HVSNOWSTORM Posted December 8, 2022 Author Share Posted December 8, 2022 12z Euro kuchera Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSNOWSTORM Posted December 8, 2022 Author Share Posted December 8, 2022 (edited) First real snow of the year is 2.5 days from starting and I am the only one here. At least for the HV NEPA some of CT etc.. Edit: hopefully first real snow I should say lol. 2.5 days on models is a long time. Edited December 8, 2022 by HVSNOWSTORM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSNOWSTORM Posted December 8, 2022 Author Share Posted December 8, 2022 NAM looks a lot better at 18z than 12z: 12z: 18z: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 2 hours ago, HVSNOWSTORM said: First real snow of the year is 2.5 days from starting and I am the only one here. At least for the HV NEPA some of CT etc.. Edit: hopefully first real snow I should say lol. 2.5 days on models is a long time. 😅 i guess if its just 1-3", meh? They cants all be winners, but hey. 2" and 2" there, and suddenly its an average season. Looks like an I80 north into NY and SNE at the moment. 60+ hours out, which way will it wobble? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSNOWSTORM Posted December 8, 2022 Author Share Posted December 8, 2022 Just now, JDClapper said: 😅 i guess if its just 1-3", meh? They cants all be winners, but hey. 2" and 2" there, and suddenly its an average season. Looks like an I80 north into NY and SNE at the moment. 60+ hours out, which way will it wobble? I'll take 2" all day lol. I know you care about 2" but I guess most don't care about a 2-4" event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSNOWSTORM Posted December 8, 2022 Author Share Posted December 8, 2022 I did get 4" in November but it started melted like as soon as we hit 4" so that one didn't feel authentic lol. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bradjl2009 Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 32 minutes ago, HVSNOWSTORM said: I did get 4" in November but it started melted like as soon as we hit 4" so that one didn't feel authentic lol. Yeah that's how the mid November snow was for me too. It was completely gone by the time I woke up the next morning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 1 hour ago, HVSNOWSTORM said: I did get 4" in November but it started melted like as soon as we hit 4" so that one didn't feel authentic lol. 35 minutes ago, Bradjl2009 said: Yeah that's how the mid November snow was for me too. It was completely gone by the time I woke up the next morning. Maybe this 1.25" will last into Monday PM. If we're lucky! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 Some 21z SREF snows.. Williamsport and Binghamton, 3" State College, 2" Poughkeepsie, 1.5" 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSNOWSTORM Posted December 9, 2022 Author Share Posted December 9, 2022 6z NAM looks nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 1 hour ago, HVSNOWSTORM said: 6z NAM looks nice Nice widespread light event. Yes please. Euro seems to be the most northern with accumulations.. many others pretty much as 6z NAM shows.. sref still on the southern envelope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted December 9, 2022 Admin Share Posted December 9, 2022 Can't wait to see that lobe of energy dropping in from the NE on satellite. Blocky flow can really meander. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheRex Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 (edited) This was in response to @JDClapper. I didn't sound right not being a reply to another post, so I edited to add this sentence: I live far enough north that my area misses out on many of the coastal winter storms. When NYC gets with a big storm, we tend to have clear skies with really cold temps. We get a sizeable percentage of our snow each year a couple of inches at a time. Since it tends to stay cold here, it does add gradually to our snow depth. So I'll take 2" any day. Edited December 9, 2022 by TheRex 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted December 9, 2022 Admin Share Posted December 9, 2022 Hi-res FV3 is pretty stingy with the precip, almost looks like some convective like elements. The ocean streamers near the Cape and islands is kinda interesting. These two pieces eventually phase, still 2 days till the the arrival, so maybe we can gin up a little better interaction. Trend. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted December 9, 2022 Admin Share Posted December 9, 2022 Main shortwave east of great salt lake, crossing the continental divide. The energy that phases with it, is in Labrador. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brodozer1 Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 On 12/8/2022 at 2:29 PM, HVSNOWSTORM said: First real snow of the year is 2.5 days from starting and I am the only one here. At least for the HV NEPA some of CT etc.. Edit: hopefully first real snow I should say lol. 2.5 days on models is a long time. I am here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brodozer1 Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 On 12/8/2022 at 5:07 PM, HVSNOWSTORM said: I'll take 2" all day lol. I know you care about 2" but I guess most don't care about a 2-4" event. I will take anything at this point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSNOWSTORM Posted December 9, 2022 Author Share Posted December 9, 2022 Models looking good for NPA/SENY solid model agreement on accumulations generally speaking . GFS EURO NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSNOWSTORM Posted December 10, 2022 Author Share Posted December 10, 2022 1"+ probabilities Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSNOWSTORM Posted December 10, 2022 Author Share Posted December 10, 2022 Good model agreement on a widespread 2-6" for the interior. Some elevation may see a little more, here's a few outputs: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted December 10, 2022 Admin Share Posted December 10, 2022 Reporting as rain, mixed in P-town though. Incidentally, you can see the birds taking off at sunrise as well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Hiramite Posted December 10, 2022 Moderators Share Posted December 10, 2022 Good luck to those in blue. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted December 10, 2022 Admin Share Posted December 10, 2022 Over to snow in Plymouth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 Nice cold, crisp morning to help get that ground temp ready to take on accum tomorrow morning. (21 here, heavy frost) Surprised how stable this forecast has been the past 2ish days. Not much wobbling. We'll see how it goes realtime soon enough! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSNOWSTORM Posted December 10, 2022 Author Share Posted December 10, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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