junior Posted June 11, 2022 Share Posted June 11, 2022 (edited) The cells in IN look like they're riding some boundary. Also appear to be little rotating cells. Maybe a funnel report or two. Edited June 11, 2022 by junior Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted June 12, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted June 12, 2022 Looks like the supercell lived and is trying again 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted June 12, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted June 12, 2022 sure enough 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hassaywx1223 Posted June 12, 2022 Share Posted June 12, 2022 2 minutes ago, ClicheVortex2014 said: sure enough They were just about to leave tv coverage too 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted June 12, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted June 12, 2022 Weak debris signature with broad rotation 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted June 12, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted June 12, 2022 3 minutes ago, Hassaywx1223 said: They were just about to leave tv coverage too They jinxed it. It's their fault Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neoncyclone Posted June 12, 2022 Share Posted June 12, 2022 Almost like it's tethered to the gust front 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hassaywx1223 Posted June 12, 2022 Share Posted June 12, 2022 Is it anticyclonic? Looks like it on radar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted June 12, 2022 Share Posted June 12, 2022 Now confirmed. Quote Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Topeka KS 713 PM CDT Sat Jun 11 2022 KSC061-149-161-197-120030- /O.CON.KTOP.TO.W.0025.000000T0000Z-220612T0030Z/ Geary-Riley-Wabaunsee-Pottawatomie- 713 PM CDT Sat Jun 11 2022 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 PM CDT FOR EAST CENTRAL GEARY...SOUTHEASTERN RILEY...NORTHWESTERN WABAUNSEE AND SOUTHWESTERN POTTAWATOMIE COUNTIES... At 713 PM CDT, a confirmed tornado was located 5 miles southeast of Tuttle Creek Lake, moving south at 45 mph. HAZARD...Damaging tornado and two inch hail. SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. Locations impacted include... Manhattan and St. George. This includes Interstate 70 between mile markers 312 and 324. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted June 12, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted June 12, 2022 (edited) 7 minutes ago, Neoncyclone said: Almost like it's tethered to the gust front That's beautiful. But that's a pretty classic rear flank gust front. Obviously related to the rear flank downdraft. Very good visualization of how supercell tornadoes work. Edited June 12, 2022 by ClicheVortex2014 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted June 12, 2022 Share Posted June 12, 2022 Quote BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Topeka KS 726 PM CDT Sat Jun 11 2022 The National Weather Service in Topeka has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Southeastern Geary County in east central Kansas... Southeastern Riley County in northeastern Kansas... Northeastern Morris County in east central Kansas... Southwestern Wabaunsee County in east central Kansas... South central Pottawatomie County in northeastern Kansas... * Until 800 PM CDT. * At 725 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located near Manhattan, moving south at 50 mph. HAZARD...Tornado and golf ball size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. * Locations impacted include... Manhattan, Alta Vista and Dwight. This includes Interstate 70 between mile markers 307 and 320. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted June 12, 2022 Share Posted June 12, 2022 82mph winds reported near Keats KS. Quote Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Topeka KS 733 PM CDT Sat Jun 11 2022 KSC061-127-149-161-197-120100- /O.CON.KTOP.TO.W.0026.000000T0000Z-220612T0100Z/ Geary-Riley-Morris-Wabaunsee-Pottawatomie- 733 PM CDT Sat Jun 11 2022 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT FOR SOUTHEASTERN GEARY...SOUTHEASTERN RILEY...NORTHEASTERN MORRIS... SOUTHWESTERN WABAUNSEE AND SOUTH CENTRAL POTTAWATOMIE COUNTIES... At 731 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located 8 miles northwest of Volland, moving south at 40 mph. HAZARD...Tornado and ping pong ball size hail. 80 mph wind gusts are possible even outside of any tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. At 719 a trained spotter reported an 82 mph wind gust 3 miles south of Keats. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. Locations impacted include... Manhattan, Alta Vista and Dwight. This includes Interstate 70 between mile markers 307 and 320. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted June 12, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted June 12, 2022 Insanely well-defined supercell but it looks outflow-dominant. Seems NWS/SPC knew that, even if a supercell maintained, it was likely it would be like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hassaywx1223 Posted June 12, 2022 Share Posted June 12, 2022 Sure is beautiful though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted June 12, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted June 12, 2022 Doubt we'll know the tornadoes true strength but I prefer it that way. Keep the tornadoes rural but observed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted June 12, 2022 Share Posted June 12, 2022 Raining here now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted June 12, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted June 12, 2022 (edited) Severe warning issued 35 miles ahead of the MCS. The warning expires in 50 mins but says the MCS is moving a 45 mph. Math is kinda awkward there. Sounds like they expect the MCS to make it to the end of the severe warning before the warning expires. Haven't noticed if that's a common thing... I always assumed it was normal to have the warning expire before the end of the warning. As usual, I'm not doubting NWS' training/knowledge, it's more about me apparently not noticing things before. Or there's just more to it than I know. Edit: ooh, this is in ICT's CWA. @Ingyball? Edit2: now that I do the math, the MCS will only be out of the CWA for 2 miles by the time the warning expires. So I'm sure it's more about seeing if it maintains intensity... if it does, then there'll be an overlapping warning before the current one expires. So this was a bit of a learning experience for me... out loud 😂 Wish I would've kept it to myself before I do the math but I can no longer delete my own posts. 😞 That saved me from myself more times than I wish to admit. Edited June 12, 2022 by ClicheVortex2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted June 12, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted June 12, 2022 (edited) 22 minutes ago, snowlover2 said: Raining here now. Some cells to our northwest have weak mid-level rotation. Wasn't expecting that. Edited June 12, 2022 by ClicheVortex2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted June 12, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted June 12, 2022 (edited) 0z ILN sounding says there's no reason to not believe we could have a mini-supercell. Deep-layer shear is there, directional shear is there, and weak low-level winds and tall/skinny instability suggests mini supercells. Edited June 12, 2022 by ClicheVortex2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted June 12, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted June 12, 2022 (edited) Monday... holy shit Edited June 12, 2022 by ClicheVortex2014 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted June 12, 2022 Share Posted June 12, 2022 0z HRRR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted June 12, 2022 Share Posted June 12, 2022 1 minute ago, ClicheVortex2014 said: Tuesday... holy shit You mean Monday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted June 12, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted June 12, 2022 2 minutes ago, snowlover2 said: You mean Monday? Yeah I corrected it shortly after you quoted. Hard to keep track of days when you don't have a regular work schedule Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FortySixAnd32 Posted June 12, 2022 Share Posted June 12, 2022 9 minutes ago, ClicheVortex2014 said: 0z ILN sounding says there's no reason to not believe we could have a mini-supercell. Deep-layer shear is there, directional shear is there, and weak low-level winds and tall/skinny instability suggests mini supercells. When is this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted June 12, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted June 12, 2022 (edited) 2 minutes ago, FortySixAnd32 said: When is this? That sounding was as of 2 hours ago Edited June 12, 2022 by ClicheVortex2014 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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