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December 21st-24th, 2022 | Plains/MW/GL/OV Winter Storm


Ohiobuckeye45

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Last two SREF's (3 & 9Z).  Some up, some down.  Still quite a bit of spread in the members.

Last one for west of IN, maybe another for IN, OH & MI.

 

3Z & 9Z SREF update.(also includes, 15Z, 21Z,  3Z, 9Z)

Toledo- 5.9/4.6/4.8/3.9   Clev-8.9/6.6/6.7/5.9   Akron/Canton-4.0/2.7/2.5/2.3   Y-town-4.4/2.8/2.5/1.9  

Marion (N.of C-bus)-4.8/3.4/4.1/4.0   Columbus- 2.5/1.8/2.4/2.5   Sidney OH- 4.5/3.9/5.3/5.1  

Dayton(N)- 2.9/3.3/4.5/3.9   Hamilton (N.Cincy)- 2.0/2.5/3.5/3.0  Mt.Vernon OH- 5.9/3.6/4.4/3.6 

Detroit (Lions!)- 7.1/5.6/6.6/4.7   Indy- 5.7/6.0/5.9/4.8    Fort Wayne, IN- 7.8/6.7/6.4/5.5

Pittsburgh- 1.0/1.0/1.4/0.8   Covington KY- 2.0/2.5/3.4/2.8   St. Louis – 6.6/6.7/4.7/5.6   

Columbia MO- 7.9/6.9/5.7/6.7    Peoria- 9.8/7.3/?/6.2    Springfield IL- 8.5/7.3/5.8/6.0     

Chicago (ORD)- 10.8/9.2/7.5/7.5

Wichita- 2.3/1.7/2.3/1.6    Twin Cities- 13.1/6.5/x/x      Marquette- 22.2/22.3/22.1/19.1

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8 minutes ago, RadioWX said:

BAM doing a live update.  Says HRRR starting to show a neg tilt which is shifting track some and slowing down overall.   Snow amounts trending up a bit for IN/Eastern OH (if correct).

Latest HRRR is real nice for eastern SEMI and the thumb

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2 minutes ago, BoroBuckeye said:

Huge differences on the 12Z HRRR for the Toledo area on how long it actually snows.  
 

Also, looking at 9AM relative to actual radar, looks like a lot of precipitation is underestimated.

 

Good or bad differences? 😄

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Blizzard warning confirmed! Roughly 2 inches so far with 3-5 more through 1 AM tonight then another 5-20 between 1 AM tonight and 7 PM Saturday ... Adds up to 10-27 storm total 😍

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Marquette MI
411 AM EST Thu Dec 22 2022

MIZ005-222200-
/O.UPG.KMQT.WS.A.0007.221223T0000Z-221225T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KMQT.BZ.W.0002.221223T0600Z-221225T0000Z/
/O.EXT.KMQT.WW.Y.0037.000000T0000Z-221223T0600Z/
Marquette-
Including the cities of Gwinn and Marquette
411 AM EST Thu Dec 22 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST FRIDAY...
...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM FRIDAY TO 7 PM EST
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...For the Blizzard Warning, blizzard conditions expected.
  Total two day snow accumulations of 5 to 20 inches from Friday
  through Saturday. Winds gusting as high as 45 mph. For the
  Winter Weather Advisory, snow. Additional snow accumulations of
  3 to 5 inches with locally higher amounts.

* WHERE...Marquette County.

* WHEN...For the Blizzard Warning, from 1 AM Friday to 7 PM EST
  Saturday. For the Winter Weather Advisory, until 1 AM EST
  Friday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. Areas of
  blowing snow will significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous
  conditions will impact multiple morning and evening commutes.
  Gusty winds could bring down tree branches. The cold wind chills
  as low as 20 below zero could result in hypothermia if
  precautions are not taken.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Travel should be restricted to emergencies only. If you must
travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded,
stay with your vehicle.

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

&&

$$

 

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4 minutes ago, ryanmkay said:

Yes, it is in line with the 06z GFS. Just paints a strip SW/NE from Defiance to Detroit of 6" + in some areas. 

I see that now thanks! Would be nice to have that verify, I just still question the amount of dry air that will come with the snow

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7 minutes ago, StLweatherjunkie said:

Blizzard warning confirmed! Roughly 2 inches so far with 3-5 more through 1 AM tonight then another 5-20 between 1 AM tonight and 7 PM Saturday ... Adds up to 10-27 storm total 😍

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Marquette MI
411 AM EST Thu Dec 22 2022

MIZ005-222200-
/O.UPG.KMQT.WS.A.0007.221223T0000Z-221225T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KMQT.BZ.W.0002.221223T0600Z-221225T0000Z/
/O.EXT.KMQT.WW.Y.0037.000000T0000Z-221223T0600Z/
Marquette-
Including the cities of Gwinn and Marquette
411 AM EST Thu Dec 22 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST FRIDAY...
...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM FRIDAY TO 7 PM EST
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...For the Blizzard Warning, blizzard conditions expected.
  Total two day snow accumulations of 5 to 20 inches from Friday
  through Saturday. Winds gusting as high as 45 mph. For the
  Winter Weather Advisory, snow. Additional snow accumulations of
  3 to 5 inches with locally higher amounts.

* WHERE...Marquette County.

* WHEN...For the Blizzard Warning, from 1 AM Friday to 7 PM EST
  Saturday. For the Winter Weather Advisory, until 1 AM EST
  Friday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. Areas of
  blowing snow will significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous
  conditions will impact multiple morning and evening commutes.
  Gusty winds could bring down tree branches. The cold wind chills
  as low as 20 below zero could result in hypothermia if
  precautions are not taken.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Travel should be restricted to emergencies only. If you must
travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded,
stay with your vehicle.

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

&&

$$

 

Must be nice living near a natural snow maker 😅

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8 minutes ago, StLweatherjunkie said:

Blizzard warning confirmed! Roughly 2 inches so far with 3-5 more through 1 AM tonight then another 5-20 between 1 AM tonight and 7 PM Saturday ... Adds up to 10-27 storm total 😍

 

5-20"? What the...

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