Moderators StretchCT Posted September 18, 2022 Moderators Share Posted September 18, 2022 (edited) Ponce seeing sustained near TS force as the northern eyewall approaches. edit: will note this station went off line shortly after I posted it. These are current winds (barbs) and gusts (red) from NWS https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/ Edited September 18, 2022 by StretchCT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted September 18, 2022 Moderators Share Posted September 18, 2022 Some 100+mph winds likely exist with this one. This would be about 2500 feet. I'm skeptical of those 116mph ones over land, although the mountains there are 2500-3200+ feet so there could be some enhanced up/down sloping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burr Posted September 18, 2022 Share Posted September 18, 2022 Been on jury duty this week… late to the game on Fiona. Thanks, everyone, for these posts! Very helpful getting caught up. NHC track prediction as of this morning’s update: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted September 18, 2022 Moderators Share Posted September 18, 2022 Northern wall hitting southern coast of PR now. Winds gusting into the 60s 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1816 Posted September 18, 2022 Share Posted September 18, 2022 8 minutes ago, StretchCT said: Northern wall hitting southern coast of PR now. Winds gusting into the 60s Wonder what the tides are like. That's a setup for some major surge. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted September 18, 2022 Moderators Share Posted September 18, 2022 Radar might be down. It's where the black circle is and went through some heavier bands. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted September 18, 2022 Moderators Share Posted September 18, 2022 Station in Ponce just reported a gust of 103mph..😲🤔 - and now it's calm (or offline) 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted September 18, 2022 Author Share Posted September 18, 2022 22 minutes ago, StretchCT said: Station in Ponce just reported a gust of 103mph..😲🤔 - and now it's calm (or offline) Another 102 mph gust with a sustained wind speed of 69 mph as been recorded at that same general area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted September 18, 2022 Moderators Share Posted September 18, 2022 Radar back up but sketchy Closer up the eye looks messy and smaller. Might make landfall soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted September 18, 2022 Moderators Share Posted September 18, 2022 Last vortex from mission 11 had 30nm wide eye, down from 40 earlier,.Also picked up a 76mph sfmr wind. Spoiler Product: Air Force Vortex Message (URNT12 KNHC) Transmitted: 18th day of the month at 17:20Z Agency: United States Air Force Aircraft: Lockheed WC-130J Hercules with reg. number AF97-5303 Storm Name: Fiona Storm Number & Year: 07 in 2022 (flight in the North Atlantic basin) Mission Number: 11 Observation Number: 30 A. Time of Center Fix: 18th day of the month at 16:40:30Z B. Center Fix Coordinates: 17.62N 66.68W B. Center Fix Location: 68 statute miles (109 km) to the SW (217°) from San Juan, Puerto Rico (U.S.). C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: 2,982m (9,783ft) at 700mb D. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 988mb (29.18 inHg) E. Dropsonde Surface Wind at Center (Undecoded): NA F. Eye Character: Open in the south G. Eye Shape & Diameter: Circular with a diameter of 30 nautical miles (35 statute miles) H. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind Inbound: 66kts (76.0mph) I. Location & Time of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind Inbound: 23 nautical miles (26 statute miles) to the ENE (69°) of center fix at 16:33:30Z J. Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: From 154° at 72kts (From the SSE at 82.9mph) K. Location & Time of the Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 28 nautical miles (32 statute miles) to the ENE (68°) of center fix at 16:32:00Z L. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind Outbound: 59kts (67.9mph) M. Location & Time of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind Outbound: 13 nautical miles (15 statute miles) to the SW (230°) of center fix at 16:44:30Z N. Maximum Flight Level Wind Outbound: From 314° at 56kts (From the NW at 64.4mph) O. Location & Time of the Maximum Flight Level Wind Outbound: 12 nautical miles (14 statute miles) to the SW (231°) of center fix at 16:44:00Z P. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 6°C (43°F) at a pressure alt. of 3,055m (10,023ft) Q. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 15°C (59°F) at a pressure alt. of 3,047m (9,997ft) R. Dewpoint Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): 9°C (48°F) R. Sea Surface Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): Not Available S. Fix Determined By: Penetration, Radar, Wind, Pressure and Temperature S. Fix Level: 700mb T. Navigational Fix Accuracy: 0.02 nautical miles T. Meteorological Accuracy: 1 nautical mile Remarks Section: Maximum Flight Level Wind: 72kts (~ 82.9mph) which was observed 28 nautical miles (32 statute miles) to the ENE (68°) from the flight level center at 16:32:00Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted September 18, 2022 Author Share Posted September 18, 2022 Very close to landfall now, 85 mph and 985 MB. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted September 18, 2022 Moderators Share Posted September 18, 2022 Very sketchy radar again, but looks like it made landfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted September 18, 2022 Author Share Posted September 18, 2022 17 minutes ago, StretchCT said: Very sketchy radar again, but looks like it made landfall. Apparently confirmed, but I'm strongly thinking that they will mention it in the Post-Season TCRs. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted September 18, 2022 Moderators Share Posted September 18, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted September 18, 2022 Moderators Share Posted September 18, 2022 Whole island lost power and bridges are washing away 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted September 18, 2022 Moderators Share Posted September 18, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted September 18, 2022 Admin Share Posted September 18, 2022 ECMWF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted September 18, 2022 Moderators Share Posted September 18, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted September 18, 2022 Moderators Share Posted September 18, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted September 18, 2022 Moderators Share Posted September 18, 2022 Some stormchaser vid https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UqIu1VqZkKU Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted September 18, 2022 Moderators Share Posted September 18, 2022 These seem to be the peak gusts. 103 is suspect given the others. 24 hr rain And still more rain to come. Eye nearing or over Mona Island. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin Sentinel Posted September 18, 2022 Admin Share Posted September 18, 2022 3 hours ago, StretchCT said: Whole island lost power and bridges are washing away That grid was never in good shape. The corruption on that Island is nuts, or maybe on par with the current world 🤔 Either way - The grid that was redone after Maria should have been the most modern and resilient in the world. Instead a Cat 1 Hurricane took out the entire Island. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted September 18, 2022 Moderators Share Posted September 18, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted September 18, 2022 Moderators Share Posted September 18, 2022 IDK - usually when my power goes out, I don't send reports to Wunderground. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted September 19, 2022 Author Share Posted September 19, 2022 28 minutes ago, StretchCT said: IDK - usually when my power goes out, I don't send reports to Wunderground. I'm very confused right now, how is that even possible? 😕 Maybe they get the energy from the wind. 😛 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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