StormfanaticInd Posted July 23, 2022 Share Posted July 23, 2022 14 minutes ago, NWOhioChaser said: Close but no cigar for Toledo I'm afraid. It's going to be close for me. Might just miss to the North Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted July 23, 2022 Share Posted July 23, 2022 70mph winds being reported in northern Indiana Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted July 23, 2022 Share Posted July 23, 2022 (edited) New outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1250 AM CDT Sat Jul 23 2022 Valid 231200Z - 241200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE UPPER MIDWEST AND SOUTHERN GREAT LAKES... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are expected today across parts of the Upper Midwest and southern Great Lakes. Damaging winds with gusts over 75 miles per hour, a few tornadoes and large to very large hail will be possible with the more intense storms. ...Upper Midwest/Southern Great Lakes... An upper-level trough, currently evident in water vapor imagery over the northern Rockies, will move east-southeastward across the northern Plains today. At the surface, a low and an associated cold front will move southeastward from central South Dakota into the mid Missouri Valley. Ahead of the front, a moist airmass will be in place from the mid Missouri Valley eastward into the southern Great Lakes, with surface dewpoints in the upper 60s to mid 70s F. As the trough approaches the northern Plains this morning, scattered convective initiation should take place across the central Dakotas. Convective coverage is expected to expand as a cluster organizes into a line around midday. This line is forecast to move east-southeastward across southern Minnesota and northern Iowa by early afternoon, and then eastward across southern and central Wisconsin during the mid to late afternoon. RAP and NAM forecast soundings near the strongest instability in southern Wisconsin at 21Z have MLCAPE in the 4000 to 5000 J/kg range, with 0-6 km shear of 30 to 35 knots. Directional shear is evident at low levels with strong speed shear present at mid levels. The RAP has lapse rates near 8.0 C/km throughout the forecast sounding, suggesting that any line that can become organized will likely produce wind damage. The best potential for damaging winds, including gusts above 70 knots, is forecast from southeast Minnesota and northwest Iowa eastward across southern Wisconsin, near the axis of strongest instability. Supercells that develop within the linear MCS could also produce large hail, with hailstones greater than 2 inches in diameter possible. A few tornadoes may also occur with bow echoes or rotating cells that form within the line. The linear MCS is forecast to continue to move east-southeastward into southern Lower Michigan by early evening. Although model forecasts have a greater spread concerning instability in southern Lower Michigan, it seems likely that moderate instability will be in place. This should enable the linear MCS to remain severe as it crosses southern Lower Michigan, where wind damage will be likely. Edited July 23, 2022 by StormfanaticInd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted July 23, 2022 Share Posted July 23, 2022 (edited) Edited July 23, 2022 by StormfanaticInd 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted July 23, 2022 Share Posted July 23, 2022 9 hours ago, snowlover2 said: Newest HRRR run. It seems to be overdoing the temps because i don't see any chance of it hitting 100 here. Maybe could have the MCS too far north because of that? Had a feeling the HRRR was full of it. Would think a watch here should be coming at any time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted July 23, 2022 Share Posted July 23, 2022 (edited) 1 hour ago, NWOhioChaser said: Close but no cigar for Toledo I'm afraid. I am at Findlay. I am hearing several low rumbles of thunder. I saw a cloud-to-cloud lightning. There are just a couple of sprinkles now, which is why I could step outside and try to watch lightning. It's the only lightning/thunder I've experienced in Ohio since 2015 or earlier. Severe warned storm is missing me. Edited July 23, 2022 by Chinook Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bman10 Posted July 23, 2022 Share Posted July 23, 2022 I love derecho season 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
junior Posted July 23, 2022 Share Posted July 23, 2022 Beautiful MCS. May already have reached its peak but I’m sure the gust front will be windy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted July 23, 2022 Share Posted July 23, 2022 Ohio is having a crazy year with these mcs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted July 23, 2022 Share Posted July 23, 2022 toledo express: Quote METAR: KTOL 231425Z 24036G45KT 4SM VCTS -RA SCT048 SCT060 BKN075 24/17 A2994 RMK AO2 PK WND 24045/1425 LTG DSNT SE-W RAB07 PRESFR P0000 T02390167 The radar is filled with rain and lightning. As opposed to last Saturday, when there was not lightning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted July 23, 2022 Share Posted July 23, 2022 Just about here. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted July 23, 2022 Share Posted July 23, 2022 13 minutes ago, StormfanaticInd said: Ohio is having a crazy year with these mcs Its out of control 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted July 23, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted July 23, 2022 Looking north 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted July 23, 2022 Share Posted July 23, 2022 Winds really kicked up here maybe 40mph or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
junior Posted July 23, 2022 Share Posted July 23, 2022 (edited) Nice little shelf cloud at work Edited July 23, 2022 by junior 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted July 23, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted July 23, 2022 Holy crap 6 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted July 23, 2022 Share Posted July 23, 2022 Quote Mesoscale Discussion 1562 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1000 AM CDT Sat Jul 23 2022 Areas affected...portions of central/eastern OH Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 488... Valid 231500Z - 231630Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 488 continues. SUMMARY...Strong to severe gusts will continue across central Ohio, with some severe threat persisting downstream into southeast OH through early afternoon. DISCUSSION...Ongoing convection moving from northeast into central Ohio this morning will continue to pose a threat for strong gusts of 40-55 kt the next few hours. Most recently, a measured gust of 45 kt was noted at KTOL. The downstream environment is characterized by temperatures quickly warming into the 80s amid upper 60s/lower 70s dewpoints. This is resulting in moderate instability across central Ohio into southern OH. A well developed cold pool is noted behind the line of convection, and this should continue to support an organized line of storms as they track southeast. Some severe threat will likely persist downstream from WW 488, and a new watch will likely be needed for portions of southeast OH within the hour. ..Leitman.. 07/23/2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gerb131 Posted July 23, 2022 Share Posted July 23, 2022 it’s trying. awaiting in zzv. filtered sun thru high clouds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted July 23, 2022 Share Posted July 23, 2022 (edited) Backyard view...NW Delaware County Edited July 23, 2022 by MesoscaleBanding 2 1 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gerb131 Posted July 23, 2022 Share Posted July 23, 2022 beautiful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gerb131 Posted July 23, 2022 Share Posted July 23, 2022 cld be shortest watch ever if they get it out lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted July 23, 2022 Share Posted July 23, 2022 I dont get very good wind readings around here because of trees, but station just recorded the highest gust ever in 4 years at 40MPH which was probably more like 60-70. Which if you consider weather the last 4 years to just make a new "peak", impressive. The dock has become dislodged from the bottom and sideways. Each side with about 300 lbs of cinder blocks 6 feet down. So now I've got an all time precip and wind this month 🥴 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Medina Posted July 23, 2022 Share Posted July 23, 2022 Morning storms are always garbo 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted July 23, 2022 Admin Share Posted July 23, 2022 Driving from Columbus to Cincinnati. Wheeeee! 2 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Michelle Posted July 23, 2022 Share Posted July 23, 2022 Local tv station saying there a lots of power outages. Between wind and lightning I don't doubt it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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