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October 10th-?, 2022 | Severe Weather possible | First 2nd season potential


Iceresistance

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32 minutes ago, OKwx_2001 said:

60 percent chance of a watch here, should be coming at any moment now. It's been several months since I've been in a slight risk so this will be interesting.

And we didn't lose to Kansas so I'm in a good mood 😀

Better hope the SEC denies OU's application to join 😬

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Looks like a lock to me. Biggest question is the weak troughing over Florida. Again, that would mess up moisture return.  EPS has it but GEFS doesn't really. GEFS has a gap between the central American ridge and the Bermuda ridge which I'd assume would be associated with convection over Florida. But I don't think that would cause flow disruption like EPS would.

image.png.af0f1d8811bd23561c3efba89aca6d2e.png

image.png.fbf05b3508fc78ee6a9c0d6fa3b868a8.png

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11 minutes ago, ClicheVortex2014 said:

Looks like a lock to me. Biggest question is the weak troughing over Florida. Again, that would mess up moisture return.  EPS has it but GEFS doesn't really. GEFS has a gap between the central American ridge and the Bermuda ridge which I'd assume would be associated with convection over Florida. But I don't think that would cause flow disruption like EPS would.

image.png.af0f1d8811bd23561c3efba89aca6d2e.png

image.png.fbf05b3508fc78ee6a9c0d6fa3b868a8.png

Someone has already started a forum on this

 

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  • The title was changed to October 10th-?, 2022 | Severe Weather possible | First 2nd season potential

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