Social Media Crew Penn State Posted December 14, 2022 Author Social Media Crew Share Posted December 14, 2022 #6.. 01/04/1996 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Social Media Crew Penn State Posted December 15, 2022 Author Social Media Crew Share Posted December 15, 2022 00z GFS and 00z GDPS showing some similarities. There’s a lot of time remaining on this one, but the evolution of guidance has been favorable. We need the trough to dig, axis more west.. and maybe for the energy down south to slow down. Setup is favorable for a Miller A scenario. Lots of potential here, just waiting for some magic lol 00z GFS 00z GDPS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Social Media Crew Penn State Posted December 15, 2022 Author Social Media Crew Share Posted December 15, 2022 500mb Comparison.. GFS vs. GDPS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Social Media Crew Penn State Posted December 15, 2022 Author Social Media Crew Share Posted December 15, 2022 GEFS signal is strong 💪 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grace Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 7 hours ago, Penn State said: #6.. 01/04/1996 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Social Media Crew Penn State Posted December 15, 2022 Author Social Media Crew Share Posted December 15, 2022 I’m in awe of the energy coming together here.. All of the model guidance showing something similar, but there’s a long way to go! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Social Media Crew Penn State Posted December 15, 2022 Author Social Media Crew Share Posted December 15, 2022 500mb comparison of all model guidance.. Once again, there’s a lot of consistency here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 👀 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Social Media Crew Penn State Posted December 15, 2022 Author Social Media Crew Share Posted December 15, 2022 Nothing to see here.. 👀😂 1 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris2333 Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 3 hours ago, Penn State said: Nothing to see here.. 👀😂 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brodozer1 Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 not expecting much from this but will see still way out looking like another dead green xmas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poco Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 (edited) Uncle Larry https://www.linkedin.com/posts/larrycosgrove_the-large-storm-that-triggered-severe-weather-activity-7009161623772835841-3Wju?utm_source=li_share&utm_content=feedcontent&utm_medium=g_mb_web&utm_campaign=copy Edited December 15, 2022 by Poco 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Social Media Crew Penn State Posted December 15, 2022 Author Social Media Crew Share Posted December 15, 2022 (edited) Getting closer on the 12z GFS Edited December 15, 2022 by Penn State 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poco Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 So nice it tries it twice 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Social Media Crew Penn State Posted December 15, 2022 Author Social Media Crew Share Posted December 15, 2022 12z GDPS.. Just a bit outside. I’m ok with this at the moment. Look forward to the ensembles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Social Media Crew Penn State Posted December 15, 2022 Author Social Media Crew Share Posted December 15, 2022 500mb comparison between the GFS and GDPS.. Big storms come NW anyone? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Social Media Crew Penn State Posted December 15, 2022 Author Social Media Crew Share Posted December 15, 2022 (edited) GEFS.. like the EPS, there are some low numbers there. Sub 970 off the coast of DE / NJ. Let’s tuck it in and say goodnight 😂 Edited December 15, 2022 by Penn State Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris2333 Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 (edited) Honestly I don’t want the storm in perfect position this far out because a) gets everyone’s hope up too early just to get dashed and b) let’s be real always and I mean always the storm gets lost in the 4-5 day window only to come back a day later (I know that’s a couple of days away). As always this far out, is there a signal, check that’s good enough for me. Edited December 15, 2022 by Chris2333 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Social Media Crew Penn State Posted December 15, 2022 Author Social Media Crew Share Posted December 15, 2022 It’s way too early for this.. but.. the ratios possible here! I haven’t had a storm with that kind of snow with those kind of temperatures since 2016. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poco Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Large timing discrepancies to work out I’m nearly certain, without looking, that last nights impressive eps suit was solely focused on amping the initial drive down from the north into a long wave/ull around the 23….. where as the 12z gfs and gem focus on rotating and involving a second parcel arriving around a day or so later and according to gfs another soon after that So although solutions between suits may look close there is a lot timing wise to work out between all these ingredients. So buyers beware on any deterministic solution. I’d go as far as say buyers beware on any probalistic mean too as we are smack dab in the middle of a synchronous wave train battle 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Social Media Crew Penn State Posted December 15, 2022 Author Social Media Crew Share Posted December 15, 2022 12z ECMWF was a bit late like the GDPS. Not in a bad spot.. once again, look forward to the EPS. And.. the 12z 500mb roundup.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brodozer1 Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 (edited) getting through tonight then moving on to this storm Edited December 15, 2022 by Doser1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Social Media Crew Penn State Posted December 15, 2022 Author Social Media Crew Share Posted December 15, 2022 6 minutes ago, Doser1 said: getting through tonight then moving on to this storm No worries. I’ll hold down the fort until everyone gets here 😂 My fort is just wet.. while all you lucky ones get the snow! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wtkidz Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Sterling mentions storm(s) on last line. LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... Building high pressure at the surface will dominate the region through the middle of next week leading to fair weather conditions, but keep things on the chilly side of climatology. Models continue to suggest potential for storminess during the second half of next week and during the Christmas Holiday weekend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brodozer1 Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 1 hour ago, Penn State said: No worries. I’ll hold down the fort until everyone gets here 😂 My fort is just wet.. while all you lucky ones get the snow! 1 hour ago, Penn State said: No worries. I’ll hold down the fort until everyone gets here 😂 My fort is just wet.. while all you lucky ones get the snow! no snow here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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