Moderators Popular Post Hiramite Posted December 21, 2022 Moderators Popular Post Share Posted December 21, 2022 Before I forget, "hats off" to anyone (public service, law enforcement, utility workers, medical, EMS, etc) that has to go out and work this weekend regardless of the weather. I don't know how many we have on here, but thank you! 4 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWsnowhio Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 I'm just gonna walk away and let that 12z GFS live rent-free in my head for a few hours while I run pre-holiday errands (i.e. - get liquor and visit the cigar lounge). 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist MidwestWX Posted December 21, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted December 21, 2022 -5 and 3/4 mile visibility at MSP... never too cold to snow! Mesoscale Discussion 2054 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1033 AM CST Wed Dec 21 2022 Areas affected...Southeast South Dakota...far northwest Iowa...southern Minnesota into far northwest Wisconsin Concerning...Heavy snow Valid 211633Z - 212030Z SUMMARY...The potential for heavy snowfall rates between 1-2 inches per hour is expected to increase through the late morning and early afternoon from the mid Missouri River Valley to the upper Mississippi River Valley. DISCUSSION...Regional radar mosaics from the past 1-3 hours show an elongated zone of increasing reflectivity values from eastern SD to southern MN. This is likely in response to strengthening isentropic ascent in the 925-700 mb layer within a broad warm frontal zone draped across the region. This mesoscale ascent is augmenting more broad, synoptic lift ahead of an approaching shortwave trough over the northern Plains, and is supporting an increase in coverage of moderate, to at times heavy, snowfall rates per latest surface observations and regional web cams. Latest guidance suggests that this trend should continue through at least early afternoon as the synoptic low continues east/southeast and saturation of the lowest 1-2 km continues. Forecast soundings indicate that much of the low/mid-level ascent coincides with a ~100 mb deep dendritic growth zone, which will favor efficient snow production and the potential for heavy snowfall rates around 1 inch per hour. The current warm advection regime over eastern SD/southern MN will likely support periods of broken snow bands through the early afternoon (which appears probable based on latest reflectivity trends), and this may yield localized higher snowfall rates between 1-2 inches/hour. The approach of the mid-level cold front later this afternoon may maintain the potential for localized banding via frontogenetical processes. ..Moore.. 12/21/2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GRR Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 1 minute ago, GRR said: I believe those are issued out of the Chicago NWS! It's Porter County...lake effect snow could be huge! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryanmkay Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 Not sure if anyone else saw this, but this is insane. Can't remember the last time we had a Heavy Freezing Spray warning. Also, up to 19 foot waves would be crazy to witness. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
junior Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 It’s gonna be cool seeing all the lakeshore pics of ice accumulation. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted December 21, 2022 Author Share Posted December 21, 2022 (edited) I'm not sure what the hold up is on WWA around here, WSW is off the table. With being a holiday weekend you know a WWA would still go up even with a handful of snow showers given the wind, might as well just throw it up now and adjust the wording as needed Edited December 21, 2022 by Ohiobuckeye45 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 ILN extends the WSW. Quote URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Wilmington OH 1212 PM EST Wed Dec 21 2022 INZ058-059-066-073-074-OHZ045-046-053>056-060>063-070>072-077- 220115- /O.NEW.KILN.WS.A.0005.221223T0000Z-221223T2200Z/ /O.NEW.KILN.WC.A.0001.221223T0600Z-221224T0900Z/ Fayette IN-Union IN-Franklin IN-Ripley-Dearborn-Union OH-Delaware- Clark-Madison-Franklin OH-Licking-Preble-Montgomery-Greene- Fayette OH-Butler-Warren-Clinton-Hamilton- Including the cities of Connersville, Liberty, West College Corner, Brookville, Batesville, Milan, Versailles, Lawrenceburg, Aurora, Marysville, Delaware, Springfield, London, West Jefferson, Plain City, Columbus, Newark, Eaton, Camden, Dayton, Kettering, Beavercreek, Fairborn, Xenia, Washington Court House, Hamilton, Middletown, Fairfield, Oxford, Mason, Lebanon, Springboro, Wilmington, Blanchester, and Cincinnati 1212 PM EST Wed Dec 21 2022 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON... ...WIND CHILL WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...For the Winter Storm Watch, combination of snow, blowing snow, and wind possible. Total snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches possible. Winds could gust as high as 45 mph. For the Wind Chill Watch, dangerously cold wind chills possible. Wind chills as low as 30 below zero. * WHERE...Portions of East Central and Southeast Indiana and Central, Southwest and West Central Ohio. * WHEN...For the Winter Storm Watch, from Thursday evening through Friday afternoon. For the Wind Chill Watch, from late Thursday night through late Friday night. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Patchy blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the Friday morning commute as well as holiday travel. Gusty winds could bring down tree branches and cause power outages. The dangerously cold wind chills could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 10 minutes. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Temperatures will drop sharply in the matter of a few hours during Thursday night, rapidly falling well below freezing, leading to the potential for a flash freeze. This will cause travel conditions to rapidly deteriorate. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newbomb Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 7 minutes ago, Hiramite said: Before I forget, "hats off" to anyone (public service, law enforcement, utility workers, medical, EMS, etc) that has to go out and work this weekend regardless of the weather. I don't know how many we have on here, but thank you! I’m on duty Friday. Fingers crossed that people stay home. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted December 21, 2022 Admin Share Posted December 21, 2022 Winter Storm Watch baby. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ak9971 Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 ILN also moved the top end up to 3”, IIRC their graphics this morning only indicated just over an inch. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 The watch that was already in place is now a warning. Quote URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Wilmington OH 1212 PM EST Wed Dec 21 2022 INZ050-OHZ026-034-035-042>044-051-052-220115- /O.UPG.KILN.WS.A.0004.221223T0200Z-221223T2200Z/ /O.NEW.KILN.WS.W.0005.221223T0000Z-221223T2200Z/ /O.NEW.KILN.WC.A.0001.221223T0600Z-221224T0900Z/ Wayne-Hardin-Mercer-Auglaize-Darke-Shelby-Logan-Miami-Champaign- Including the cities of Richmond, Kenton, Ada, Celina, Coldwater, Wapakoneta, St. Marys, Greenville, Sidney, Bellefontaine, Troy, Piqua, Tipp City, and Urbana 1212 PM EST Wed Dec 21 2022 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THURSDAY TO 5 PM EST FRIDAY... ...WIND CHILL WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...For the Winter Storm Warning, combination of snow, blowing snow, and wind expected. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 4 inches. Winds gusting as high as 50 mph. For the Wind Chill Watch, dangerously cold wind chills possible. Wind chills as low as 30 below zero. * WHERE...Portions of East Central Indiana and West Central Ohio. * WHEN...For the Winter Storm Warning, from 7 PM Thursday to 5 PM EST Friday. For the Wind Chill Watch, from late Thursday night through late Friday night. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the Friday morning commute as well as holiday travel. Gusty winds could bring down tree branches and cause power outages. The dangerously cold wind chills could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 10 minutes. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Temperatures will drop sharply in the matter of a few hours during Thursday night, rapidly falling well below freezing, leading to the potential for a flash freeze. This will cause travel conditions to rapidly deteriorate. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted December 21, 2022 Author Share Posted December 21, 2022 (edited) 6 minutes ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said: I'm not sure what the hold up is on WWA around here, WSW is off the table. With being a holiday weekend you know a WWA would still go up even with a handful of snow showers given the wind, might as well just throw it up now and adjust the wording as needed HA! good timing, but clearly in this case they've "re defined" what a WSW actually is due to the severity of the winds situation and not wanting to use a blizzard warning Edited December 21, 2022 by Ohiobuckeye45 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 Winter storm warning now for central Indiana 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FortySixAnd32 Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 1 minute ago, snowlover2 said: The watch that was already in place is now a warning. 1 inch and 5 mph changes a watch to a warning???? I'm not buying it in this situation. I think that's very petty on ILN's part. Not for my storm hopes, but for safety's sake!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 1 minute ago, FortySixAnd32 said: 1 inch and 5 mph changes a watch to a warning???? I'm not buying it in this situation. I think that's very petty on ILN's part. Not for my storm hopes, but for safety's sake!! I'm sure it's just the combo of everything. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted December 21, 2022 Author Share Posted December 21, 2022 Just now, FortySixAnd32 said: 1 inch and 5 mph changes a watch to a warning???? I'm not buying it in this situation. I think that's very petty on ILN's part. Not for my storm hopes, but for safety's sake!! They really had no choice but to redefine criteria for a WSW this event, they probably felt a WWA was too lax but a blizzard warning too agressive. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FortySixAnd32 Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 Just now, Ohiobuckeye45 said: They really had no choice but to redefine criteria for a WSW this event, they probably felt a WWA was too lax but a blizzard warning too agressive. I'm not looking for the blizzard warning. I just think it should be warning level material for the public's awareness towards safety....especially when 1 county West only has a 1 inch difference and 5 mph difference... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted December 21, 2022 Admin Share Posted December 21, 2022 Don't look a gift horse in the mouth, people. Been a long freaking time since we've lit up with watches and warnings of the winter type. lol. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted December 21, 2022 Author Share Posted December 21, 2022 1 minute ago, FortySixAnd32 said: I'm not looking for the blizzard warning. I just think it should be warning level material for the public's awareness towards safety....especially when 1 county West only has a 1 inch difference and 5 mph difference... could be because that western cutoff is still up in the air 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indygirl Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 I can’t copy it here but emergency management for Hamilton county Indiana just issued travel advisory! entire state under warning .** Facebook 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist Ingyball Posted December 21, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted December 21, 2022 Nice surprise here 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Hiramite Posted December 21, 2022 Moderators Share Posted December 21, 2022 As of 12:30 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted December 21, 2022 Admin Share Posted December 21, 2022 Just now, Ingyball said: Nice surprise here Makes up (a bit) for the drying up crap! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Hiramite Posted December 21, 2022 Moderators Share Posted December 21, 2022 Issued mid-morning. 2 and 4" probabilities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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