Iceresistance Posted November 29, 2022 Author Share Posted November 29, 2022 Tornado warning in Central Louisiana, first one of the day 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted November 29, 2022 Share Posted November 29, 2022 The rotation looked strongest at 17:51z but no other direct indicators there was a tornado near Mamou, LA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralLA_Wx Posted November 29, 2022 Share Posted November 29, 2022 (edited) 47 minutes ago, Iceresistance said: @CentralLA_Wx needs to be absolutely prepared for this! Unfortunately some breaks in the cloud cover and sun is peaking out. Tornado warned storm should stay to my southeast. Edited November 29, 2022 by CentralLA_Wx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted November 29, 2022 Author Share Posted November 29, 2022 PDS Tornado Watch up! 95/90! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neoncyclone Posted November 29, 2022 Share Posted November 29, 2022 Quote SEL2 URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 572 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1210 PM CST Tue Nov 29 2022 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Southeast Arkansas Northern and Central Louisiana Central Mississippi * Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 1210 PM until 700 PM CST. ...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION... * Primary threats include... Numerous tornadoes expected with a few intense tornadoes likely Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter likely Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely SUMMARY...Supercells are expected to develop this afternoon and track northeastward across much of northeast Louisiana and central Mississippi. Parameters appear favorable for strong and long-tracked tornadoes this afternoon and early evening. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 80 statute miles north and south of a line from 25 miles north of Fort Polk LA to 55 miles south of Tupelo MS. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 24035. ...Hart Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted November 29, 2022 Author Share Posted November 29, 2022 Double Trouble Tornado Warnings on I-49, one south of Alexandria and the other closer to Lafayette. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neoncyclone Posted November 29, 2022 Share Posted November 29, 2022 The rotation on the southern storm is ramping up a bit, surprised to see several storms down here in S LA already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted November 29, 2022 Author Share Posted November 29, 2022 1 minute ago, Neoncyclone said: The rotation on the southern storm is ramping up a bit, surprised to see several storms down here in S LA already. I'm not, I was afraid that it's likely going to overperform down there and could warrant the High Risk in Mississippi (and maybe Louisiana) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neoncyclone Posted November 29, 2022 Share Posted November 29, 2022 (edited) 1 minute ago, Iceresistance said: I'm not, I was afraid that it's likely going to overperform down there and could warrant the High Risk in Mississippi (and maybe Louisiana) If they were going to upgrade to high risk they probably already would have, moderate risk is enough, And I just meant I was surprised because none of the CAM's initialized full blown storms this far south this early. Edited November 29, 2022 by Neoncyclone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted November 29, 2022 Author Share Posted November 29, 2022 (edited) 3 minutes ago, Neoncyclone said: If they were going to upgrade to high risk they probably already would have, moderate risk is enough, And I just meant I was surprised because none of the CAM's initialized full blown storms this far south this early. They may do it at 2 PM CST. It also appears that the Northern Supercell is being choked out by the Southern Supercell along I-49, and north of Lafayette. Edited November 29, 2022 by Iceresistance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neoncyclone Posted November 29, 2022 Share Posted November 29, 2022 The supercell north of Palmetto looks really good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted November 29, 2022 Author Share Posted November 29, 2022 1 minute ago, Neoncyclone said: The supercell north of Palmetto looks really good That one now has a "Funnel Cloud reported" tag on it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neoncyclone Posted November 29, 2022 Share Posted November 29, 2022 The 18z observed sounding for Jackson, MS.... Wow. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hassaywx1223 Posted November 29, 2022 Share Posted November 29, 2022 Sheesh doesn’t look like it’s going to bust Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted November 29, 2022 Author Share Posted November 29, 2022 1 minute ago, Hassaywx1223 said: Sheesh doesn’t look like it’s going to bust The Glass Cannon fires in Louisiana, this is not going to bust unless something crazy happens in Mississippi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neoncyclone Posted November 29, 2022 Share Posted November 29, 2022 (edited) That supercell NW of the tornado warned storm is starting to get that look Edited November 29, 2022 by Neoncyclone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted November 29, 2022 Author Share Posted November 29, 2022 1 minute ago, Neoncyclone said: That supercell NW of the tornado warned storm is starting to get that look It's ramping up again, it was weakening earlier, but it appears that it's not long being affected by the Supercell to it's south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neoncyclone Posted November 29, 2022 Share Posted November 29, 2022 Looks like some schools in the deep south released early today once the PDS was issued. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted November 29, 2022 Author Share Posted November 29, 2022 The Cottonport, LA Supercell is already looking very mean! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neoncyclone Posted November 29, 2022 Share Posted November 29, 2022 (edited) 37 minutes ago, Iceresistance said: They may do it at 2 PM CST. It also appears that the Northern Supercell is being choked out by the Southern Supercell along I-49, and north of Lafayette. I was confused why you had said they may upgrade at 2 PM, I just realized that they mentioned it in this mornings discussion, my bad haha. "Consideration was made to introduce a small HIGH risk, but still too much uncertainty in the exact corridor of highest risk since moisture is not yet in place and there is no surface boundary to focus on." Edited November 29, 2022 by Neoncyclone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neoncyclone Posted November 29, 2022 Share Posted November 29, 2022 SE MS out of nowhere Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin Sentinel Posted November 29, 2022 Admin Share Posted November 29, 2022 1 hour ago, CentralLA_Wx said: Unfortunately some breaks in the cloud cover and sun is peaking out. Tornado warned storm should stay to my southeast. Emergency Management POV: you are ready for this correct? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin Sentinel Posted November 29, 2022 Admin Share Posted November 29, 2022 29 minutes ago, Neoncyclone said: Looks like some schools in the deep south released early today once the PDS was issued. Sadly - A school building is likely the safest place for most persons to be. That withstanding - Liability. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ElectricStorm Posted November 29, 2022 Share Posted November 29, 2022 (edited) Wow 95/90 tor probs I believe is the highest of the year and might be the highest since the high risk days in March last year. At first I didn't really see this being upgraded but with those types of probs I wouldn't be surprised Edited November 29, 2022 by OKwx_2001 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralLA_Wx Posted November 29, 2022 Share Posted November 29, 2022 (edited) 7 minutes ago, Uscg Ast said: Emergency Management POV: you are ready for this correct? Yes. I took the day off work so staying home watching closely. Edited November 29, 2022 by CentralLA_Wx 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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