Iceresistance Posted August 12, 2022 Share Posted August 12, 2022 Severe Weather threat dying, and so is eventually the heatwave. Next thing to watch is the Tropics. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mar66rus2 Posted August 12, 2022 Share Posted August 12, 2022 1 hour ago, Iceresistance said: Severe Weather threat dying, and so is eventually the heatwave. Next thing to watch is the Tropics. Is it me, or has it been unusually quiet in the tropics this year? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger89 Posted August 12, 2022 Share Posted August 12, 2022 47 minutes ago, Mar66rus2 said: Is it me, or has it been unusually quiet in the tropics this year? It's quiet... too quiet. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Central Illinois Posted August 12, 2022 Moderators Share Posted August 12, 2022 On 8/2/2022 at 7:29 PM, Uscg Ast said: It's saying something when the first thing you think of is snow totals. lol no kidding! I ended up with right at 6" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted August 12, 2022 Share Posted August 12, 2022 3 hours ago, Mar66rus2 said: Is it me, or has it been unusually quiet in the tropics this year? Yes, it's been too quiet, it's a ticking time bomb waiting to explode. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted August 13, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted August 13, 2022 (edited) FWIW, NHC and University of Colorado lowered their expectations for the hurricane season but it's still expected to be slightly above average Certainly makes sense that the hurricane season will strike back hard. We aren't even near the peak hurricane season. Still like a month away. I saw on Twitter that there's been only 3 other instances of such low hurricane activity through this point of the season. The 3 other times were 1991, 1992, and 1997. Or something like that. But we're in a moderate La Nina... no reason we won't see at least the Caribbean/GoM light up... if not the MDR. Edited August 13, 2022 by ClicheVortex2014 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWOhioChaser Posted August 13, 2022 Share Posted August 13, 2022 Going to get rather cool tonight. 51° Been a while since we've had a night below 60. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
btbucks Posted August 13, 2022 Share Posted August 13, 2022 Mostly overcast today. Was hoping for a nice sunny pool day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
junior Posted August 14, 2022 Share Posted August 14, 2022 Yea its been super nice lately for some outdoor walks etc. Not too hot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted August 14, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted August 14, 2022 NAM thinks it's March or April Near Atlanta 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted August 14, 2022 Share Posted August 14, 2022 1 hour ago, ClicheVortex2014 said: NAM thinks it's March or April Near Atlanta Well, it's about time for the 2nd Severe Weather season in the Fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted August 15, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted August 15, 2022 5 minutes ago, Iceresistance said: Well, it's about time for the 2nd Severe Weather season in the Fall. Got about a month until we get there but yeah. We're getting there, but for now severe weather is just dead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted August 15, 2022 Share Posted August 15, 2022 (edited) 4 minutes ago, ClicheVortex2014 said: Got about a month until we get there but yeah. We're getting there, but for now severe weather is just dead. Yeah, it's been extremely dead for now, like 2021 until October came in and scared the crud on me with 2 Moderate Risk Days within a week for my area! EDIT: I forgot to add that a dud spring season does not mean that fall will be the same. Edited August 15, 2022 by Iceresistance 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted August 15, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted August 15, 2022 (edited) 3 minutes ago, Iceresistance said: Yeah, it's been extremely dead for now, like 2021 until October came in and scared the crud on me with 2 Moderate Risk Days within a week for my area! The ENSO forecast reminds me of 2016-17. Early peaking moderate Nina. Should be an active winter for severe weather. Edited August 15, 2022 by ClicheVortex2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted August 15, 2022 Share Posted August 15, 2022 2 minutes ago, ClicheVortex2014 said: The ENSO forecast reminds me of 2016-17. Early peaking moderate Nina. Should be an active winter for severe weather. And winter weather? The Old Farmers (And Farmers) almanac is literally calling for a literal "Hibernation zone" for the Northern and parts of the Southern Plains. Also mentioned that "One half would see a lot of snow, but the other half would not see much of winter." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted August 15, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted August 15, 2022 3 minutes ago, Iceresistance said: And winter weather? The Old Farmers (And Farmers) almanac is literally calling for a literal "Hibernation zone" for the Northern and parts of the Southern Plains. Also mentioned that "One half would see a lot of snow, but the other half would not see much of winter." Those almanacs always call for brutal winters. It's basically just porn for those who love winter weather. A repeat of 2016-17 would be a warm winter for the US... especially the eastern half. But we'll have to see what happens with MJO and the Arctic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted August 15, 2022 Share Posted August 15, 2022 1 minute ago, ClicheVortex2014 said: Those almanacs always call for brutal winters. It's basically just porn for those who love winter weather. A repeat of 2016-17 would be a warm winter for the US... especially the eastern half. But we'll have to see what happens with MJO and the Arctic. They were correct on Winter 2021-2022, it was COLD! I'm giving a "Meh" chance for them, I'm personally thinking that there is a higher-than-normal risk of a 2011-2012 repeat (Very Mild Winter) this year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted August 15, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted August 15, 2022 31 minutes ago, Iceresistance said: They were correct on Winter 2021-2022, it was COLD! I'm giving a "Meh" chance for them, I'm personally thinking that there is a higher-than-normal risk of a 2011-2012 repeat (Very Mild Winter) this year. Well, when you forecast a cold winter every winter, you're gonna get it right once in a while. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
voltwaffle Posted August 15, 2022 Share Posted August 15, 2022 Looks like our first big cooldown is on the way. Tuesday high is 102, Wednesday high is 87. Most likely going to hover around the mid-high 80's until October after that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NebraskaEgg Posted August 15, 2022 Share Posted August 15, 2022 Haven't posted in a while but it's been hot and sunny for... weeks now here in Nebraska. Don't even remember when we last had a storm. At this point I'd take any rain over what we've been having. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted August 15, 2022 Share Posted August 15, 2022 10 hours ago, voltwaffle said: Looks like our first big cooldown is on the way. Tuesday high is 102, Wednesday high is 87. Most likely going to hover around the mid-high 80's until October after that. Well, that one was very unexpected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted August 15, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted August 15, 2022 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted August 15, 2022 Share Posted August 15, 2022 1 hour ago, ClicheVortex2014 said: Proves that the Splitting Supercells does not only happen here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FortySixAnd32 Posted August 15, 2022 Share Posted August 15, 2022 19 minutes ago, Iceresistance said: Proves that the Splitting Supercells does not only happen here. If a supercell splits in Saskatchewan does anyone really know if it happened? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted August 15, 2022 Share Posted August 15, 2022 4 hours ago, FortySixAnd32 said: If a supercell splits in Saskatchewan does anyone really know if it happened? 😕 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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