TLChip Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 (edited) Current radar, still plowing through… I guess Ian is still over water if you look at the surge currently 🫠. IR shows weakening at least. Edited September 28, 2022 by TLChip 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 It will be approximately 24 hours til it gets across the peninsula. The House of Mouse is in the general path… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted September 28, 2022 Moderators Share Posted September 28, 2022 (edited) Middle of FL getting into the action Edited September 28, 2022 by StretchCT 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TLChip Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 2 minutes ago, Burr said: It will be approximately 24 hours til it gets across the peninsula. The House of Mouse is in the general path… Oh wow look at those towers just popping up! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted September 28, 2022 Moderators Share Posted September 28, 2022 Water still coming in at Ft Meyers. Water at St Pete still going out. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC... INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...26.9N 82.0W ABOUT 5 MI...10 KM E OF PUNTA GORDA FLORIDA ABOUT 120 MI...190 KM SSW OF ORLANDO FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...140 MPH... 220 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...945 MB... 27.91 INCHES Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted September 28, 2022 Moderators Share Posted September 28, 2022 (edited) On 9/27/2022 at 8:27 AM, StretchCT said: NAVGEM, NAM and Ukie have no stall and really don't slow it down. Without the stall, the NAM, UKIE and Icon want to send it back out over the water and into SC. Were these models right? Looks like the UKIE got this one over on the GFS an Euro from Mondays 12z run (48hrs) This is where the Euro had landfall the same run GFS took it into Tampa Bay, then up the west coast. NAM and CMC were jokes. Spoiler But the FV3 - surprise surprise. Hurricane models in spoiler. HMON and HAFS had Tampa, HWRF Big Bend Edited September 28, 2022 by StretchCT 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin Mainiac Posted September 28, 2022 Admin Share Posted September 28, 2022 Weather Channel: Don't go out into the eye! There is no way to tell how long the calm will last. It presents life threatening danger! Weather Channel: We are currently out in the middle of the eye. Wow, what a clear blue sky! This is so amazing and tranquil. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ak9971 Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 Over 1 million+ without power in Florida now. Lineman staged in Lake City FL from what I’ve found. 2 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Tater Posted September 28, 2022 Moderators Share Posted September 28, 2022 7 minutes ago, StretchCT said: NAVGEM, NAM, a̶n̶d̶ ̶U̶k̶i̶e̶ ̶h̶a̶v̶e̶ ̶n̶o̶ ̶s̶t̶a̶l̶l̶ ̶a̶n̶d̶ ̶r̶e̶a̶l̶l̶y̶ ̶d̶o̶n̶'̶t̶ ̶s̶l̶o̶w̶ ̶i̶t̶ ̶d̶o̶w̶n̶.̶ ̶W̶i̶t̶h̶o̶u̶t̶ ̶t̶h̶e̶ ̶s̶t̶a̶l̶l̶,̶ ̶t̶h̶e̶ NAM ̶U̶K̶I̶E̶ ̶a̶n̶d̶ Icon w̶a̶n̶t̶ ̶t̶o̶ ̶s̶e̶n̶d̶ ̶i̶t̶ ̶b̶a̶c̶k̶ ̶o̶u̶t̶ ̶o̶v̶e̶r̶ ̶t̶h̶e̶ ̶w̶a̶t̶e̶r̶ ̶a̶n̶d̶ ̶i̶n̶t̶o̶ ̶S̶C̶.̶ Were these models right? No. The NAVGEM, NAM, and ICON weren't right. Even if they were, I refuse to acknowledge it. Plus SC is still fine. I rest my case. 😤 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1816 Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 59 minutes ago, clm said: Single girl: Can you go far out into the water and make sure no sharks get me when I go in? Single guy: Heck no! Wife: Can you go far out into the water and make sure no sharks get me and the children when we go in? Husband: Ok. 😁 Should we tell them the real reason why? Spoiler There's times a quick demise at the business end of a bull shark seems preferable to another day of domestication. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poco Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1816 Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 (edited) 18 minutes ago, StretchCT said: Were these models right? Looks like the UKIE got this one over on the GFS an Euro from Mondays 12z run (48hrs) This is where the Euro had landfall the same run GFS took it into Tampa Bay, then up the west coast. NAM and CMC were jokes. Reveal hidden contents But the FV3 - surprise surprise. Hurricane models in spoiler. HMON and HAFS had Tampa, HWRF Big Bend There was this guy who used to always prop up the ukie for track on storms of any flavor. Funny guy wonder what happened to him? Spoiler /s Edited September 28, 2022 by 1816 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Columbusbuckeye Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 55 minutes ago, Tater said: Maybe he drives for the postal service... Nah, that looks like The Pork Chop Express to me. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted September 28, 2022 Moderators Share Posted September 28, 2022 The size is impressive. These two stations just reported gusts in the 80s. 55 Miles away from the eye. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted September 28, 2022 Author Share Posted September 28, 2022 Reports of "Multiple Fatalities" in Lee County 😞 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted September 28, 2022 Moderators Share Posted September 28, 2022 (edited) Bonita/Naples area Wunderground stations before/after Edited September 28, 2022 by StretchCT 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin Sentinel Posted September 28, 2022 Admin Share Posted September 28, 2022 1 hour ago, Iceresistance said: This Semi Trucker is INSANE! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin Sentinel Posted September 28, 2022 Admin Share Posted September 28, 2022 1 hour ago, Burr said: It will be approximately 24 hours til it gets across the peninsula. The House of Mouse is in the general path… It makes landfall. All of the sudden cloud tops cool and convection fires on land. Well then. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted September 28, 2022 Moderators Share Posted September 28, 2022 Naples South Stations before/after 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted September 28, 2022 Moderators Share Posted September 28, 2022 Now Cape Coral stations Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted September 28, 2022 Moderators Share Posted September 28, 2022 Englewood area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted September 28, 2022 Admin Share Posted September 28, 2022 42 minutes ago, 1816 said: There was this guy who used to always prop up the ukie for track on storms of any flavor. Funny guy wonder what happened to him? Reveal hidden contents /s That'd be @MDBlueridge 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Tater Posted September 28, 2022 Moderators Share Posted September 28, 2022 11 minutes ago, Uscg Ast said: It makes landfall. All of the sudden cloud tops cool and convection fires on land. Well then. Maybe that's not land there now. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1816 Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 Just now, MaineJay said: That'd be @MDBlueridge He was due to show up in about 6 weeks anyway. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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