JDClapper Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Appears State College made the flip too.. so I guess this is show time for the next several area back this way. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFlash Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 3 minutes ago, JDClapper said: Appears State College made the flip too.. so I guess this is show time for the next several area back this way. Nice!! Congrats. Still rain with occasional flake/pellet here. We may make a brief changover eventually for 1-2 inches if I'm lucky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikeysed Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Dusting in southern Morris County so far. sleet and snow mix 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post MDBlueridge Posted December 15, 2022 Popular Post Share Posted December 15, 2022 Its very bad here. Trees down everywhere. 30F. No power. 9 2 1 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 1 minute ago, MDBlueridge said: Its very bad here. Trees down everywhere. 30F. No power. Uggh... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Recent CTP discussion update... NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... Radar shows a large shield of precip covering the entire CWA at 1630Z. In our recent chat to WPC and surrounding WFOs we conveyed our concern and assessment that bulk of the model guidance dynamically/evap cooled a deep low to mid layer of the atmosphere a deg or two C too much (so far ), and we`re left with more freezing precip than originally anticipated. With a highly anomalous (2.5-3 sigma) V-comp of the SSE 850 mb winds over us through the afternoon, it appears that we`re going to hold onto FZRA with some PL much longer. We recently trimmed snow totals down 1-2 inches across the Central Mtns and Wrn Poconos (considering that we lost perhaps 1-2 hours of nearly 1 inch/hour snowfall rates). For the Mtns NE of KIP, still banking on enough deep layer cooling with the intensification of the Delmarva low and backing LLVL winds to target that area with periods of heavy snow tonight. WSR 88D CCs were quite uniform at 0.99 below 4-5 kft agl, but we`ve seen a steady trend over the past 30 minutes to some lower CC values within that radius of approx 30 NM, so this is likely signaling the layer cooling the models are showing and a transition to some gloppy big snowflakes and sleet mixing back in shortly. Some minor changes made otherwise to the previous forecast package and gridded data in the areas of temps and P-type. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted December 15, 2022 Moderators Share Posted December 15, 2022 Some temps at different levels and the surface wet bulb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted December 15, 2022 Moderators Share Posted December 15, 2022 700mb frontogenesis Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lazman Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 38 minutes ago, StretchCT said: Wow, that beats a t-rex Hey now..... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 See if these heavy bursts can get us a couple inches, otherwise, I think we're in snow bust territory soon... not really doing much the past 30 mins out there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFlash Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 I'd have to give it to nam/somewhat euro here...nailed the warm temps as opposed to gfs. Still rain with a mix-ish. Not sure we'll hit the 3-6 inch nws forecast unless there is a epic heavy band of snow later 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 6 minutes ago, WeatherFlash said: I'd have to give it to nam/somewhat euro here...nailed the warm temps as opposed to gfs. Still rain with a mix-ish. Not sure we'll hit the 3-6 inch nws forecast unless there is a epic heavy band of snow later Yep, so far those heavier returns are zzz.. must be sleet again. I havent gone out the check. Bummer. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ric_Roody Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Just flipped to snow here after prolonged sleet/freezing rain in western Schuylkill County, PA. Snowing at a pretty good rate, the changeover took longer than I thought. Hoping it holds for a bit, we are forecasted around 2-5 inches here so we may make it at this rate. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lazman Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Waiting on some flakes..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheComet Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Snowing to beat the band, 1.5”, 28F IMG_3539.MOV 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rickrd Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 (edited) Game on. NAZARETH,PA bushkill twsp, has flipped to moderate snow. No more sleet. 1.5” on ground. You can hear plows in background. so much for your forecast 69 news. Nice rainstorm! IMG_5860.MOV Edited December 15, 2022 by Rickrd 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
morgdotz Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 2 minutes ago, Rickrd said: Game on. NAZARETH,PA bushkill twsp, has flipped to moderate snow. No more sleet. 1.5” on ground. You can hear plows in background. so much for your forecast 69 news. Nice rainstorm! IMG_5860.MOV 23.25 MB · 0 downloads Same here in Emmaus - steady snow now. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orlando Eversharp Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 First Snow Flakes In Warwick, NY. No precipitation until just now... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rickrd Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 NAM was wrong. Had nothing here but some initial. Gfs was right this far 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brodozer1 Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 first nor'easter and its rain for me 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GregRups Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Snowing in Ramsey NJ 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFlash Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Snowing for the first time today. (danville pa) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators telejunkie Posted December 15, 2022 Moderators Share Posted December 15, 2022 Just sitting on the bench, waiting for my turn at the plate. Cloudy and 35F out there.... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted December 15, 2022 Moderators Share Posted December 15, 2022 Cannot get that air to saturate fast enough. It's ok at the surface, but just getting eaten up at 700mb 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brodozer1 Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 (edited) up to 37 now not expecting anything but rain, bench warmer for this game need a cushion for my ass sitting this one out Edited December 15, 2022 by Doser1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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