Moderators StretchCT Posted November 17, 2022 Moderators Share Posted November 17, 2022 Weird... though the upper level looks reasonable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators telejunkie Posted November 17, 2022 Moderators Share Posted November 17, 2022 (edited) 18 minutes ago, StretchCT said: Weird... though the upper level looks reasonable. She wants to cut....but per GFS 50/50 low is anchoring that ridging overtop of the wave locking the cold in place. Going to be a fun one and one that may take a while to sort through the details. Just know that the threat is there is enough for now. What's even crazier is that it left energy behind that you can see down in Mexico Edited November 17, 2022 by telejunkie 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cer5059 Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 Supposed to be getting married on Friday....wonderful 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted November 17, 2022 Moderators Share Posted November 17, 2022 11 minutes ago, cer5059 said: Supposed to be getting married on Friday....wonderful Nice day for a white wedding! Congrats and best of luck! 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted November 17, 2022 Admin Share Posted November 17, 2022 48 minutes ago, cer5059 said: Supposed to be getting married on Friday....wonderful Outdoor service, you'll be a legend. 🕺 36 minutes ago, StretchCT said: Nice day for a white wedding! Congrats and best of luck! 4 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSNOWSTORM Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 12z EPS 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FortySixAnd32 Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 1 hour ago, cer5059 said: Supposed to be getting married on Friday....wonderful New meaning to white wedding!! Congrats!!! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tool483 Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 1 hour ago, cer5059 said: Supposed to be getting married on Friday....wonderful Congrats! And hey snow weddings arn't bad as long as it's managable. We got around 9 inches of snow when my sister got married, snow made the pictures and afterparty pretty crazy. Although the limo driver in his suv bailed on us once we made it to party. . .🤨 but good luck with everything. Looks like potential for something here. We just jumped right into tracking season gotta love it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Social Media Crew Penn State Posted November 17, 2022 Author Social Media Crew Share Posted November 17, 2022 What’s that old saying about forecasting the high.. it was there on the 12z, but not on the 18z run of the GFS. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDBlueridge Posted November 18, 2022 Share Posted November 18, 2022 cutter. lol. I wish Jeremiah David Renken would give me a warning bar for this post. 😀 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Social Media Crew Penn State Posted November 18, 2022 Author Social Media Crew Share Posted November 18, 2022 4 minutes ago, MDBlueridge said: cutter. lol. I wish Jeremiah David Renken would give me a warning bar for this post. 😀 Lol.. Actually, the last time that a storm was 💩💩 ’d.. it did pretty well.. if I remember correctly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Social Media Crew Penn State Posted November 18, 2022 Author Social Media Crew Share Posted November 18, 2022 I don’t think that I saw the ICON posted.. but it looked supportive of the GFS at 12z. That 500 mb.. It’s a beaut’ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1816 Posted November 18, 2022 Share Posted November 18, 2022 It's so nice to be back to this. Nothing quite like scrutinizing every model run and anticipating weather mayhem while cracking jokes with a swell bunch of nerds. 2 2 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators telejunkie Posted November 18, 2022 Moderators Share Posted November 18, 2022 0z Euro had the deep wave, but the Atlantic storm had shifted too far east allowing the ridging over top to slide east towards Atlantic Canada, allowing the vortex to push up into Canada bringing WAA to the northeast. See where we go from here... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted November 18, 2022 Admin Share Posted November 18, 2022 Hard to find much encouraging in east Asia, maybe just beyond these dates. Looks to suggest more frontal than anything. 12z GFS largely, frontal. Plenty more spins on the wheel. There is a ripple on the front, but gets going far too late for anyone. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Social Media Crew Penn State Posted November 18, 2022 Author Social Media Crew Share Posted November 18, 2022 GEFS looks decent.. operational, not so much. As @MaineJay said, many "spins of the wheel" to go. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators telejunkie Posted November 18, 2022 Moderators Share Posted November 18, 2022 CMC's turn to show blocking above... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pghsnow Posted November 18, 2022 Share Posted November 18, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Social Media Crew Penn State Posted November 18, 2022 Author Social Media Crew Share Posted November 18, 2022 1 minute ago, Pghsnow said: Maybe a precursor to the Euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Social Media Crew Penn State Posted November 18, 2022 Author Social Media Crew Share Posted November 18, 2022 The high pressure that's north of Minnesota, moving south.. it goes from 1018 to 1021. That was present on the GFS run that had the major storm, but disappeared in subsequent runs. Just an observation, but curious to see how it unfolds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators telejunkie Posted November 18, 2022 Moderators Share Posted November 18, 2022 12z Euro was close....ridging slide east just a hair too soon...allowed SLP to drive from Delmarva into Lake Ontario Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted November 18, 2022 Admin Share Posted November 18, 2022 30 minutes ago, telejunkie said: 12z Euro was close....ridging slide east just a hair too soon...allowed SLP to drive from Delmarva into Lake Ontario Seems like there might have been as little Pacific influence that run perhaps? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSNOWSTORM Posted November 18, 2022 Share Posted November 18, 2022 Probably some front end moderate snows inland say 100 miles inland verbatim on 12z Euro, gonna be a fun week. Let's go 1/1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cer5059 Posted November 18, 2022 Share Posted November 18, 2022 22 hours ago, tool483 said: Congrats! And hey snow weddings arn't bad as long as it's managable. We got around 9 inches of snow when my sister got married, snow made the pictures and afterparty pretty crazy. Although the limo driver in his suv bailed on us once we made it to party. . .🤨 but good luck with everything. Looks like potential for something here. We just jumped right into tracking season gotta love it 23 hours ago, StretchCT said: Nice day for a white wedding! Congrats and best of luck! 22 hours ago, FortySixAnd32 said: New meaning to white wedding!! Congrats!!! Thank you!! Looked at the 10 day this morning and now they are saying a high of 47 with rain...going to be a fun week. I'll definitely be checking in 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Social Media Crew Penn State Posted November 19, 2022 Author Social Media Crew Share Posted November 19, 2022 UK looks a little different than the others… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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