StormfanaticInd Posted July 11, 2022 Share Posted July 11, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted July 11, 2022 Share Posted July 11, 2022 Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0238 PM CDT Mon Jul 11 2022 Valid 112000Z - 121200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE MIDWEST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms capable of wind damage will be possible across parts of Illinois into Indiana and Lower Michigan today. Isolated strong-severe wind gusts and hail may also occur from Missouri west-southwestward into the south-central High Plains and across other parts of the upper Great Lakes. ...Discussion... The prior outlook/reasoning continues to reflect current conditions and future expectations with respect to convective/severe weather. As such, aside from minor tweaks to the 10% thunder area in a few locations, no changes appear to be necessary at this time. ..Goss.. 07/11/2022 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1125 AM CDT Mon Jul 11 2022/ ...Central IL to Lower MI late this afternoon into early tonight... A midlevel shortwave trough over MN will progress east-southeastward over the Great Lakes by tonight, as an associated/weak surface cold front moves southeastward into KS/MO/IL/MI. An overnight MCS has largely dissipated across northern IL this morning (aside from a few elevated storms over southern Lake MI), but lingering cloud debris will slow surface heating into early afternoon. By mid-late afternoon, pockets of surface heating and eastward advection of low-level moisture along the cold front will result in sufficient destabilization and weakening of the cap to allow thunderstorm development from northern IL across northern IN into southern Lower MI by this evening. There is still some uncertainty regarding the timing and corridor of storm initiation, given lingering clouds and modest forcing for ascent. If storms do form from IL into Lower MI by this evening along the front and/or differential heating zone, moderate buoyancy and 50 kt midlevel flow will support a threat for damaging outflow gusts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted July 11, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted July 11, 2022 (edited) Texas is likely experiencing rolling blackouts today as their power grid is failing (again)... average temperature for DFW has been 90 degrees this month. That includes low temps. Widespread 100+ degrees across the Southern Plains right now. Includes almost all of Texas and Oklahoma. Edited July 11, 2022 by ClicheVortex2014 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1816 Posted July 11, 2022 Share Posted July 11, 2022 Almost everyone except for people who live in small towns has seen that civil authorities have not kept infrastructure up to match population increases. It's still sad to see it affect so many people in Texas both now and in the winter. In my neck of the woods its mainly the interstate, which is a huge corridor for truck traffic. Partially due to congestion and partially due to insufficient travel lanes for the amount of traffic and partially due to shitty drivers, fatalities are a sad occurrence almost daily. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted July 11, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted July 11, 2022 (edited) 26 minutes ago, 1816 said: Almost everyone except for people who live in small towns has seen that civil authorities have not kept infrastructure up to match population increases. It's still sad to see it affect so many people in Texas both now and in the winter. In my neck of the woods its mainly the interstate, which is a huge corridor for truck traffic. Partially due to congestion and partially due to insufficient travel lanes for the amount of traffic and partially due to shitty drivers, fatalities are a sad occurrence almost daily. I saw someone on Twitter say they set their thermostat for 78 degrees. In that heat, it must be miserable. Not to mention the obvious tragedy of homeless people having to experience this heat. I don't want to turn this political but with midterms coming up and the fact that this is the second time the grid failed **this year**, you'd think they would've looked into the issues and aggressively fixed it the first time. Obviously, the first time was in winter and this is the opposite season, but I can't imagine the flaws were unapparent/unsolvable when you have the resources state governments have. Edited July 11, 2022 by ClicheVortex2014 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted July 11, 2022 Share Posted July 11, 2022 Pretty decent environment today but will anything develop? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1816 Posted July 11, 2022 Share Posted July 11, 2022 57 minutes ago, ClicheVortex2014 said: I saw someone on Twitter say they set their thermostat for 78 degrees. In that heat, it must be miserable. Not to mention the obvious tragedy of homeless people having to experience this heat. I don't want to turn this political but with midterms coming up and the fact that this is the second time the grid failed **this year**, you'd think they would've looked into the issues and aggressively fixed it the first time. Obviously, the first time was in winter and this is the opposite season, but I can't imagine the flaws were unapparent/unsolvable when you have the resources state governments have. Cliche I'm not an expert or anything but short of building more nuclear power plants and transmission lines im not sure what could be done. Both of those take more than money, they require a lot of time and land as well as a shitload of money. Transmission infrastructure in particular is borderline impossible now without eminent domain, although I imagine Texas is one of the best possible places for something like that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
i70split Posted July 11, 2022 Share Posted July 11, 2022 29 minutes ago, StormfanaticInd said: Pretty decent environment today but will anything develop? I sure hope so. I noticed that the forcast for tonight upped shower, storm probabilities to 50% . Really need the rain here around Central Indiana. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted July 12, 2022 Share Posted July 12, 2022 13 minutes ago, 1816 said: Cliche I'm not an expert or anything but short of building more nuclear power plants and transmission lines im not sure what could be done. Both of those take more than money, they require a lot of time and land as well as a shitload of money. Transmission infrastructure in particular is borderline impossible now without eminent domain, although I imagine Texas is one of the best possible places for something like that. America desperately needs to update its infrastructure but unfortunately politics will get in the way. I'm afraid it is going to take a catastrophic system failure before we really do anything about this problem 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted July 12, 2022 Share Posted July 12, 2022 2 minutes ago, i70split said: I sure hope so. I noticed that the forcast for tonight upped shower, storm probabilities to 50% . Really need the rain here around Central Indiana. Fingers crossed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWOhioChaser Posted July 12, 2022 Share Posted July 12, 2022 9 minutes ago, StormfanaticInd said: America desperately needs to update its infrastructure but unfortunately politics will get in the way. I'm afraid it is going to take a catastrophic system failure before we really do anything about this problem I'm afraid I agree. Nothing will get done until its' too late and then and only then can we actually do something...but not until the duopoly plays out their theatrics. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted July 12, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted July 12, 2022 (edited) 43 minutes ago, 1816 said: Cliche I'm not an expert or anything but short of building more nuclear power plants and transmission lines im not sure what could be done. Both of those take more than money, they require a lot of time and land as well as a shitload of money. Transmission infrastructure in particular is borderline impossible now without eminent domain, although I imagine Texas is one of the best possible places for something like that. 29 minutes ago, StormfanaticInd said: America desperately needs to update its infrastructure but unfortunately politics will get in the way. I'm afraid it is going to take a catastrophic system failure before we really do anything about this problem I agree with both of you. I don't know about what can be done, but I'm not a politician and it's not like they don't have the resources to get something done. It's all about politics, and unfortunately the people suffer. Edited July 12, 2022 by ClicheVortex2014 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted July 12, 2022 Share Posted July 12, 2022 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted July 12, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted July 12, 2022 Slightly unusual event today. Still no changes to the day 1 risk area implying the event will be post-sunset. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted July 12, 2022 Share Posted July 12, 2022 28 minutes ago, ClicheVortex2014 said: Slightly unusual event today. Still no changes to the day 1 risk area implying the event will be post-sunset. 🙄 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWOhioChaser Posted July 12, 2022 Share Posted July 12, 2022 Always gotta be post sunset with our setups these days...😩 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted July 12, 2022 Share Posted July 12, 2022 If a storm does develop it will be in a favorable environment to go severe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWOhioChaser Posted July 12, 2022 Share Posted July 12, 2022 (edited) Who woulda thunk first tor warning would be up there? Not me. Looks like mostly elevated. Edited July 12, 2022 by NWOhioChaser Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted July 12, 2022 Share Posted July 12, 2022 Bust. Who's ready for winter? ☃️😁 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted July 12, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted July 12, 2022 Severe warning in Alaska 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted July 12, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted July 12, 2022 35 minutes ago, StormfanaticInd said: Bust. Who's ready for winter? ☃️😁 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted July 12, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted July 12, 2022 Pretty clear what region will be impacted in the next 10 days 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWOhioChaser Posted July 12, 2022 Share Posted July 12, 2022 Did the mean ridge retrograde a bit? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted July 12, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted July 12, 2022 8 hours ago, NWOhioChaser said: Did the mean ridge retrograde a bit? Yeah a bit. Should build east a little bit but looks like we'll be under northwest flow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted July 12, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted July 12, 2022 oh boy 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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