Michelle Posted July 27, 2022 Share Posted July 27, 2022 (edited) Holy RAIN! from .32 to .94 in about 20 minutes. Rate of 1.91 in/hr. Since 6:50, which is half an hour ago, I have gotten over an inch. Up to 1.39". Edited July 27, 2022 by Michelle 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted July 28, 2022 Moderators Share Posted July 28, 2022 Guess I’ll put this here 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cincysnow Posted July 28, 2022 Share Posted July 28, 2022 6 minutes ago, StretchCT said: Guess I’ll put this here Was just reading about that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cincysnow Posted July 28, 2022 Share Posted July 28, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted July 28, 2022 Moderators Share Posted July 28, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cincysnow Posted July 28, 2022 Share Posted July 28, 2022 Unreal in Eastern Ky 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow____ Posted July 28, 2022 Share Posted July 28, 2022 Just now seeing what occurred in Kentucky overnight. Prayers out to them. Devastating flooding this week. Hope no loss of life is reported. Also back out in St.Louis I’m seeing right now they are being hit hard with more rain. Prayers to them as well. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted July 29, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted July 29, 2022 (edited) Unfortunately the focus of the rain is very slowly shifting south. E KY still has more rain coming. Really continuing the theme of 2022: mother nature slams one specific region and none other for a while. Hopefully that theme knocks off when the hurricane season wakes up. Interesting that this moisture can be traced back to Monsoonal moisture, as the above map suggests. Edited July 29, 2022 by ClicheVortex2014 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cincysnow Posted July 29, 2022 Share Posted July 29, 2022 (edited) 43 minutes ago, ClicheVortex2014 said: Unfortunately the focus of the rain is very slowly shifting south. E KY still has more rain coming. Really continuing the theme of 2022: mother nature slams one specific region and none other for a while. Hopefully that theme knocks off when the hurricane season wakes up. Interesting that this moisture can be traced back to Monsoonal moisture, as the above map suggests. That Bermuda HP tho… edit: i should have elaborated more, it is my understanding, one of the main reasons for the flooding, is the Bermuda HP throwing/steering moisture back towards the frontal boundary. Edited July 29, 2022 by Cincysnow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted July 29, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted July 29, 2022 (edited) 8 minutes ago, Cincysnow said: That Bermuda HP tho… edit: i should have elaborated more, it is my understanding, one of the main reasons for the flooding, is the Bermuda HP throwing/steering moisture back towards the frontal boundary. You're right and that's a big player, but this wouldn't have happened if it weren't for the slow-moving Great Lakes trough. That created a brutal stationary front where moisture pools up. Get that, in addition to the Bermuda high/Monsoonal connection, and you get disasters. Edited July 29, 2022 by ClicheVortex2014 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cdfarabaugh Posted July 29, 2022 Share Posted July 29, 2022 2 hours ago, ClicheVortex2014 said: Unfortunately the focus of the rain is very slowly shifting south. E KY still has more rain coming. Really continuing the theme of 2022: mother nature slams one specific region and none other for a while. Hopefully that theme knocks off when the hurricane season wakes up. Interesting that this moisture can be traced back to Monsoonal moisture, as the above map suggests. Aren't stationary fronts in the south a normal mainstay of summer though? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted July 29, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted July 29, 2022 (edited) 39 minutes ago, Cdfarabaugh said: Aren't stationary fronts in the south a normal mainstay of summer though? Not really because that implies a persistent cool airmass over the Midwest/OV/GL since we're north of the stationary front. I wish that was the case, but it's not normally the case. I think you're thinking of summertime popup storms over the Southeast. Those aren't related to any front, really. They just occur due to very strong daytime heating. Edited July 29, 2022 by ClicheVortex2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted July 29, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted July 29, 2022 (edited) This is the last type of cloud I have yet to see in person 😞 ...aside from lenticular. But that's not really fair. Edited July 29, 2022 by ClicheVortex2014 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted July 29, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted July 29, 2022 Wonder if we'll hit 100 for the first time in a decade. Probably not. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted July 29, 2022 Moderators Share Posted July 29, 2022 (edited) Been wondering there wasn't more warning for EKY and WV. NAM3k was the only model that had rainfall that high. While we usually scoff at the qpf that the NAM3k puts out, I've seen several extreme events where it was pretty good at sniffing disasters out. Now maybe this wasn't exactly where the rain fell, but it did show potential for 13". The UKMET 12z run 7-26 also had WV with double digit rain, but none of the others did. Most were 3-4". just listening to the news in car and the reports are devastating. Entire farms gone, including livestock and farmers. Hopefully the farmers are just safe somewhere else. Edited July 29, 2022 by StretchCT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted July 29, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted July 29, 2022 (edited) 1 hour ago, StretchCT said: Been wondering there wasn't more warning for EKY and WV. NAM3k was the only model that had rainfall that high. While we usually scoff at the qpf that the NAM3k puts out, I've seen several extreme events where it was pretty good at sniffing disasters out. Now maybe this wasn't exactly where the rain fell, but it did show potential for 13". The UKMET 12z run 7-26 also had WV with double digit rain, but none of the others did. Most were 3-4". just listening to the news in car and the reports are devastating. Entire farms gone, including livestock and farmers. Hopefully the farmers are just safe somewhere else. WPC had the area in three straight days of moderate risks for flash flooding. Models might not have nailed it, but WPC certainly sensed something significant could happen. Dunno how HRRR did, but that's really the model that I'd expect to sense the possible catastrophe on a scale somewhat larger than local scale. Like, somewhere within several counties. There's actually still a moderate risk for flash flooding. Just a little bit further south. Edited July 29, 2022 by ClicheVortex2014 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted July 29, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted July 29, 2022 (edited) Here's a Wikipedia page for the EKY floods. Says 15 are confirmed dead, multiple others missing. I saw an article that said they expect the death count to at least double. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Eastern_Kentucky_floods Edited July 29, 2022 by ClicheVortex2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted July 29, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted July 29, 2022 (edited) Gonna call it a thread on the 31st. Yeah, there's a couple marginal risks for the next couple days, but we're entering a new pattern regime. We're in the season of non-stop marginal risks, so gotta call it an end at some point. Edited July 29, 2022 by ClicheVortex2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted July 30, 2022 Moderators Share Posted July 30, 2022 (edited) 5 hours ago, ClicheVortex2014 said: Here's a Wikipedia page for the EKY floods. Says 15 are confirmed dead, multiple others missing. I saw an article that said they expect the death count to at least double. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Eastern_Kentucky_floods Just saw 25 reported by NYT Eastern KY flooded in 2020 too. https://www.weather.gov/jkl/20200206_floodsnow And 2021 https://www.usatoday.com/videos/news/weather/2021/03/03/eastern-kentucky-communities-survey-damage-widespread-flooding/6890032002/ actually twice in 2021 https://www.wtvq.com/heavy-rain-saturday-caused-flooding-in-some-eastern-ky-counties/ Edited July 30, 2022 by StretchCT 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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