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December 22-24, 2022 | Winter Storm


Penn State

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A little 12z ensemble roundup.. Some of the EPS members are just eye-popping. There were some sub 950mb lows around hour 198. Just the number of sub 980mb members is impressive. Does anyone have the ensemble eye candy maps? Just for fun.. would love to see what craziness is on there. 

GEFS

floop-gefsens-2022121512.sfcmslp-meanmem.conus.gif.8e42b1707c2223c48285cf7e29a2aa92.gif

CMCE 

floop-cmceens-2022121512.sfcmslp-meanmem.conus.gif.402ef3a3c7f16a1233aa4b2a0cfef0d6.gif

EPS

floop-epsens-2022121512.sfcmslp-meanmem.conus.gif.4ce15a1d992ef7213ab6026cae5fb429.gif

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Just now, mikeysed said:

18Z Euro goes BOOM

 

[img]https://m1o.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2022121518/213/snku_acc.us_ne.png[/img]

I would love to see it.. but unfortunately I don’t have the subscription. Doesn’t the 18z Euro only go out to 90 hours?

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1 hour ago, mikeysed said:

18Z GFS goes BOOM

 

image.png.ae0981ddb72aba93d8b17cf744219a8d.png

 

I was moping around, thinking about the absolute horror of being able to see the dormant grass in my yard on Christmas.

And then this beauty came along.  Faith totally restored.

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4 hours ago, Wtkidz said:

Sterling mentions storm(s)  on last line. 

LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... Building high pressure at the surface will dominate the region through the middle of next week leading to fair weather conditions, but keep things on the chilly side of climatology. Models continue to suggest potential for storminess during the second half of next week and during the Christmas Holiday weekend.

So in laymen’s terms

image.gif.fcc2c0bbdbe4258cb487f3c3556011e8.gif

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24 minutes ago, Poco said:

Wpc extended forecast discussion will reach this period tonight so should have some write ups from Schitchel, Rausch , et Al by the AM or sometime tomorrow 

I miss guys like poco. Just flexing on everyone. This dude knows the names of the wpc staff on duty and doing the disco at wpc tonight. 🤣

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1 hour ago, JDClapper said:

Would prefer some powder I can use my blower on. Tonights shovelling was near heart attack stuff.

I actually brought my blower up from the shed today just in case.. probably jinxed everyone lol.. I agree though, I would like to get some use out of it this winter. 

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17 minutes ago, 1816 said:

I miss guys like poco. Just flexing on everyone. This dude knows the names of the wpc staff on duty and doing the disco at wpc tonight. 🤣

Ha, don’t know if it will be those two for sure they were just two names who didn’t do this afternoon that came to mind.  There are also new names I’m def not familiar with 
 

the real fun happens when they call they used to pull the big guns out (Kocellini etc) 

point taken though , i know others are just as bad as me and have the staff directory link to boot. 
 

https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/staff/wpc_staff.shtml

Edited by Poco
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5 hours ago, Penn State said:

A little 12z ensemble roundup.. Some of the EPS members are just eye-popping. There were some sub 950mb lows around hour 198. Just the number of sub 980mb members is impressive. Does anyone have the ensemble eye candy maps? Just for fun.. would love to see what craziness is on there. 

GEFS

floop-gefsens-2022121512.sfcmslp-meanmem.conus.gif.8e42b1707c2223c48285cf7e29a2aa92.gif

CMCE 

floop-cmceens-2022121512.sfcmslp-meanmem.conus.gif.402ef3a3c7f16a1233aa4b2a0cfef0d6.gif

EPS

floop-epsens-2022121512.sfcmslp-meanmem.conus.gif.4ce15a1d992ef7213ab6026cae5fb429.gif

 

5 hours ago, Pghsnow said:

heavy.JPG

 

4 hours ago, Penn State said:

I haven’t been posting much on the 18z runs (mostly because they’ve been meh.. lol) but… GFS 👀

floop-gfs-2022121518.prateptype_cat.conus.gif.fa37de5ed5e7c7e3ecbd1f32ffaadda3.gif1100197578_floop-gfs-2022121518.500hv.conus2.gif.a29261a53ac67a99d8ef174eed48d233.gif

 

i-think-im-in-love-love.gif

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Wonder how long until the Christmas Cutter solutions come back out 😉

Bernie Rayno seems pretty confident in a cutter/apps runner solution.  

One things for sure, I think where this mofo sets up shop its gonna get real with such a cold air push

Edited by Cdfarabaugh
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