1816 Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 It's a shame too because snobal would have been way out in front of this storm. He'd have thrown the towel last Wednesday at the latest. 5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators telejunkie Posted December 19, 2022 Moderators Share Posted December 19, 2022 Should we be changing this to a severe storm weather threat? That line coming through Friday afternoon look to pack a punch....especially with the winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miller A Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 At any rate, looks like another rain storm similar to last week on tap along the Jersey Coast. Since it's a GLC hoping for a different wind direction. The last Noreaster lambasted my shore facing eastern windows and we got some leakage underneath the sill. Not sure where it's coming from or how to figure that out without calling a professional Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brodozer1 Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 (edited) Edited December 19, 2022 by Doser1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brodozer1 Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 1 hour ago, Brad11ny said: I think, for the most part people didn’t know where everyone went. I saw a post the other day that mentioned this group. same here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted December 19, 2022 Moderators Share Posted December 19, 2022 1 minute ago, StretchCT said: GFS is sooooo consistent The rabbit holes I fall down into... but I find this interesting. I showed in the last post how the GFS wasn't consistent (the italics represented sarcasm for those who don't know me) for 0z Saturday. Later in the forecast, it's more consistent. Spoiler And earlier its less Spoiler Weird, you'd think the opposite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miller A Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 Sigh 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brodozer1 Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 43 minutes ago, Tater said: If you really want to know what went down at the other site, you are welcome to PM me and ask. If you still have access to the other site, I can provide links to the relevant threads. Be forewarned though, it's probably best if you just recognize enough *stuff* went down for us to realize we had to leave, and abide by Fight Club or Vegas rules. no thanks none of my business didn't know it was that deep. Just glad i found this place let's move on and be happy. now will you make it snow please 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted December 19, 2022 Moderators Share Posted December 19, 2022 (edited) GEFS shifted the ULL 250 miles NE since the 0z EPS pretty much same area last 36 hrs. Curious to see 12z and if it holds or moves further east. Spoiler Edited December 19, 2022 by StretchCT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bradjl2009 Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 In any areas that experience rain to snow and the flash freeze, road travel is going to be pretty ugly through all of Christmas weekend most likely. The temperatures that are projected are well below the point where standard rock salt will work well. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rmo09001 Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 (edited) 24 minutes ago, Bradjl2009 said: In any areas that experience rain to snow and the flash freeze, road travel is going to be pretty ugly through all of Christmas weekend most likely. The temperatures that are projected are well below the point where standard rock salt will work well. Yeah, this is a little concerning for me. We're driving from San Diego back to Connecticut for the holidays. Original plan was to leave Wednesday AM, but we're going to head out tomorrow morning ~4a. We'll also have to push south versus cutting across the Ohio Valley, but I think we should be ahead of the front... Did it in 3 days last year, so hoping to get "home" late Thursday. Edited December 19, 2022 by rmo09001 3 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bradjl2009 Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 1 minute ago, rmo09001 said: Yeah, this is a little concerning for me. We're driving from San Diego back to Connecticut for the holidays. Original plan was to leave Wednesday AM, but we're going to head out tomorrow morning ~4a. We'll also have to push south versus cutting across the Ohio Valley, but I think we should be ahead of the front... Did it in 3 days last year, so hoping to get "home" late Thursday. Wow. Best of luck having a safe trip driving that far. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rmo09001 Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 Just now, Bradjl2009 said: Wow. Best of luck having a safe trip driving that far. Appreciate it! The things we do for our dogs... ha! 2 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobsat Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 You must either drive straight thru or at the least drive 20hrs. a day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators telejunkie Posted December 19, 2022 Moderators Share Posted December 19, 2022 10 minutes ago, rmo09001 said: Yeah, this is a little concerning for me. We're driving from San Diego back to Connecticut for the holidays. Original plan was to leave Wednesday AM, but we're going to head out tomorrow morning ~4a. We'll also have to push south versus cutting across the Ohio Valley, but I think we should be ahead of the front... Did it in 3 days last year, so hoping to get "home" late Thursday. My biggest concern for you is where you're crossing the Apps and timing of that crossing as the central Apps looking to possibly get a front end thumping on Thursday afternoon...but if you're already across then you should be good. Good luck! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rmo09001 Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 4 minutes ago, telejunkie said: My biggest concern for you is where you're crossing the Apps and timing of that crossing as the central Apps looking to possibly get a front end thumping on Thursday afternoon...but if you're already across then you should be good. Good luck! Totally. Gonna be keeping a close eye. Worst case, we bought extra time leaving early, so if we've gotta hunker down, we'll do so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdskidoo Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 1 hour ago, StretchCT said: No Snobal here, at least under that name. Some changed their names, so who knows. It's like you can get a fresh opportunity to start a new life here. I saw him post on the other site a few days ago. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted December 19, 2022 Moderators Share Posted December 19, 2022 Crazy uncle is still in something may happen mode. At least its only 400 miles off. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted December 19, 2022 Moderators Share Posted December 19, 2022 48 hrs of runs for the euro and its still on the IN/OH line for 12z on Friday. Low bounces around but in an acceptable range, basically within the LP of Mich. Spoiler 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted December 19, 2022 Moderators Share Posted December 19, 2022 (edited) But, as inconsistent as the GFS and GEM have been, they've all managed to converge the ULL in the same general area for the 12z run. edit: just remembered the 12z GFS run is usually the best one for verification scores. Edited December 19, 2022 by StretchCT 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brodozer1 Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 2 hours ago, Bradjl2009 said: In any areas that experience rain to snow and the flash freeze, road travel is going to be pretty ugly through all of Christmas weekend most likely. The temperatures that are projected are well below the point where standard rock salt will work well. flash freeze what you think this is the day after tomorrow , cold fronts move in gets windy dries everything up nothing flash freezes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Hiramite Posted December 19, 2022 Moderators Share Posted December 19, 2022 3 hours ago, Miller A said: I havent found where to search members yet 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pghsnow Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 The model of consistency... 😂 I have never documented this but it seems that whenever a big storm happens there was a much earlier run that modeled it then lost it. I am certainly hoping it was the Friday 18z run...😀 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TLChip Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 Did someone call the LP and tell it it’s running up the wrong side of the apps yet? Asking for a friend 🤣 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheComet Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 4 hours ago, StretchCT said: GFS is sooooo consistent If you notice it's like a pendulum swinging back and forth, like the model is an oscillation itself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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