ElectricStorm Posted November 30, 2022 Share Posted November 30, 2022 Here's the corrected version lol Spoiler Mesoscale Discussion 1986 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0815 PM CST Tue Nov 29 2022 Areas affected...northeastern Louisiana to western/central Alabama Concerning...Tornado Watch 573...574...575... Valid 300215Z - 300315Z CORRECTED FOR DISCUSSION TEXT The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 573, 574, 575 continues. SUMMARY...Severe/tornado risk continues across portions of WW 573/574/575. DISCUSSION...Widespread thunderstorms continue across the Mid South and central Gulf Coast states. The bulk of the ongoing severe/tornado risk persists mainly across the central third or so of Mississippi into west-central Alabama. Across this region, a moist *airmass* persists, ahead of the advancing cold front that is now crossing Arkansas/East Texas. Meanwhile, low-level shear has increased a bit over the past hour or so, as flow in the 1 to 2km layer gradually strengthens. While storms have decreased a bit with respect to organization in general over the past hour -- likely due to modest after-dark stabilization, some increase is noted within streamers of showery convective cells south of the main convection -- i.e. across southeastern Louisiana and southern Mississippi -- including hints of weak rotation. This may be reflective of the aforementioned increase in low-level shear, which overall suggests that the potential for tornadoes continues across the area. ..Goss.. 11/30/2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted November 30, 2022 Share Posted November 30, 2022 Couple of severe warnings in N KY currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1816 Posted November 30, 2022 Share Posted November 30, 2022 16 minutes ago, ClicheVortex2014 said: Oh that's gonna be a meme on wxtwitter Yes, by all means. Discuss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1816 Posted November 30, 2022 Share Posted November 30, 2022 16 minutes ago, ClicheVortex2014 said: Oh that's gonna be a meme on wxtwitter Yes, by all means. Discuss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hassaywx1223 Posted November 30, 2022 Share Posted November 30, 2022 We calming down or just a break? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted November 30, 2022 Author Share Posted November 30, 2022 25 minutes ago, Neoncyclone said: Psbl Hzd. Type: Y Would it be funnier if the "POSSIBLE HAZARD TYPE" was "E"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neoncyclone Posted November 30, 2022 Share Posted November 30, 2022 These 3 storms are undoubtedly in the most primed environment, which has gotten away without much meaningful convection earlier in the day to overturn the atmosphere. Definitely the storms i have my eye on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted November 30, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted November 30, 2022 Trio of tornadic or potentially tornadic supercells in S MS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted November 30, 2022 Author Share Posted November 30, 2022 5 minutes ago, ClicheVortex2014 said: Trio of tornadic or potentially tornadic supercells in S MS This is the Triplets of Terror of the Mississippi! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted November 30, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted November 30, 2022 48 minutes ago, ClicheVortex2014 said: That cell east of the radar and down by the MS/LA border need to be watched This evening presents something we didn't have during the day; an effective warm front for storms to ride and possibly locally backed surface winds The cell east of Jackson radar now has a huge BWER Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted November 30, 2022 Author Share Posted November 30, 2022 6 minutes ago, ClicheVortex2014 said: The cell east of Jackson radar now has a huge BWER That weak echo region is huge! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin Sentinel Posted November 30, 2022 Admin Share Posted November 30, 2022 1 hour ago, ClicheVortex2014 said: Oh that's gonna be a meme on wxtwitter Would be funnier if you wrote it. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted November 30, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted November 30, 2022 I think these supercells are struggling to produce because of weak low-level instability. Hope it stays that way 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neoncyclone Posted November 30, 2022 Share Posted November 30, 2022 Seems like a slight uptick in intensity with these storms, well within some of the best parameters so something to keep an eye on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted November 30, 2022 Share Posted November 30, 2022 I'm going to call the the "donut echo" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neoncyclone Posted November 30, 2022 Share Posted November 30, 2022 2 minutes ago, ClicheVortex2014 said: I think these supercells are struggling to produce because of weak low-level instability. Hope it stays that way The entire region's LLLR's are less than 6.0/c so i'd say that's probably what's happening, could still be a couple surprises who knows but I agree that the main tornado threat may be behind us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FortySixAnd32 Posted November 30, 2022 Share Posted November 30, 2022 Double trouble. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted November 30, 2022 Author Share Posted November 30, 2022 Just now, FortySixAnd32 said: Double trouble. Round 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neoncyclone Posted November 30, 2022 Share Posted November 30, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted November 30, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted November 30, 2022 3 minutes ago, Neoncyclone said: I may have jinxed it then 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted November 30, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted November 30, 2022 7 minutes ago, Neoncyclone said: The entire region's LLLR's are less than 6.0/c so i'd say that's probably what's happening, could still be a couple surprises who knows but I agree that the main tornado threat may be behind us Mid-level mesos are having no problem, and low-level shear is certainly not an issue so it has to come down to the low-level thermos. Doubt there’s an inversion but yeah, I’d bet LLLR is it 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neoncyclone Posted November 30, 2022 Share Posted November 30, 2022 (edited) Ive been watching this in AL that just went tornado-warned it has arguably the best shear and most potential SRH thanks to a big looping hodograph (Thanks Alabama) out of the whole event. EDIT: Confirmed now Edited November 30, 2022 by Neoncyclone 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ak9971 Posted November 30, 2022 Share Posted November 30, 2022 4 minutes ago, Neoncyclone said: Ive been watching this in AL that just went tornado-warned it has arguably the best shear and most potential SRH thanks to a big looping hodograph out of the whole event EDIT: Confirmed now Yikes, picked up a bit on CC right as it went over highway. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neoncyclone Posted November 30, 2022 Share Posted November 30, 2022 KGWX must be oriented to the rotation better because the velocity couplet is much more clear than KBMX, cc is a bit messy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neoncyclone Posted November 30, 2022 Share Posted November 30, 2022 (edited) If you can trust tilt 4 and this as a cc drop than debris is being lifted at least 14kft (I don't trust it lol) Edited November 30, 2022 by Neoncyclone 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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