Burr Posted September 22, 2022 Share Posted September 22, 2022 (edited) From the 5pm NHC discussion “The cyclone is forecast to grow in size as it approaches Atlantic Canada, and earlier ASCAT data showed that the tropical-storm-force winds have already expanded over the eastern portion of the storm. The initial and forecast wind radii have been adjusted accordingly.” https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDAT2+shtml/222042.shtml? Edited September 22, 2022 by Burr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted September 22, 2022 Share Posted September 22, 2022 Observation of the recent satellite data… the north and northwest side of the core appears to have deteriorated quite a bit from earlier. Even looks to have lost its contiguous eye wall briefly. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted September 22, 2022 Author Share Posted September 22, 2022 Recently found out that you can fly through hurricanes even with Passenger Jets but take serious caution because of the possibility of severe to extreme turbulence by the changing wind directions, thunderstorm updrafts, and hail. And the JetBlue plane is not the first one to do it. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted September 23, 2022 Moderators Share Posted September 23, 2022 (edited) Down to 932, and a dropsonde got that too. Location: 30.8°N 69.1°W Moving: NNE at 20 mph Min pressure: 932 mb Max sustained: 130 mph Edited September 23, 2022 by StretchCT 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted September 23, 2022 Moderators Share Posted September 23, 2022 Bermuda radar is down. lease note that the radar imagery is currently offline. We apologize for the inconvenience. Please refer to the available satellite imagery and forecast for today. The radar imagery will be back online as quickly as possible. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted September 23, 2022 Moderators Share Posted September 23, 2022 TS winds reached Bermuda - 38G50kt and 43g53kt 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 Wider context… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 Next hunter inbound from St. Croix, USVI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 Bermuda in the right rear view mirror… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC... INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...33.8N 66.8W ABOUT 155 MI...250 KM NW OF BERMUDA ABOUT 765 MI...1230 KM SSW OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH...205 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 25 MPH...41 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...936 MB... 27.64 INCHES Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 Hurricane Fiona Discussion Number 36 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072022 500 AM AST Fri Sep 23 2022 Fiona is feeling the first effects of the mid-latitude westerlies, with the eye becoming less distinct during the past few hours and the central convection becoming more ragged. … Click through for the entire discussion… Spoiler In addition, satellite imagery shows a cold front approaching the cyclone from the west. However, these changes have not yet caused much change in strength. An earlier Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter mission found the central pressure was 936 mb, and it reported 132-kt 700-mb flight-level winds in the southeastern eyewall. The maximum surface wind estimates from the SFMR were under 100 kt, so the initial intensity of 110 kt is a compromise between the SFMR winds and the higher intensity suggested by the flight-level wind. Fiona is accelerating to the north-northeast with the initial motion now 030/22 kt. Interaction with the strong deep-layer trough moving eastward into the northwestern Atlantic should cause the hurricane to speed up further during the next day or so, reaching peak speeds of 30-35 kt as it approaches Nova Scotia. As stated in the previous advisory, Fiona should merge with the trough soon after 24 hours, slow down a bit, but continue moving northward across Atlantic Canada to the Labrador Sea during the balance of the forecast period. There are no significant changes to the track guidance for this advisory, and the new track forecast is an update of the previous forecast. Fiona should start to undergo extratropical transition during the next 12 h, with the transition likely to be complete just after the 24 h point. While the cyclone will weaken some during the transition, it is expected to remain a powerful hurricane-force cyclone as it crosses Nova Scotia into the Gulf of St. Lawrence. Continued weakening is expected after that, and winds could drop below gale force by day 5 when the post-tropical low is over the Labrador Sea. The new intensity forecast had some minor adjustments from the previous forecast and it follows the overall trend of the intensity guidance, including the global models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted September 23, 2022 Author Share Posted September 23, 2022 There she goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted September 23, 2022 Moderators Share Posted September 23, 2022 This is normally a quiet sheltered bay. Spray is blowing onto the camera 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clm Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 13 hours ago, Iceresistance said: Recently found out that you can fly through hurricanes even with Passenger Jets but take serious caution because of the possibility of severe to extreme turbulence by the changing wind directions, thunderstorm updrafts, and hail. And the JetBlue plane is not the first one to do it. I would love to hear the stupidity on the reasoning for that. One thing to go through a simple thunderstorm, but a Cat 4 hurricane? Even a Cat 1 I wouldn't do it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted September 23, 2022 Author Share Posted September 23, 2022 Just now, clm said: I would love to hear the stupidity on the reasoning for that. One thing to go through a simple thunderstorm, but a Cat 4 hurricane? Even a Cat 1 I wouldn't do it. Fiona was a Cat 2 to a 3 when they flew through it, they may have no choice because it was the only flight that could get out of Puerto Rico, and the destination is in New Jersey. WaPo has confirmed it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clm Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 Just now, Iceresistance said: Fiona was a Cat 2 to a 3 when they flew through it, they may have no choice because it was the only flight that could get out of Puerto Rico, and the destination is in New Jersey. WaPo has confirmed it. Ok. Well if there was no choice, then I can see that. Though that should be a last resort type of thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted September 23, 2022 Author Share Posted September 23, 2022 Just now, clm said: Ok. Well if there was no choice, then I can see that. Though that should be a last resort type of thing. https://www.washingtonpost.com/climate-environment/2022/09/22/jetblue-hurricane-flight-fiona/ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted September 23, 2022 Author Share Posted September 23, 2022 Holy crap! Recon has found Category 5 Flight Level winds (Peaking at 144 knots (165 mph)) with a dropsonde showing 140 mph winds just above the surface! 🤯 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted September 23, 2022 Moderators Share Posted September 23, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted September 23, 2022 Moderators Share Posted September 23, 2022 Here's two sites with gusts in the 90's. Actually the museum is in kts so it's over 100mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted September 23, 2022 Admin Share Posted September 23, 2022 Just about captured 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted September 23, 2022 Moderators Share Posted September 23, 2022 (edited) Somerset Village Bermuda Edited September 23, 2022 by StretchCT 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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