Jump to content

July 1-21, 2022 | Ring of Fire/MCS Outbreak Sequence


ClicheVortex2014

Recommended Posts

  • Meteorologist
17 minutes ago, junior said:

I haven't seen such modeled highs in the plains like this in a long time. Been a hot summer for sure.

This has been a brutal summer but it really puts 2012 into perspective. We have yet to see 100 degrees... but 2012 saw several days above 100.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

15 hours ago, ClicheVortex2014 said:

This has been a brutal summer but it really puts 2012 into perspective. We have yet to see 100 degrees... but 2012 saw several days above 100.

Was 2012 as humid? I just remember that was a brutal hot July in PA. 
 

Looks like we’re 2 degrees above the average DP vs 2012 so far. 

July 2022
17501218-6051-4127-B5EA-A8ABAC64D860.thumb.png.087cd29058682a8ae6dc763565ab3049.png
 

July 2012CBE7A043-23F6-4386-B071-717C066F3B35.thumb.png.d6b277cdf0d73aad166a00fb0fab4aa2.png

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Marginal risk verified in this neck of the woods.  It rained pretty torrentially for 30ish mins. And then a second batch followed about 20 mins after. A nice strip of 1-1.5" which was much needed for the farmers. Drove home from work and got a good picture of the storms moving east.

Screenshot_20220713-135146_RadarScope.jpg

20220713_163350.jpg

  • LIKE 4
Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Meteorologist
6 hours ago, TLChip said:

Was 2012 as humid? I just remember that was a brutal hot July in PA. 
 

Looks like we’re 2 degrees above the average DP vs 2012 so far. 

July 2022
17501218-6051-4127-B5EA-A8ABAC64D860.thumb.png.087cd29058682a8ae6dc763565ab3049.png
 

July 2012CBE7A043-23F6-4386-B071-717C066F3B35.thumb.png.d6b277cdf0d73aad166a00fb0fab4aa2.png

From what I remember, dew points were in the upper 60s/lower 70s. So pretty average. But of course it didn't feel average with heat like that.

From what I understand, 2011 was a more humid version of 2012. I'd say this summer has been a less hot version of 2011. We did hit 80 degree dew point for the first time since 2011, after all.

  • THANKS 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Meteorologist

Way out in fantasy range but this would be a ridiculous major heat wave. 4 straight days of 100+ degree temps for Cincy. On a totally not as impressive note, SE SD reaches 121 degrees.

floop-gfs-2022071400.sfctmax_024h.conus.gif

Edited by ClicheVortex2014
  • YUCK 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

15 hours ago, ClicheVortex2014 said:
Apocalyptic clouds in 3 major cities

 

That's a nice post with those amazing time lapse movies! Here is the radar for Washington DC as the [maybe derecho] came into town. Weirdly, I think the "mothership" terminology should be used for the wall clouds.

 

2022_07_12_2200z_comp_radar_washington.jpg

Edited by Chinook
  • LIKE 1
  • THUMBS UP 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Meteorologist
3 hours ago, Chinook said:

That's a nice post with those amazing time lapse movies! Here is the radar for Washington DC as the [maybe derecho] came into town. Weirdly, I think the "mothership" terminology should be used for the wall clouds.

 

2022_07_12_2200z_comp_radar_washington.jpg

Got close with significant wind reports but I doubt it met the length or width requirement. I know it was a tornadic supercell an hour or two before it bowed out... that's why I mentioned the width thing.

image.png.070db9c56a7eff5a98b79f14168468e9.png

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Meteorologist

The next 2 days will be ones to watch for a surprise event. You almost always gotta pay attention when you see parameters like this in summer, regardless of whether the models show convection (unless there's a strong cap). SPC just added a marginal risk for Illinois in the second day 2 outlook.

Since supercell composite is so often shown in the Spring, it's always important to note that this is EHI. It'd be really bad if this was supercell composite.

image.thumb.png.e64c27acd11202b01d0600366798c6ab.png

image.png

Edited by ClicheVortex2014
Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Meteorologist

Sounding for north-central IL for tomorrow. This would be dangerous. But I don't really trust the NAM here.. at least not yet.

image.thumb.png.b26381f8cc5c8fc8b8526e3176780ea5.png

 

HRRR does show a Minnesota nocturnal MCS. The scattered convection ahead of it is unusual, but the presence of the MCS is enough reason (IMO) to assume there'll be afternoon/evening renewed severe convection somewhere in E IA/N MO/IL. HRRR doesn't show that right now, but I've seen too many MCSs lead to "unexpected" renewed convection.

image.thumb.png.59fb76aa5b6cbb29bb104cdd5d3fdb3b.png

Edited by ClicheVortex2014
Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Meteorologist

That's some crazy detail. Can clearly see the multiple vortices. 

Also really displays how much time and detail Dr. Fujita spent on this tornado. That's insanely precise.

Edit: I believe the original map was pencil drawn so this person just added colors to it. Helps a lot.

 

Edited by ClicheVortex2014
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...