Moderators Hiramite Posted December 21, 2022 Moderators Share Posted December 21, 2022 (edited) CLE's 3:45PM snowmap has increased a bit since the previous version. Edited December 21, 2022 by Hiramite 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 Last 5 runs of the GEFS...Notable cluster emerging in southern Indiana as opposed to the far north cluster that has slowly eroded. If that southern cluster turns out to be the correct track, I'd think it would make its way up the I-71 corridor & make things pretty interesting for the NW half of Ohio. The ULL basically follows that same path as well. 3 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWOhioChaser Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 Ross Ellet from 13ABC released an update a few minutes ago. Sounds like 3-4” is his latest thinking for Toledo. Mentioning 1)Wind 2)cold and 3) snow in that order are the threats. So really nothing new on the update, but it seems that he’s not buying the higher amounts GFS shows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 https://twitter.com/NWSILN/status/1605697218559606784?s=20&t=drl37eCId-N9sDkEVJH09w Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gerb131 Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 (edited) hoping for a wwa out of pbz next update surrounded currently how come I don’t have a fancy supporter tag lol Edited December 21, 2022 by Gerb131 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted December 21, 2022 Admin Share Posted December 21, 2022 1 minute ago, Gerb131 said: hoping for a wwa out of pbz next update surrounded currently how come I don’t have a fancy supporter tag lol If you, or anyone else donated and you don't have the tag. Message me and I'll take care of it. It's not automated, and you can't always tell. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gerb131 Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 it’s nbd it’s the least I could do I don’t know what I’d do without squiggly lines Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
junior Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 19 minutes ago, MesoscaleBanding said: Last 5 runs of the GEFS...Notable cluster emerging in southern Indiana as opposed to the far north cluster that has slowly eroded. If that southern cluster turns out to be the correct track, I'd think it would make its way up the I-71 corridor & make things pretty interesting for the NW half of Ohio. The ULL basically follows that same path as well. Notice the stronger coastal - one of the reasons this thing is moisture starved.. Oh well.. I just hope whatever snow we get can last until Sunday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 1 minute ago, junior said: Notice the stronger coastal - one of the reasons this thing is moisture starved.. Oh well.. I just hope whatever snow we get can last until Sunday. Well, it definitely won't melt. I guess it could all blow away though! 😂 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
junior Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 Just now, MesoscaleBanding said: Well, it definitely won't melt. I guess it could all blow away though! 😂 I agree. The sun angle is probably around its lowest this time of year so melt/evaporation should be minimal and instantly glacier up anyways with these temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist Ingyball Posted December 21, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted December 21, 2022 really impressive. Despite the snow this will be a system to remember. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SOMOSnow Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 I'm about 200 feet South of a Winter Storm Warning. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 (edited) 4 minutes ago, SOMOSnow said: I'm about 200 feet South of a Winter Storm Warning. Springfield, MO is This is more like a "BRUH" moment here. Edited December 21, 2022 by Iceresistance 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
junior Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 We usually see these headlines in Jan/Feb from infamous PV drops. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 If I understand the blizzard warning criteria correctly, I'm not sure how this general area doesn't get upgraded...🤷🏻♂️ 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 2 minutes ago, MesoscaleBanding said: If I understand the blizzard warning criteria correctly, I'm not sure how this general area doesn't get upgraded...🤷🏻♂️ It's probably just shy of a Blizzard Warning for now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 (edited) 5 minutes ago, Iceresistance said: It's probably just shy of a Blizzard Warning for now. Based on the criteria, why? Quote Blizzard Warnings are issued for frequent gusts greater than or equal to 35 mph accompanied by falling and/or blowing snow, frequently reducing visibility to less than a quarter mile for three hours or more Edited December 21, 2022 by MesoscaleBanding Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted December 21, 2022 Admin Share Posted December 21, 2022 Don't think this was posted. 2 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted December 21, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted December 21, 2022 Got up to 61 today. Front is in NW KS now, and SW NE is down to almost 0 degrees 3 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUWx2 Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 2 minutes ago, BuckeyeGal said: Don't think this was posted. GFS says Scioto Valley screw zone. RGEM says Scioto Valley sweet spot. *chefs kiss* 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FortySixAnd32 Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 5 minutes ago, BuckeyeGal said: Don't think this was posted. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grace Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 Paducah NWS added this in its discussion: "Our latest snowfall forecast comes in close to 2 inches most areas for snowfall, give or take. Could be a little less or a little more. When we looked at hourly rates in the models and compared that to residence time, these forecast amounts seem reasonable. Some of the deterministic guidance is higher, and that is somewhat concerning. But given the system speed, not sure we can crank out quite that much QPF. We will see. Ratios will rapidly get higher as the cold air deepens, which will help." So they are sticking with advisory by splitting the dry hi-resolution models this morning with the deterministic models. If I were a betting man I'd say 0z hi-resolution will have more qpf than 12z. I'm not saying that they'll have as much as the deterministic models but that they will increase from their 12Z output. It's quiet common. If I'm wrong it won't be the 1st time. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 Gefs still looks solid 😳. I don't know what to believe lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cperry29 Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 @BuckeyeGal Any National Blend of Models runs recently? I can’t keep track of what’s been posted TIA 🙂 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted December 21, 2022 Admin Share Posted December 21, 2022 4 minutes ago, cperry29 said: @BuckeyeGal Any National Blend of Models runs recently? I can’t keep track of what’s been posted TIA 🙂 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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