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December 15-17, 2022 | Winter Storm


Penn State

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20 minutes ago, PA road DAWG said:

Off topic….but has anyone seen the storm for 12/23.  Holy shiznit.  The op and ensemble support is breathtaking.  Straight bomb 

You and you and you, get a new car.  Even those living in the coastal states of Mississippi, Alabama and Georgia; you get a new car too for Christmas.

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16 minutes ago, JDClapper said:

Got an addtional 1.25" from that last batch of snow. Storm total 2.75"

Not expected squat until maybe in the morning, and that would just be to freshen up the top layer.

20221215_185634.jpg

Not close to that 6 to 8 inches, but still looks beautiful. 

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1 hour ago, TheRex said:

You and you and you, get a new car.  Even those living in the coastal states of Mississippi, Alabama and Georgia; you get a new car too for Christmas.

Now you’ve jinxed us all! 😬

Edited by Burr
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Now it's picking up.  Of course it's rain though.  Latest sounding from Long Island.

2005267720_ScreenShot2022-12-15at9_05_37PM.png.6766e6f4221e97572793786b85044a74.png

NAM had this, so a little warmer in the 700-800 level. 

1235911845_ScreenShot2022-12-15at9_11_35PM.thumb.png.ff5ccbff49dae6a3e94340c6f343053e.png

Meanwhile HRRR was too cold at the surface. No inversion

1985594972_ScreenShot2022-12-15at9_13_09PM.thumb.png.aed41ecd0c5c172940089324b4bdc5d5.png

And the 12z GFS for kicks - a little too dry in the mid level but not bad. 

596689519_ScreenShot2022-12-15at9_15_05PM.thumb.png.e6ea59a0a7e5a1d7e7c265f1729422ad.png

Edited by StretchCT
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BTV has removed the mention of "rain" in my forecast and keep me all snow. Current temp of 30 with temps being around 32 the next 36 house. It should be interesting. I hope we don't have to deal with any ice 

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36 minutes ago, StretchCT said:

Now it's picking up.  Of course it's rain though.  Latest sounding from Long Island.

2005267720_ScreenShot2022-12-15at9_05_37PM.png.6766e6f4221e97572793786b85044a74.png

NAM had this, so a little warmer in the 700-800 level. 

1235911845_ScreenShot2022-12-15at9_11_35PM.thumb.png.ff5ccbff49dae6a3e94340c6f343053e.png

Meanwhile HRRR was too cold at the surface. No inversion

1985594972_ScreenShot2022-12-15at9_13_09PM.thumb.png.aed41ecd0c5c172940089324b4bdc5d5.png

And the 12z GFS for kicks - a little too dry in the mid level but not bad. 

596689519_ScreenShot2022-12-15at9_15_05PM.thumb.png.e6ea59a0a7e5a1d7e7c265f1729422ad.png

So close yet so far 

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58 minutes ago, StretchCT said:

It’s like hundreds of tiny flakes between huge drops of rain. My son even asked me what that was. 

Same here, large rain drops with what looks like white in the streetlight...life of living in a valley lol, hopefully the hills do good!

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Really crazy around here as we were forecast to be 12" in western ulster and at my home and the valley about 15 min east is forecast 2-8" lol. The accumulation varies seems without reason. One town has about 3" and moderate snow then 1 mile down the road its a slushy paste fest. Then another 1 Mile it's snow. The elevations are the same... My home at 1500' is all snow prob little over 3" of extremely heavy wet snow.

Edited by HVSNOWSTORM
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1 hour ago, MaineJay said:

29.7° with a dusting out there.

Coastal front showing up on radar, and it's in a favorable position for now.  How it holds in the face of a strong easterly fetch will be the question.

 

Noob question - why does the precipitation seem to be converging from two different directions?

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39 minutes ago, NEK said:

Noob question - why does the precipitation seem to be converging from two different directions?

Easterly surface winds are creating precip in the lowest levels, while in the mid levels, it's streaming in from the SW on warm air advection.   

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