PA road DAWG Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 Just now, JDClapper said: Yeah, its a 24-36 hour event even here.. which is highly unusual. Typical event, 8-12 hours. But, nothing typical about this setup. yea…I don’t think we’re done tweaking this for the better just yet either. Windshield wiper effect is a real thing! Let’s wait and see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDBlueridge Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 4 minutes ago, PA road DAWG said: Fitty/fitty doing work ? definitely helping Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PA road DAWG Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 15 minutes ago, MDBlueridge said: GFS back to sit and stall lol P-Types are a guess. But a good bit of frozen precip and cold/upslope behind. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDBlueridge Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 3 minutes ago, JDClapper said: Yeah, its a 24-36 hour event even here.. which is highly unusual. Typical event, 8-12 hours. But, nothing typical about this setup. not uncommon here but usually upslope/wrap around component. We're not done here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rickrd Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 Ticking South last several runs. hmmm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators telejunkie Posted December 12, 2022 Moderators Share Posted December 12, 2022 Just now, MDBlueridge said: We're not done here. not until the last flake flies.... A lot of dynamics at play and the retrograding ocean storm is going to be a big piece of the puzzle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brodozer1 Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 12 hours ago, Penn State said: 00z GDPS largely unchanged, but maybe a tad colder it would appear. that low needs to slide under ct offshore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brodozer1 Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 2 hours ago, StretchCT said: Second way to look is multipanels, which they could make fit on a screen but they don't. Anyhoo.. the Euro does appear faster panel to panel. Which is against the bias I mentioned above. i will take that as long as it stays all snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 4 hours ago, JDClapper said: WPC Updates, from just before midnight. WPC update. Getting some better coverage of 70%+ pops in the interior. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 GEFS members most hug coast, not too far inland. That primary holding on is a pita. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TLChip Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 Primary needs to…. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 Euro is a crawler. Chesapeake at 1am Fri, NYC 7pm Friday. Interior does well white, but man its marginal. Even being in the 10+ blob on both GFS/Euro, I feel like Im near the mostly mix/blah zone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDBlueridge Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 4 minutes ago, JDClapper said: Euro is a crawler. Chesapeake at 1am Fri, NYC 7pm Friday. Interior does well white, but man its marginal. Even being in the 10+ blob on both GFS/Euro, I feel like Im near the mostly mix/blah zone. Mess of precip coming brah- and for a long time Excited to see mesos get involved. This will be a fun "know your area" dealie 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEPAsnow Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 hopefully things will trend a little colder and the primary dies quicker Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PA road DAWG Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 50 minutes ago, NEPAsnow said: hopefully things will trend a little colder and the primary dies quicker Hopefully it snows like crazy IMBY and rains in Philly…..errr I mean snows 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 12z EPS looking best it has. 4" mean snow DEPTH bump.. and vast majorty are clustered.. a couple duds. Op is on the high end of the envelope. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TLChip Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 30 minutes ago, PA road DAWG said: Hopefully it snows like crazy IMBY and rains in Philly…..errr I mean snows Salty, 2016 vibes 🤣. Cold rain in Berks, maybe some mood flakes and sleet. We need mid January for the monsters in the mid Atlantic, doubt we have enough cold air. Hope you guys up north and at elevation do well on this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators telejunkie Posted December 12, 2022 Moderators Share Posted December 12, 2022 12 minutes ago, JDClapper said: 12z EPS looking best it has. 4" mean snow DEPTH bump.. and vast majorty are clustered.. a couple duds. Op is on the high end of the envelope. Trying to emulate the NAM and SREF relationship... Speaking of....with SREF starting to come into range....saying like a 50/50 chance for at least 4" out your way through about midnight 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDBlueridge Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 GFS/NAM are just a mess of wintry precip for many. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rickrd Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 18Z GFS says HELLO!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 5 minutes ago, MDBlueridge said: GFS/NAM are just a mess of wintry precip for many. Getting a decent agreement this 12z suite at least.. general idea up this way is like a front end thump, then bite your nails for the mix line/dry slot Thursday night. Not sure I expect much Zr/IP except at the onset. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 Just now, Rickrd said: 18Z GFS says HELLO!!! Snow line sagging pretty far south on the goold old GFS 🙂 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rickrd Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 Just now, JDClapper said: Snow line sagging pretty far south on the goold old GFS 🙂 Yeah, been trending now each run for at least 4 or 5 runs now. Tricky situation. As stated by you and others, depends on handoff, how far south coastal forms, yadda yadda yadda. Standing by for the old lucy football trick as always. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDBlueridge Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 2 minutes ago, JDClapper said: Getting a decent agreement this 12z suite at least.. general idea up this way is like a front end thump, then bite your nails for the mix line/dry slot Thursday night. Not sure I expect much Zr/IP except at the onset. Looks like a mess down this way. We don't get lots of sleet. Snow or ZR. This looks like an ice, snow, ice scenario to me. But still ways to go. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rickrd Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 Wide shot. Still snowing on our eastern Folks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now