bigben89 Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 3 minutes ago, Pghsnow said: Yea... Disapointing. Bernie said he still expects Pittsburgh to get several inches. Is riding the GFS. Now a days, trusting these models 5-day out is like trusting a fart… 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist so_whats_happening Posted December 18, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted December 18, 2022 6 minutes ago, bigben89 said: Now a days, trusting these models 5-day out is like trusting a fart… Lol definitely read this with the voice of your picture. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 WPC seems to be putting some stock in the backend snows. 1:30pm update. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1816 Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 1 minute ago, JDClapper said: WPC seems to be putting some stock in the backend snows. 1:30pm update. Looks like that's all we can hope for around here. Now the nice thing is a powerful arctic front isn't something that usually disappoints. The insane temp swing along with that much dynamics aloft should be money for an overperfornance. Situation like this is one of the few times that upslope makes it over the mountains for a while. But fronts like this are super rare so it's gonna go under some people's radar. I think Friday will be quite a snowy day even if it's not a large amount. I'll take it at this point for sure. Let's get merry right on time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist so_whats_happening Posted December 18, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted December 18, 2022 Just a little food for thought upstairs doesn't seem resolved fully yet. Compared to the GFS at its closest timeframe (3 hr increment vs 6 hr) 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEPAsnow Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 why does the NAM have the coastal but the GFS and the Euro don't seem to have it at all. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lazman Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 19 minutes ago, NEPAsnow said: why does the NAM have the coastal but the GFS and the Euro don't seem to have it at all. The European does have a front end disturbance but it's a bit more west and north than what this NAM is showing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 GFS going heavy on the nog for interior snow. 3-6 frontend, 3-6 backend ...🤷♂️ 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cdfarabaugh Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 12 minutes ago, JDClapper said: GFS going heavy on the nog for interior snow. 3-6 frontend, 3-6 backend ...🤷♂️ I'd have to imagine we are gonna get spanked with LE and upslope snow here in the laurels pretty good. Curious how this works out honestly 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted December 18, 2022 Admin Share Posted December 18, 2022 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongIslanGurlllll Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 32 minutes ago, JDClapper said: GFS going heavy on the nog for interior snow. 3-6 frontend, 3-6 backend ...🤷♂️ Can we just move this a wee bit to the East? 🙂 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bradjl2009 Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 34 minutes ago, JDClapper said: GFS going heavy on the nog for interior snow. 3-6 frontend, 3-6 backend ...🤷♂️ Weird run. Even a little further west with the main area of heavy snow than at noon, but it ups totals for us in Western PA 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted December 18, 2022 Admin Share Posted December 18, 2022 Almost sounds like a best case scenario is no flooding. GYX 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pghsnow Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 23 minutes ago, Bradjl2009 said: Weird run. Even a little further west with the main area of heavy snow than at noon, but it ups totals for us in Western PA Yea I wonder if we need to keep rooting for this to go even more west if possible now. There are so many players not sure which way to root for them to best affect us. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Snow Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 47 minutes ago, MaineJay said: That was interesting, once I realized I was not having an acid flashback. Found myself asking "Mother should I build the wall" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted December 18, 2022 Admin Share Posted December 18, 2022 Just now, Jon Snow said: That was interesting, once I realized I was not having an acid flashback. Found myself asking "Mother should I build the wall" Les is one of a kind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin Sentinel Posted December 18, 2022 Admin Share Posted December 18, 2022 38 minutes ago, MaineJay said: Almost sounds like a best case scenario is no flooding. GYX I'm not sure if I said it in here... But I wonder with such an artic boundary pressing through, will this still try to spin up something along the front on the coast 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
twinmama08 Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 5 minutes ago, MaineJay said: Les is one of a kind. Les took a drink out of my hand and chugged it once. House of Blues Orlando. 2007(ish). Pre-smart phone so I have no photos and he did not pay to replace my drink. All I have is a story... and like $12 less dollars! 😁 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bradjl2009 Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 49 minutes ago, Pghsnow said: Yea I wonder if we need to keep rooting for this to go even more west if possible now. There are so many players not sure which way to root for them to best affect us. It looks like things have been trending a little slower with also better low placement for lake enhanced. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted December 19, 2022 Admin Share Posted December 19, 2022 51 minutes ago, Uscg Ast said: I'm not sure if I said it in here... But I wonder with such an artic boundary pressing through, will this still try to spin up something along the front on the coast I can see how some meso feature could perhaps enhance snow squall type activity, but the 850 circulation is racing off so quick, that I don't see how we can gin up much more. Last storm was moving so slow, there was time to pinch off the warmth at 850. For being back to back storms, they have very different personalities. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brodozer1 Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 Week away but everyone has this as a bust . Be happy its Christmas it could be worse we could be getting a rain storm . Oh crap we are bummer 🤮 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1816 Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 If nothing else, let this be yet another lesson in falling prey to modeling that is 8 days out. Getting hopes up at that range leads to disappointment so often yet people continue to fall into the trap. For every time you spread the word about a snowstorm a week away that no one is talking about and it happens and you look like a weather savant, there are 5 times it doesn't happen and you look like a moron. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bigben89 Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 2 hours ago, JDClapper said: GFS going heavy on the nog for interior snow. 3-6 frontend, 3-6 backend ...🤷♂️ Just like my wife, I’ll take six inches and call it a day. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miller A Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 (edited) How the hell long is this song? my EYES hurt even more than my ears it was so annoying freaky scary frightening disturbing thing eye ever heard my central nervous system is twitching Edited December 19, 2022 by Miller A Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CandO100 Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 51 minutes ago, 1816 said: If nothing else, let this be yet another lesson in falling prey to modeling that is 8 days out. Getting hopes up at that range leads to disappointment so often yet people continue to fall into the trap. For every time you spread the word about a snowstorm a week away that no one is talking about and it happens and you look like a weather savant, there are 5 times it doesn't happen and you look like a moron. Only 5 times? Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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