Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted June 13, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted June 13, 2022 Just now, Neoncyclone said: Silver lining is that the MCS does come through to the north just several hours later on this run I'm not sure I want to mess with this setup either way given the heat wave coming. I'd prefer to not be without AC this week. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neoncyclone Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 Just now, ClicheVortex2014 said: I'm not sure I want to mess with this setup either way given the heat wave coming. I'd prefer to not be without AC this week. Yeah, that's one thing almost all of us are going to get regardless, lots of heat. I'm not excited. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWOhioChaser Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 Anybody's game really. Just really nice to track NW flow events again. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 0z FV3 generally similar to HRRR but more explosive as usual. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted June 13, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted June 13, 2022 Ok South Dakota Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted June 13, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted June 13, 2022 An absolute monster might be about to happen 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 0z FV3. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted June 13, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted June 13, 2022 (edited) Don't wanna go out on a limb here but this might be a not good situation Looks like there's a secondary meso/tornado circulation just southwest of the monster. Edited June 13, 2022 by ClicheVortex2014 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 0z NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted June 13, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted June 13, 2022 (edited) 0z HRRR wasn't just a one-and-done crazy solution... which is unlikely in the first place... but 01z backs up the idea presented by 0z. Not that well-defined of a MCV, but there's certainly 500mb support. Those of us in SW OH who have followed severe weather for years knows what usually happens when you have convection in E IA in the mid-late morning in a NW flow ring of fire setup. Edited June 13, 2022 by ClicheVortex2014 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 0z 3K NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted June 13, 2022 Admin Share Posted June 13, 2022 Jym Ganahl just showed this system coming through at sunset tomorrow.. but most models are showing early morning Tuesday. What the heck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted June 13, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted June 13, 2022 (edited) 6 minutes ago, BuckeyeGal said: Jym Ganahl just showed this system coming through at sunset tomorrow.. but most models are showing early morning Tuesday. What the heck. I think TV meteorologists have access their own exclusive model or something. I saw a model posted by my friend this afternoon and it matched up with none of the models we have access to. I've noticed this before. Edited June 13, 2022 by ClicheVortex2014 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 NSSL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted June 13, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted June 13, 2022 Very scary 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 And another one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 6 minutes ago, StormfanaticInd said: NSSL Rest of it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 5 minutes ago, ClicheVortex2014 said: Very scary That looks intense Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 Just now, snowlover2 said: Rest of it. General theme seems to be multiple severe mcs for tomorrow. Hopefully there are no serious power outages. That could make for a very uncomfortable week with this heat coming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 After those 0z CAM's, i'd be pretty shocked if the slight risk wasn't expanded south again maybe into N KY at the very least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted June 13, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted June 13, 2022 1 minute ago, StormfanaticInd said: General theme seems to be multiple severe mcs for tomorrow. Hopefully there are no serious power outages. That could make for a very uncomfortable week with this heat coming We had a scare here a couple hours ago. AC wasn't working randomly. My room already ran like 4 degrees warmer than the rest of the house. Dunno what you call it but turned all the electricity of the house off and on and it started working again. I was afraid I was gonna go 4 straight days of sweating my ass off while trying to sleep. More than usual, anyway. 2 minutes ago, snowlover2 said: After those 0z CAM's, i'd be pretty shocked if the slight risk wasn't expanded south again maybe into N KY at the very least. Agreed. After all, this is why we were kept in the marginal risk. I still have questions about tomorrow though... should be answered by the time I wake up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 18 minutes ago, ClicheVortex2014 said: Very scary Looks like it did produce at one point. Quote PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD 756 PM MDT SUN JUN 12 2022 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0750 PM TORNADO 8 NE PHILIP 44.13N 101.55W 06/12/2022 HAAKON SD FIRE DEPT/RESCUE TORNADO REPORTED BY VOLUNTEER FIRE FIGHTER Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted June 13, 2022 Admin Share Posted June 13, 2022 17 minutes ago, StormfanaticInd said: General theme seems to be multiple severe mcs for tomorrow. Hopefully there are no serious power outages. That could make for a very uncomfortable week with this heat coming Yes.. just weird that Jym showed the first wave but said it’d be fine after that around here. I do not want to deal with another derecho-like system. Especially with the approaching heat. Go away. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted June 13, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted June 13, 2022 (edited) Radar beam is looking at this storm at around 7200 feet above ground so this isn't a good representation of what's going on at the surface. But it's an extremely chaotic situation and an EF2+ could develop very quickly. Edited June 13, 2022 by ClicheVortex2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 4 minutes ago, ClicheVortex2014 said: Radar beam is looking at this storm at around 7200 feet above ground so this isn't a good representation of what's going on at the surface. But it's an extremely chaotic situation and an EF2+ could develop very quickly. Gross! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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