StLweatherjunkie Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 Pretty wicked stuff showing up on the NAEFS probability of extremes too, that's a BIG area of >90%! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jenny Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 2 minutes ago, SOMOSnow said: 0z RGEM Kuchera. Slightly improved imby. Lake Erie's gonna get hammered! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Central Illinois Posted December 21, 2022 Moderators Share Posted December 21, 2022 (edited) 3 minutes ago, SOMOSnow said: 0z RGEM Kuchera. wind gusts that run are still consistent with what most models have been showing around 40-55mph across the MW/OV Edited December 21, 2022 by Central Illinois 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted December 21, 2022 Author Share Posted December 21, 2022 2 minutes ago, Central Illinois said: I would gladly take that ILX mentioned when it comes ratios looking at around 14:1 was the average Sounds much more reasonable than what models are struggling with, I just took a random county output in C IL from the RGEM showing .28 frozen and kuchera showing more than 20:1 to 6.1", 15:1 is an easier Calcualtion than 14:1 though haha 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Hiramite Posted December 21, 2022 Moderators Share Posted December 21, 2022 4 minutes ago, Pros3lyte said: Really weird. Could it be an elevation thing? The glacial ridge in SE MI in Oakland county does stuff like that alot 2 minutes ago, cperry29 said: Yeah that was the thought earlier. Not sure though given the freezing cold temps. 🤷🏻♂️ Temps are around 10 degrees at that hour 57. It seems the model is slow to transition to snow (based on it's 2m temps) along the entire length of Ohio, but really slow in that area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grace Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 (edited) FV3 Hi-resolution Edited December 21, 2022 by Grace 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cloudy_jake Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 I know it's probably too early for the sref plumes as they could/more than likely will go down. But mine are sitting at 3-1/2 inches at the moment. So whatever snow we get is gonna be hard to measure so I'll measure bare ground and a 6 inch drift. Then call it 3 inches if we get enough snow. 😂 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easton229 Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 Just now, Grace said: FV3 Hi-resolution Wouldn’t shock me since as soon as it gets cold, the dry slot shows up in SEMI lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ak9971 Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 00z ICON really sticking to its guns on having the low cross through Central Ohio. Even a touch south this run, but totals are pretty low but spreads the wealth among everyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Columbusbuckeye Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 I’m wondering if we’ll see a snow squall warning with the front as it passes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Central Illinois Posted December 21, 2022 Moderators Share Posted December 21, 2022 its not often we get wind gusts like this with a winter system across the MW/OV Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easton229 Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 3 minutes ago, Central Illinois said: its not often we get wind gusts like this with a winter system across the MW/OV 64 mph in Port Huron 😳 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted December 21, 2022 Author Share Posted December 21, 2022 (edited) Here Of course this thing rolls through in the dead of the night too so what snow does fall won't be visible and over by daybreak, it'll just be what's able to blow around Edited December 21, 2022 by Ohiobuckeye45 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow____ Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 GFS with the snow squall to end all snow squalls 😂😂😂 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 Pretty crazy how most models are showing a squall line type feature at the changeover. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 1 minute ago, Snow____ said: GFS with the snow squall to end all snow squalls 😂😂😂 Which stops at CMH and then resumes just past it...lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beaver56 Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 Just now, JayPSU said: Which stops at CMH and then resumes just past it...lol So bizarre. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow____ Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 Just now, snowlover2 said: Pretty crazy how most models are showing a squall line type feature at the changeover. And all of our accumulation comes for that squall basically and I’m sure we’ll changeover right away and get exactly what it says because we’ve never had to worry about changing over in time 😂😂 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow____ Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 A 31 degree temperature drop in 3 hours… crazy if it happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWsnowhio Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 GFS still hanging on to wrap-around though hour 72 though. So there's that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted December 21, 2022 Author Share Posted December 21, 2022 The only model still showing this 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherJim Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 26 minutes ago, ak9971 said: 00z ICON really sticking to its guns on having the low cross through Central Ohio. Even a touch south this run, but totals are pretty low but spreads the wealth among everyone. Watch this be right and I only get an inch just a day or so with double digits in reach. Crazy weather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted December 21, 2022 Author Share Posted December 21, 2022 It's back again, another model another run haha. Same warm nose Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Central Illinois Posted December 21, 2022 Moderators Share Posted December 21, 2022 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted December 21, 2022 Author Share Posted December 21, 2022 GFS is the new NAM, and not in any sort of endearing way lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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