Neoncyclone Posted November 29, 2022 Share Posted November 29, 2022 Supercell starting to mature back in Texas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hassaywx1223 Posted November 29, 2022 Share Posted November 29, 2022 Liberty Texas storm has gone tornado warning. Also Spc night put out high risk in the next few minutes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted November 29, 2022 Author Share Posted November 29, 2022 20 minutes ago, Uscg Ast said: Sadly - A school building is likely the safest place for most persons to be. That withstanding - Liability. What happened in Moore in 2013 from the EF-5 tornado is what they are trying ot avoid! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted November 29, 2022 Author Share Posted November 29, 2022 1 minute ago, Hassaywx1223 said: Liberty Texas storm has gone tornado warning. Also Spc night put out high risk in the next few minutes They may have to extend the risk areas further west because of this Also, the media will go crazy if there is a High Risk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ElectricStorm Posted November 29, 2022 Share Posted November 29, 2022 Looks like they kept it at moderate. Either way extremely dangerous situation 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neoncyclone Posted November 29, 2022 Share Posted November 29, 2022 Moderate risk maintained, Kind of how I figured it'd go, here's the updated discussion. SPC AC 291959 Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0159 PM CST Tue Nov 29 2022 Valid 292000Z - 301200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT OVER PARTS OF NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...CENTRAL AND NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI...AND NORTHWEST ALABAMA... ...SUMMARY... Strong tornadoes, very large hail, and severe wind gusts are forecast this afternoon into the overnight period across parts of the lower to mid Mississippi Valley, Mid-South and parts of the Southeast. ...20Z Update... A regional tornado outbreak still appears possible from northern LA into central/northern MS and potentially into western AL. Rich low-level moisture has streamed northward with the aid of a strong low-level jet, as steep midlevel lapse rates (greater than 8 C/km on 12Z SHV sounding) have overspread the region from the west. MLCAPE has increased into the 1500-2000 J/kg range across the warm sector, and storms are gradually increasing in coverage and intensity across parts of LA/MS. Strong and favorably veered wind profiles will support several long-lived supercells late this afternoon into this evening. With relatively weak low-level lapse rates, it may take some time for storms to become tornadic, but a few long-track strong tornadoes will be possible late this afternoon into tonight as supercells mature and move northeastward. The primary change at 20Z is to expand the Marginal Risk slightly eastward across a larger portion of western GA, southeast AL, and FL Panhandle. This change was made to account for the possibility of nocturnal storms reaching these areas prior to the end of the forecast period at 12Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted November 29, 2022 Author Share Posted November 29, 2022 Still nothing on the ground, let's try to keep that way. This is sadly not going to age well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hassaywx1223 Posted November 29, 2022 Share Posted November 29, 2022 Maleah’s a good watch they’re very knowledgeable 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neoncyclone Posted November 29, 2022 Share Posted November 29, 2022 The silver city supercell is looking better and better each scan Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWOhioChaser Posted November 29, 2022 Share Posted November 29, 2022 This one starting to tighten up a bit too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted November 29, 2022 Share Posted November 29, 2022 I'm getting really old data on the correlation coefficient out of Jackson (Radarscope only) - this does not have a confirmed tornado as far as I know Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neoncyclone Posted November 29, 2022 Share Posted November 29, 2022 (edited) 4 minutes ago, Chinook said: I'm getting really old data on the correlation coefficient out of Jackson (Radarscope only) - this does not have a confirmed tornado as far as I know Looks like super-res correlation is down on KDGX, you'll have to use what little regular correlation coefficient has to offer Edited November 29, 2022 by Neoncyclone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neoncyclone Posted November 29, 2022 Share Posted November 29, 2022 3 supercells slowly organizing in LA, and that storm in texas looks pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neoncyclone Posted November 29, 2022 Share Posted November 29, 2022 KDGX super-res correlation coefficient data seems to be coming in again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted November 29, 2022 Author Share Posted November 29, 2022 MDOT (Mississippi DOT) has a good camera view facing the McComb Supercell Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted November 29, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted November 29, 2022 I’ve been following the radar at work. A little sluggish start but it looks like more cells are maturing. Should be the beginning of a rough several hours or more 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neoncyclone Posted November 29, 2022 Share Posted November 29, 2022 Confirmed tornado near Vaiden Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted November 29, 2022 Share Posted November 29, 2022 "TORNADO WAS REPORTED NORTHEAST OF WEST" should be a good reminder not to name your town after a compass direction. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hassaywx1223 Posted November 29, 2022 Share Posted November 29, 2022 Interstate 55 and Emory road in Mississippi 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neoncyclone Posted November 29, 2022 Share Posted November 29, 2022 (edited) Watch out if you live near this area in LA i'd imagine it'll be warned any minute now. This storm near Tullos looks incredibly good for a tornado producer candidate.. Edited November 29, 2022 by Neoncyclone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ElectricStorm Posted November 29, 2022 Share Posted November 29, 2022 SPC mentioned it may take a while for the storms to fully get going due to weak lapse rates, and so far that seems to be the case. But it does look like things are starting to ramp up a bit with one confirmed tor and a few other cells that are starting to look dangerous Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neoncyclone Posted November 29, 2022 Share Posted November 29, 2022 (edited) 5 minutes ago, OKwx_2001 said: SPC mentioned it may take a while for the storms to fully get going due to weak lapse rates, and so far that seems to be the case. But it does look like things are starting to ramp up a bit with one confirmed tor and a few other cells that are starting to look dangerous Things look to really be ramping up in Louisiana, pretty worried about how many discrete storms are popping up with relatively decent spacing... Also the Tullos storm has been tornado warned. Edited November 29, 2022 by Neoncyclone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neoncyclone Posted November 29, 2022 Share Posted November 29, 2022 Right mover, either gonna go outflow dominant or turn into a monster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neoncyclone Posted November 29, 2022 Share Posted November 29, 2022 Bassfield, MS under a tornado warning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neoncyclone Posted November 29, 2022 Share Posted November 29, 2022 (edited) Waiting to see if this storm interaction will have a positive or negative impact on this supercell EDIT: Tornado warning on this storm now. Edited November 29, 2022 by Neoncyclone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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