Burr Posted September 20, 2022 Share Posted September 20, 2022 Starting to see more ‘cold peaks’ in pink outside the eye wall… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted September 20, 2022 Share Posted September 20, 2022 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin Sentinel Posted September 20, 2022 Admin Share Posted September 20, 2022 1 hour ago, Tater said: Maintenance is absolutely an issue, but I think it would be less of an issue than constant blackouts. Of course, by now most folks have some combo of generators, solar panels, fresh water storage, and so forth, so maybe coping with blackouts is manageable. However, an entire island running on generator power quickly becomes an air quality/respiratory issue. The steel and concrete power poles fared better, though not 100% reliable. Its possible that some combination of those poles with tighter spacing and reinforced cables could decrease the chances of problems. However watching the aftermath of Dorian and seeing footage from Josh Morgerman showing leveled reinforced concrete walls made me realize the destructive power of a Cat 5 hurricane, and I don't think any above ground solution is a "permanent" fix. Unfortunately we all know that proper infrastructure investments are unlikely and things will just be patched together between storms. It's a political problem, not an engineering problem. 100%. Corruption is corruption. Also, while we are on this subject: the clips below are/were literally my worst nightmare as a responder. First one especially. https://youtube.com/clip/Ugkx0CR7q1KY3rGENrUsoIRkUNAFRziwPdGi https://youtu.be/IQxG_ZcseYo https://youtu.be/QK5hMcv1x-w 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin Sentinel Posted September 20, 2022 Admin Share Posted September 20, 2022 44 minutes ago, StretchCT said: We need to bury lines on the east coast and California too. Not going to happen. I lose power typically multiple times a year. Once or twice for “maintenance “ once or twice for a car vs utility pole. These are typically short periods, under a couple of hours. Wind, snow or ice will take me offline for days. I live in one of the wealthiest counties in one of the wealthiest countries. We don’t get it right here, how are other areas going to do it. Unfortunately... It really comes down to $$$ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin Sentinel Posted September 20, 2022 Admin Share Posted September 20, 2022 49 minutes ago, StretchCT said: I live in one of the wealthiest counties in one of the wealthiest countries. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted September 20, 2022 Moderators Share Posted September 20, 2022 34 minutes ago, Uscg Ast said: I’m literally at Greenwich Hospital right now. 🎉🎉 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted September 20, 2022 Admin Share Posted September 20, 2022 1 hour ago, StretchCT said: We need to bury lines on the east coast and California too. Not going to happen. I lose power typically multiple times a year. Once or twice for “maintenance “ once or twice for a car vs utility pole. These are typically short periods, under a couple of hours. Wind, snow or ice will take me offline for days. I live in one of the wealthiest counties in one of the wealthiest countries. We don’t get it right here, how are other areas going to do it. If there was only a way to get power from the sun. 🪄 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clm Posted September 20, 2022 Share Posted September 20, 2022 2 hours ago, StretchCT said: We need to bury lines on the east coast and California too. Not going to happen. I lose power typically multiple times a year. Once or twice for “maintenance “ once or twice for a car vs utility pole. These are typically short periods, under a couple of hours. Wind, snow or ice will take me offline for days. I live in one of the wealthiest counties in one of the wealthiest countries. We don’t get it right here, how are other areas going to do it. Problem is we're too busy burying other things like Hoffa, proof, treasure, etc.... No room for something logical and that would be useful and helpful for all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clm Posted September 20, 2022 Share Posted September 20, 2022 43 minutes ago, MaineJay said: If there was only a way to get power from the sun. 🪄 There is a huge problem with that. Sun revolves around the earth and since the earth is rectangular and flat, it does not stay in one spot for very long to give us any power. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clm Posted September 20, 2022 Share Posted September 20, 2022 That High is pushing Fiona away from us. We've been quite lucky in having a push coming from the NW in keeping storms away from the east coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted September 20, 2022 Moderators Share Posted September 20, 2022 Latest vort message and drop sonde still show the wind is there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted September 20, 2022 Admin Share Posted September 20, 2022 Most recent microwave is 4 hours old, and while asymmetrical, there appeared to be a decent, continuous eyewall intact. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted September 20, 2022 Moderators Share Posted September 20, 2022 Whatever shear was impinging the west side is losing as the storm has expanded on that side. Also seems to be moving more west than north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted September 20, 2022 Admin Share Posted September 20, 2022 5 minutes ago, StretchCT said: Whatever shear was impinging the west side is losing as the storm has expanded on that side. Also seems to be moving more west than north Was thinking the same, looks almost due west last 40 minutes. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clm Posted September 20, 2022 Share Posted September 20, 2022 Turks and Caicos getting the full brunt of it. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted September 20, 2022 Share Posted September 20, 2022 34 minutes ago, clm said: Turks and Caicos getting the full brunt of it. Grace Bay - regularly listed as the #1 beach in the world - is on the north shore of the little ‘U’. Must be getting huge surf over the reef… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted September 20, 2022 Share Posted September 20, 2022 Webcam from Grace Bay. Doesn’t look as bad as I feared. Usually this is as calm as a bathtub… demonstrative of the benefits of a good offshore reef. https://www.sevenstarsgracebay.com/live-cam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted September 20, 2022 Share Posted September 20, 2022 (edited) BULLETIN Hurricane Fiona Intermediate Advisory Number 25A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072022 200 PM EDT Tue Sep 20 2022 ...FIONA CONTINUES TO BRING HURRICANE CONDITIONS TO PORTIONS OF THE TURKS AND CAICOS... SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC... INFORMATION -----------------------------------------LOCATION...22.3N 71.7W ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM NNE OF NORTH CAICOS ISLAND ABOUT 810 MI...1305 KM SSW OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH... 185 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT... NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...959 MB... 28.32 INCHES Edited September 20, 2022 by Burr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted September 20, 2022 Share Posted September 20, 2022 Appears to me that while the cloud tops have warmed since this morning, the cloud cover in the eye is also thinning out… 6 hours ago: Now: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted September 20, 2022 Share Posted September 20, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clm Posted September 20, 2022 Share Posted September 20, 2022 (edited) 35 minutes ago, Burr said: Is it me or is it starting to take a more northerly direction? At least that is what I see when looking at the eye. Edited September 20, 2022 by clm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted September 20, 2022 Moderators Share Posted September 20, 2022 (edited) T# back up yes, it looks like it wobbled around for a while now heading north. Have to check center fixes https://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/adt/movies/odthtml5_07L.html Edited September 20, 2022 by StretchCT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted September 20, 2022 Admin Share Posted September 20, 2022 1 hour ago, clm said: Is it me or is it starting to take a more northerly direction? At least that is what I see when looking at the eye. Looks like it wobbed north, but here's a 3 hour loop, hasn't moved much. Good outflow developing, you can see the gravity waves propagating out from the center, as well as those radial striations seen in strong storms. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted September 20, 2022 Admin Share Posted September 20, 2022 Only model I saw that doesn't crush Cape Breton is the HMON. Depth anywhere from 925mb to 942mb. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted September 20, 2022 Moderators Share Posted September 20, 2022 (edited) Mission 21 first pass in has 950mb. It was only half through... heres the result on the other side. Flight level wind 131mph sfmr 117 Edited September 20, 2022 by StretchCT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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