Gerb131 Posted September 11, 2022 Share Posted September 11, 2022 usually tracking canes but is zzzz 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Central Illinois Posted September 11, 2022 Moderators Share Posted September 11, 2022 4 hours ago, StormfanaticInd said: This tends to be a very time of the year weather wise around here. only a few months till the winter storm tracking starts! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted September 11, 2022 Share Posted September 11, 2022 (edited) 3 minutes ago, Central Illinois said: only a few months till the winter storm tracking starts! Fall storm season can be interesting too Edited September 11, 2022 by StormfanaticInd 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWOhioChaser Posted September 11, 2022 Share Posted September 11, 2022 (edited) There's usually a decent threat of a nice wind storm to take place around late October into November that can shake things up a bit. Sometimes they bust, but it seems as of late there's been a few severe events in the Midwest/Plains. Don't know the ramifications of a third Nina fall though...that's for another thread. On another note, today I could see the slight haze of the smoke in the horizon during sunset tonight. Edited September 11, 2022 by NWOhioChaser 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted September 11, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted September 11, 2022 Forgot to share this earlier but we had incredibly heavy rain here. It was insane. This was the radar shot 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted September 12, 2022 Share Posted September 12, 2022 moderate rain for hours in Wisconsin, not even thunder 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted September 12, 2022 Share Posted September 12, 2022 13 hours ago, Chinook said: moderate rain for hours in Wisconsin, not even thunder You don't need lightning to have heavy rainfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted September 15, 2022 Share Posted September 15, 2022 This isn't really severe weather, but I'll put it here. Yesterday and today, there has been high-altitude forest fire smoke over the region. I noticed it pretty easily, and I've been sort of expecting this to come across the country. This year, Pivotalweather has had the HRRR smoke particle forecast, so it's just a bit easier to track it. The sky is white-ish and the sunset was just a bit weird, nothing too much in the realm of reddish. Unfortunately I've had lots more experience with forest fire smoke in Colorado than I ever wanted to. It sucks when surface air quality is rated as unhealthy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted September 16, 2022 Share Posted September 16, 2022 Triple Slight Risk Days starting today, this was a sleeper setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted September 17, 2022 Share Posted September 17, 2022 (edited) A couple of September supercells. The top image is near KLNX radar in Nebraska. the bottom one is southwest of North Platte Edited September 17, 2022 by Chinook Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted September 17, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted September 17, 2022 7 hours ago, Iceresistance said: Triple Slight Risk Days starting today, this was a sleeper setup. August is the dead month for severe weather. Jet stream is starting to strengthen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted September 17, 2022 Share Posted September 17, 2022 I wonder what the implications are for this down the road 🤔 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bman10 Posted September 17, 2022 Share Posted September 17, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted September 17, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted September 17, 2022 6 minutes ago, Bman10 said: Yeah that's nasty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted September 17, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted September 17, 2022 Nasty hodographs in the central Plains Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted September 17, 2022 Share Posted September 17, 2022 There is some weak rotation on this supercell, and there has been 1" hail reported southwest of Topeka KS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted September 17, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted September 17, 2022 Watch likely Mesoscale Discussion 1792 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0511 PM CDT Sat Sep 17 2022 Areas affected...much of northeast Kansas into parts of the mid Missouri Valley Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 172211Z - 180215Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...Storms should develop from southeast Nebraska into east-central and northeast Kansas with large hail and brief tornado risk. With time, damaging winds should become the primary concern as storms develop into northwest Missouri this evening. DISCUSSION...Visible imagery and surface observations indicate an uncapped and unstable air mass near a surface trough extending from the TX Panhandle across central KS and into eastern NE. Meanwhile, an outflow boundary stretches from northern MO into western IA, where air mass modification is underway. Storms are expected to develop between 23-00Z along the surface trough into northeast KS and southeast NE, aided by the increasing low-level jet. Modest mid and upper flow atop increasing low-level southwesterlies will favor both supercells initially and an MCS later this evening. Steep lapse rates with cool midlevel temperatures will also favor damaging hail with the initial cellular activity, and a brief tornado may occur near the old outflow boundary as well, prior to storms merging this evening. Conditions are *very* favorable for supercells. We'll see how long the time window is for that before they become non-discrete. LCL is a little on the high side except for NW MO... for now. With the sun setting and the nocturnal LLJ kicking in, I'd imagine the LCL will lower a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted September 17, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted September 17, 2022 (edited) Severe weather AND football, tonight and tomorrow. Good stuff. Edited September 17, 2022 by ClicheVortex2014 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted September 18, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted September 18, 2022 Tornadic supercell in Iowa. Severe weather is definitely waking back up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted September 18, 2022 Share Posted September 18, 2022 Corning is my severe weather pick for the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neoncyclone Posted September 18, 2022 Share Posted September 18, 2022 5 hours ago, Bman10 said: That would make for quite the day, probably some pretty incredible pictures too, hoping for it to go like this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted September 18, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted September 18, 2022 Supercells for days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted September 18, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted September 18, 2022 0z HRRR looks nasty on the surface but I see a lot of bust potential with the morning convection. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neoncyclone Posted September 18, 2022 Share Posted September 18, 2022 21 minutes ago, ClicheVortex2014 said: 0z HRRR looks nasty on the surface but I see a lot of bust potential with the morning convection. The main event seems like it's coming in a lot later than the 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted September 18, 2022 Share Posted September 18, 2022 High precipitation supercell Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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