Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted July 7, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted July 7, 2022 "Possible tornado" would be a good designation if it weren't for the debris signature. Anyway... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow____ Posted July 7, 2022 Share Posted July 7, 2022 4 hours ago, ClicheVortex2014 said: If you're talking about 3/2/12 then that EF3 struck south of there, near Moscow. If you're not talking about 3/2/12, no idea. 😂 That is it and yes it was Moscow 😂😂. At least I actually got a date right for once… that’s just one of those days you can’t forget though even with my memory. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted July 7, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted July 7, 2022 (edited) 16 minutes ago, Snow____ said: That is it and yes it was Moscow 😂😂. At least I actually got a date right for once… that’s just one of those days you can’t forget though even with my memory. I've mentioned this numerous times but same... that day was the reason I got into Meteorology. I was at the Blue Ash satellite campus of UC that afternoon. I won't ever forget that day. I remember playing Call of Duty that morning listening to the radio and Randi Rico (WLWT) talking about how she doesn't like to sound the alarm but that day was the real deal. Gave me goosebumps when I heard that. I probably should've just skipped classes that day but I'm thankful I didn't. I probably wouldn't be on the course I'm on right now. -- NAM is really sneaking an event on Friday for Indiana/Ohio. Appears to be MCS/MCV forced. This is currently not backed by HRRR. We'll have to wait a bit and see what the rest of the CAMs say. Edited July 7, 2022 by ClicheVortex2014 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted July 7, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted July 7, 2022 Interesting twist Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted July 7, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted July 7, 2022 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted July 7, 2022 Share Posted July 7, 2022 Tornado yesterday classified as EF2. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted July 7, 2022 Share Posted July 7, 2022 Finally looking like rain here in Indy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Central Illinois Posted July 7, 2022 Moderators Share Posted July 7, 2022 1.8" here this morning.... models showing another complex of storms rolling through late tonight bringing possibly another 1-5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted July 7, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted July 7, 2022 I have a feeling about tomorrow. MCV in the area (lots of vorticity), at least decent directional shear, got moisture, speed shear is borderline. I'm expecting a 5% tornado area for tomorrow. Should have a sneaky supercell, possibly tornadic. The only thing yesterday and tomorrow have in common is the fact they're both influenced by a MCV. Other than that, everything seems more favorable tomorrow than yesterday except for instability. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted July 7, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted July 7, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted July 8, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted July 8, 2022 (edited) The speed and track of the overnight MCS will be very important for tomorrows severe weather. I wouldn't trust any run until tomorrow morning but here's 0z HRRR Anyway, I was thinking a broken line of storms would form in central IN/west-central OH and move south or southeast. This run shows... not that. Edited July 8, 2022 by ClicheVortex2014 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted July 8, 2022 Share Posted July 8, 2022 0z HRRR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FortySixAnd32 Posted July 8, 2022 Share Posted July 8, 2022 5 minutes ago, snowlover2 said: 0z HRRR Explodes over Indiana!!! Wow!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted July 8, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted July 8, 2022 (edited) Well... I'm *almost* to the point where I'm ready for the fall/winter severe season. Usually I get nostalgic about wind shear-involved severe weather events in August or September. Edited July 8, 2022 by ClicheVortex2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted July 8, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted July 8, 2022 (edited) Sounding for Montgomery county. Ignoring the lack of mlcape, decent sounding for July. Solid directional shear, but the hodograph suggests splitting supercells. A localized maximum of the LLJ would support a localized enhanced tornado threat. The theme of tomorrow: favorable directional shear for supercells. Speed shear marginal. Hodograph favorable for splitting supercells. Localized maximum of low-level shear holds greatest tornado potential. Most likely in the vicinity of the Ohio River. Edited July 8, 2022 by ClicheVortex2014 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted July 8, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted July 8, 2022 (edited) MCS responsible for tomorrows severe weather has developed NE of Kansas City. Very quickly took on a bow echo. Edited July 8, 2022 by ClicheVortex2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted July 8, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted July 8, 2022 (edited) Current severe warnings with latest slight risk. Looks like the MCS will end up taking the northern track. If true, that would keep the severe threat south *and* north of the Ohio River. If the MCS crosses the Ohio River between Cincinnati and Louisville, the afternoon severe threat should stay generally south of the Ohio River. Edited July 8, 2022 by ClicheVortex2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted July 8, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted July 8, 2022 Slight risk/2% tornado shifted southwest 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Michelle Posted July 8, 2022 Share Posted July 8, 2022 So the higher risk has moved south of us? I'm not sure why but this confuses me, lol. ☕ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bman10 Posted July 8, 2022 Share Posted July 8, 2022 5 hours ago, ClicheVortex2014 said: Slight risk/2% tornado shifted southwest Boooo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow____ Posted July 8, 2022 Share Posted July 8, 2022 On 7/6/2022 at 10:34 PM, ClicheVortex2014 said: I've mentioned this numerous times but same... that day was the reason I got into Meteorology. I was at the Blue Ash satellite campus of UC that afternoon. I won't ever forget that day. I remember playing Call of Duty that morning listening to the radio and Randi Rico (WLWT) talking about how she doesn't like to sound the alarm but that day was the real deal. Gave me goosebumps when I heard that. I probably should've just skipped classes that day but I'm thankful I didn't. I probably wouldn't be on the course I'm on right now. -- NAM is really sneaking an event on Friday for Indiana/Ohio. Appears to be MCS/MCV forced. This is currently not backed by HRRR. We'll have to wait a bit and see what the rest of the CAMs say. I was at college that day. I remember how freaking warm it was that day for March 2nd. Everyone was sitting outside eating their lunches in between classes and I was on the forum keeping up with the weather because a high risk is just so rare I couldn’t not be trying to sneak peaks all day. It was such a memorable weather day for anyone who was interested in weather at that time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow____ Posted July 8, 2022 Share Posted July 8, 2022 I’d imagine the severe chances are low North of the River today. Looks to be one of those wet days though. Down by Lexington looks to be getting it pretty good right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted July 8, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted July 8, 2022 The MCS making a dive into Kentucky really messed things up for us 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted July 8, 2022 Admin Share Posted July 8, 2022 I know y’all get jazzed for severe events but at this point I’ll take regular ol’ summer thunderstorms and rain once a week lol. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow____ Posted July 8, 2022 Share Posted July 8, 2022 3 minutes ago, BuckeyeGal said: I know y’all get jazzed for severe events but at this point I’ll take regular ol’ summer thunderstorms and rain once a week lol. Funny you say that because as much as I love trying to get a severe storm, I also love a good mcs event… speaking of which I feel like we don’t get those as often as we used to. I miss just get a nice mcs and hearing low rumbles of thunder for hours during the night. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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