Moderators StretchCT Posted September 27, 2022 Moderators Share Posted September 27, 2022 Vort message from 22z: Eye open in southeast, 18nm wide. Pressure 949mb. SFMR winds 99mph. Flight level 110mph. Spoiler Product: NOAA Vortex Message (URNT12 KWBC) Transmitted: 27th day of the month at 22:36Z Agency: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Aircraft: Lockheed WP-3D Orion (Reg. Num. N43RF) Storm Name: Ian Storm Number & Year: 09 in 2022 (flight in the North Atlantic basin) Mission Number: 25 Observation Number: 09 A. Time of Center Fix: 27th day of the month at 22:01:10Z B. Center Fix Coordinates: 24.16N 83.13W B. Center Fix Location: 87 statute miles (140 km) to the NW (326°) from Havana, Cuba. C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: 2,677m (8,783ft) at 700mb D. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 949mb (28.03 inHg) E. Dropsonde Surface Wind at Center: From 155° at 18kts (From the SSE at 21mph) F. Eye Character: Open in the southeast G. Eye Shape & Diameter: Circular with a diameter of 18 nautical miles (21 statute miles) H. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind Inbound: 86kts (99.0mph) I. Location & Time of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind Inbound: 8 nautical miles to the NW (318°) of center fix at 21:59:05Z J. Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: From 59° at 87kts (From the ENE at 100.1mph) K. Location & Time of the Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 10 nautical miles (12 statute miles) to the NW (320°) of center fix at 21:58:38Z L. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind Outbound: 81kts (93.2mph) M. Location & Time of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind Outbound: 12 nautical miles (14 statute miles) to the SSE (149°) of center fix at 22:04:07Z N. Maximum Flight Level Wind Outbound: From 227° at 96kts (From the SW at 110.5mph) O. Location & Time of the Maximum Flight Level Wind Outbound: 30 nautical miles (35 statute miles) to the SSE (149°) of center fix at 22:09:01Z P. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 13°C (55°F) at a pressure alt. of 3,065m (10,056ft) Q. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 19°C (66°F) at a pressure alt. of 3,078m (10,098ft) R. Dewpoint Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): 13°C (55°F) R. Sea Surface Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): Not Available S. Fix Determined By: Penetration, Radar, Wind, Pressure and Temperature S. Fix Level: 700mb T. Navigational Fix Accuracy: 0.01 nautical miles T. Meteorological Accuracy: 0.5 nautical miles Remarks Section - Remarks That Were Decoded... Maximum Flight Level Wind: 96kts (~ 110.5mph) which was observed 30 nautical miles (35 statute miles) to the SSE (149°) from the flight level center at 22:09:01Z Remarks Section - Additional Remarks... SEC MAX FL WIND 84 KT BRNG:327 deg RNG:28 nm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FortySixAnd32 Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 35 minutes ago, Burr said: Super-closeup. BOOM!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted September 27, 2022 Moderators Share Posted September 27, 2022 So it begins on Key West Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 (edited) Hurricane Ian Tropical Cyclone Update NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092022 700 PM EDT Tue Sep 27 2022 ...7 PM EDT HURRICANE IAN POSITION UPDATE... ...LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE, CATASTROPHIC WINDS AND FLOODING EXPECTED WITH IAN IN THE FLORIDA PENINSULA... The estimated minimum central pressure based on recent observations from a NOAA Hurricane Hunter Aircraft is 947 mb (27.96 inches). During the last hour, the Key West International Airport reported a sustained wind of 48 mph (77 km/h) with a gust to 71 mph (114 km/h). SUMMARY OF 700 PM EDT...2300 UTC... INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...24.3N 83.1W ABOUT 200 MI...320 KM SSW OF PUNTA GORDA FLORIDA ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM SSW OF THE DRY TORTUGAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH... 195 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...947 MB... 27.96 INCHES Edited September 27, 2022 by Burr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted September 27, 2022 Moderators Share Posted September 27, 2022 (edited) Another interesting flight pattern. Edited September 27, 2022 by StretchCT 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ak9971 Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 Never realized how bad the lack of radar coverage was in SW Florida. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tool483 Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 31 minutes ago, Burr said: Webcam of the southern-most point… waves coming up over the edge… https://southernmostpointwebcam.com wow, now it looks like it was calm compaired to this. . I don't see many out for selfies now lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ak9971 Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 Velocity returns really starting to pickup in the SE portion of the storm. On average about 110-117 but beam height is also 8k ft. up. Stray 138mph reading but don’t know if I’d trust it, it’s very small spot. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted September 27, 2022 Moderators Share Posted September 27, 2022 6 minutes ago, ak9971 said: Never realized how bad the lack of radar coverage was in SW Florida. http://moe.met.fsu.edu/~mnissenbaum/RadarArchive/KBYX/loop.html http://moe.met.fsu.edu/~mnissenbaum/radar 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted September 27, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted September 27, 2022 10 minutes ago, StretchCT said: Another interesting flight pattern. Had to go grab some McDonalds or take an emergency bathroom break 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin Mainiac Posted September 27, 2022 Admin Share Posted September 27, 2022 25 minutes ago, FortySixAnd32 said: BOOM!!! A towering 56,000' above the GoM. Amazing. 5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 2 minutes ago, tool483 said: wow, now it looks like it was calm compaired to this. . I don't see many out for selfies now lol Getting dark… surf’s still up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted September 27, 2022 Author Share Posted September 27, 2022 TORNADO ON THE GROUND NEAR FORT LAUDERDALE! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted September 27, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted September 27, 2022 3 minutes ago, Iceresistance said: TORNADO ON THE GROUND NEAR FORT LAUDERDALE! Solid TVS for 13 mins. Impressive for a TC tornado. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clm Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 42 minutes ago, Burr said: Webcam of the southern-most point… waves coming up over the edge… https://southernmostpointwebcam.com And when I was there many centuries ago, that wasn't even there. You walked to the end and there was a sign stuck in the water that said "90 miles to Cuba". 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 Sipping some dry air… probably peaked… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ak9971 Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 (edited) 7 minutes ago, Iceresistance said: TORNADO ON THE GROUND NEAR FORT LAUDERDALE! Definitely was a small debris signature. Couplet weakened quite a bit compared a few minutes ago. One thing I always find fascinating during hurricanes is the amount of quick spin ups there are away from the storm. Edited September 27, 2022 by ak9971 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted September 27, 2022 Author Share Posted September 27, 2022 Just now, Burr said: Sipping some dry air… probably peaked… Just as you said that, more intense bursts of convection, he may have not peaked yet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted September 27, 2022 Moderators Share Posted September 27, 2022 Inner eyewall halfway gone. It's been stubbornly reforming on the south side, but I think this might be the real thing. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 3 minutes ago, Iceresistance said: Just as you said that, more intense bursts of convection, he may have not peaked yet. Yup. Saw that, too! It’ll keep waxing and waning, but that’s definitely not a sign of a strengthening system… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 2 minutes ago, StretchCT said: Inner eyewall halfway gone. It's been stubbornly reforming on the south side, but I think this might be the real thing. Sure looks like an ERC with that wide outer ring. But it’s also open to the southeast… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1816 Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 I think we have a long time to go until landfall. It's gonna get through the ewrc and still be over bathwater. I'm not too good with shear though and I know that was supposed to be an issue. Seems like it's running ahead of schedule though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted September 27, 2022 Moderators Share Posted September 27, 2022 What's always perplexed me is how the higher returns don't always show up with the coldest cloud tops. Based on the radar, I'd expect the coldest clouds to be on the N and W side. But the satellite had the coldest clouds on the sw to se side. Which is the weakest part of the radar. And theres the dark band on the sat by the tip of the peninsula but nothing on radar 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted September 27, 2022 Author Share Posted September 27, 2022 Oh great, another tornado in Hollywood, FL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Posted by Sentinel,
Thank you to everybody
Recommended by Sentinel
12 reactions
Go to this post
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now