78 blizzard hit 957mb in Cleveland. Here are some non-tropical low pressure records in the region: *LOWER 48 STATES: 952 mb (28.10”) Bridgehampton, New York on 3/3/1914 MIDWEST: 955.2 mb (28.21”) Big, Fork, Minnesota on 10/26/2010 OHIO VALLEY: 956 mb (28.23”) Mount Clemens, Michigan 1/26/1978 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 About time for a classic 18z GFS troll job to get the hype machine roaring😃 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted December 14, 2022 Author Share Posted December 14, 2022 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
junior Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 (edited) Not surprised at the differences at h5 ha.. won't be no CMC this run for sure. Edited December 14, 2022 by junior Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted December 14, 2022 Author Share Posted December 14, 2022 once again ridge stronger to the west, cold arrives faster so prevents the look of the euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted December 14, 2022 Author Share Posted December 14, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted December 14, 2022 Author Share Posted December 14, 2022 (edited) GFS reintroduces the 1060+ solutions HP shortly after Edited December 14, 2022 by Ohiobuckeye45 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted December 14, 2022 Author Share Posted December 14, 2022 the UK at 168 looks to be more in tune with the idea this is northern stream dominant and acts mostly as a clipper 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 Snow or no, safe to say that Christmas will not be balmy this year.... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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