TLChip Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 (edited) 12 minutes ago, clm said: Nah, the marshmallow was a tad overcooked on that side. We are all jealous that hurricanes have the feta cheese snow in them. Thanks @StretchCT Page topper edit: Edited September 27, 2022 by TLChip 1 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted September 27, 2022 Author Share Posted September 27, 2022 He's getting stronger again, now at 120 mph and 955 mb per hourly updates Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clm Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 On 9/26/2022 at 4:50 AM, 1816 said: Holy crap its pulling out of the pacific across Panama. Well yeah it can only cross via the Panama Canal. Question is, where do you mail the toll to? 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 Wide view, for perspective 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 Key West radar (Accuweather iPhone app version) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted September 27, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted September 27, 2022 Oh man 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1816 Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 29 minutes ago, Burr said: Wide view, for perspective That's a healthy sumbitch. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1816 Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 I'm not into tornados as much as a lot of you so I'm always thinking to myself in the back of the head why do these guys ooh and aaah over these things that destroy everyone's shit. But I'm starting to understand. This hurricane is truly a sight to behold. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clm Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 1 minute ago, 1816 said: I'm not into tornados as much as a lot of you so I'm always thinking to myself in the back of the head why do these guys ooh and aaah over these things that destroy everyone's shit. But I'm starting to understand. This hurricane is truly a sight to behold. It is very impressive. Sadly it is destructive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1816 Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 I've been kind of thinking this for a bit and as a disclaimer I have absolutely no factual basis to say this but if this gets all the way to cat 5 winds I will not be surprised in the slightest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FortySixAnd32 Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 10 minutes ago, ClicheVortex2014 said: Oh man Turning right!!!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1816 Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 5 minutes ago, FortySixAnd32 said: Turning right!!!!! Everyone in key west: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted September 27, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted September 27, 2022 (edited) New update puts Ian at 952mb. Same winds. IIRC, that's a 3mb drop in 3 hours. Should see it strengthen at an even more rapid rate now that it's separating itself from Cuba. Edited September 27, 2022 by ClicheVortex2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 Hurricane Ian Tropical Cyclone Update NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092022 300 PM EDT Tue Sep 27 2022 ...3 PM EDT HURRICANE IAN POSITION UPDATE... Data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate the minimum pressure has decreased to 952 mb (28.11 in). SUMMARY OF 300 PM EDT...1900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...23.7N 83.3W ABOUT 255 MI...410 KM S OF SARASOTA FLORIDA ABOUT 75 MI...120 KM SSW OF THE DRY TORTUGAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH... 195 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...952 MB ...28.11 INCHES Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted September 27, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted September 27, 2022 (edited) Comparison of near-landfall strength and location between GFS and Euro... GFS is 12 hours slower than Euro. Euro is stronger at near-landfall. Near-landfall location isn't too far off. GFS drops more precip by far. Even though GFS is weaker, I'd say that is the more deadly and possibly costly scenario. Storm surge causes nearly half of hurricane-related deaths (49%), and GFS would provide more time to whip up some storm surge. Also, adding more rain on top of that only exacerbates the situation because flooding makes up for 27% of hurricane deaths. Edited September 27, 2022 by ClicheVortex2014 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted September 27, 2022 Moderators Share Posted September 27, 2022 (edited) Mission 21 found the strongest winds so far of 144mph at 18:15z Likewise the strongest flight level winds. Edited September 27, 2022 by StretchCT 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LUCC Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 33 minutes ago, 1816 said: I'm not into tornados as much as a lot of you so I'm always thinking to myself in the back of the head why do these guys ooh and aaah over these things that destroy everyone's shit. But I'm starting to understand. This hurricane is truly a sight to behold. No one is rooting or wanting death and destruction, but mother nature is going to do whatever she wants and it's cool we can track and 'forecast' close to what is going to occur. Imagine back in the day not knowing this thing is coming for you and having to prepare when the tides are rising and weather deteriorating quickly, couldn't imagine. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poco Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 42 minutes ago, ClicheVortex2014 said: Oh man Yea it was only a matter of time with this fella Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted September 27, 2022 Moderators Share Posted September 27, 2022 Using the cesium option again as you can put multiple flights in. This gives a good picture of strengthening and motion. Center fixes from 15:13Z to 18:59Z. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1816 Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 5 minutes ago, LUCC said: No one is rooting or wanting death and destruction, but mother nature is going to do whatever she wants and it's cool we can track and 'forecast' close to what is going to occur. Imagine back in the day not knowing this thing is coming for you and having to prepare when the tides are rising and weather deteriorating quickly, couldn't imagine. I don't guess there's a whole lot they could have done anyway. Not like they could have run to Walmart for beer and water. No home depot for plywood either 😂 The ones I think about are the ones on ships with only sails for propulsion. Nightmare fuel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poco Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 AdjT still shows Ian pumping 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted September 27, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted September 27, 2022 Just now, StretchCT said: Using the cesium option again as you can put multiple flights in. This gives a good picture of strengthening and motion. Center fixes from 15:13Z to 18:59Z. I love how chaotic those wind barbs get haha. That is very helpful though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poco Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 (edited) 7 minutes ago, Poco said: AdjT still shows Ian pumping 928mb one ADT and 132kts only 8 Kts away from adt h5 Edited September 27, 2022 by Poco 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poco Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 Latest mimic loop shows how strongly wrapped this eyewall is with convection, maybe we will get lucky and an erc will kick off just before landfall 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted September 27, 2022 Moderators Share Posted September 27, 2022 8 minutes ago, ClicheVortex2014 said: I love how chaotic those wind barbs get haha. Yeah this is only really two flights, one at 45k feet. The others still coming into it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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