Cincysnow Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 39 minutes ago, ClicheVortex2014 said: I think we had 80 degree dew points in SW OH back in June 2013, but I don't remember it happening since. And this is a milestone you don't forget (for a while, anyway, apparently) CVG has officially recorded 80 degree dew points for 3 straight hours. 106 degree heat index. Its like diving into a hot bowl of soup, current temp/dew point/feels like imby: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 man 2 visits here in 1 week 😀 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
junior Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 There is some attempt at organized spinning with the IN cluster but not much taking off so to speak. And we've seen this before where you get one monster supercell(one in WI) that starts the MCS rodeo... we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted June 13, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted June 13, 2022 9 years and 1 day ago... I remember hanging out in my garage with my childhood friend waiting for this storm at like 3am. It never came, obviously, but still. Good memory. Now some of the same areas are being targeted again. This fits in very well with derecho climatology 'derecho alley' in the summer 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWsnowhio Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 Just now, ClicheVortex2014 said: This fits in very well with derecho climatology 'derecho alley' in the summer Indeed. When I saw this on the Day 3 Outlook a couple days ago, my Spidey Senses started tingling. Distinct "Ring of Fire" SE-diving derecho pattern there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
junior Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 Is it me or does the MCV over Lake Michigan have an eye? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 19 minutes ago, ClicheVortex2014 said: Dayton is now under a moderate risk. Wasn't expecting this. Still not really expecting much. Barely south of the moderate but shouldn't matter. Just think at this time yesterday it was just marginal. 😆 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted June 13, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted June 13, 2022 6 minutes ago, snowlover2 said: Barely south of the moderate but shouldn't matter. Just think at this time yesterday it was just marginal. 😆 Oh shoot, you're right. I was counting northeast from what I thought was Hamilton county... but the solid hatching line threw me off. I was counting from Butler county. Technically, probabilities are valid at 25 miles from a point. So by technicality this would include Dayton, but probably not me. But you know how MCSs are... it could go straight down the moderate risk, but it could easily go just outside of the moderate risk either way. The MCS responsible for the moderate risk is still hours from reaching there. I think we might be able to recover even if we get hit by the Indiana mess. No shortage of moisture and EML availability to advect back in. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gerb131 Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 dropping in from zzv weather going to weather. just feels like storms 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted June 13, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted June 13, 2022 SPC talking about adding more severe watches with this evolving MCS. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OxfordOh_ Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 Absolutely pouring here in Oxford now tons of lighting. & I just watched something get struck, Sounded like a gunshot made me jump lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted June 13, 2022 Admin Share Posted June 13, 2022 3k NAM shows a bow echo line coming in across Ohio between 3a-7a (north to south). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 ILN issuing warnings left and right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted June 13, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted June 13, 2022 Updated ILN disco. .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/... Convection is already developing and starting to move east/southeast into the forecast area this afternoon. Into the evening, Severe Thunderstorm Watch #354 is in effect for parts of the region (west central Ohio, parts of the Whitewater/Miami Valley, the Tri-State, parts of south central Ohio and northeast Kentucky). Extreme instability is in place across this area (4000-5000 J/kg MLCAPE). We are waiting to see if the convection will form a cold pool and propagate southeast with the 0-3 km shear. If this occurs, damaging winds will be possible. Still, can not rule out large hail and an isolated tornado if bowing structures develop. In addition, pwats over 2+ inches will result in efficient heavy rainfall which could cause some flooding issues. This activity, per some CAMs, should exit the region between 8 pm and 10 pm. Note: A Heat Advisory is in effect for the far west/southwest. This may be cancelled early should thunderstorms appreciably cool the low levels. For tonight, models continue to indicate that yet another convectively enhanced mid level disturbance will drop southeast into the eastern Great Lakes. At the same time, a warm front will try to pivot northeast. As a low level jet gets going, it will try to feed unstable air into this feature. This may result in an MCS or two (depending on CAM solutions). Right now, our northern and northeast zones will have a threat of more severe weather should these features move through. Damaging winds will once again be the primary threat (could be significant). Still, can not rule out large hail and an isolated tornado. Additionally, efficient heavy rainfall will be possible that could result in flooding issues. We will have to watch as some models try to develop some training convection on the back of the MCSs as we head into Tuesday morning. This may clip our northeast zones. It will be very warm and muggy with lows in the lower to mid 70s. Not to be outdone, ILN upgraded all of us to excessive heat warning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted June 13, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted June 13, 2022 (edited) Clearly some convective overturning in Indiana as a result of the... well, convection. It'll be interesting and telling to see how they recover. Plenty of time given the main severe threat is still in southern Wisconsin and move into Lake Michigan. Edited June 13, 2022 by ClicheVortex2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWOhioChaser Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 Okay, I'm paying a little more attention now. Can't remember last time we were under a moderate... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ElectricStorm Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 Pretty rare for you guys up there to get a moderate risk... Good luck, hopefully you won't get anything too nasty. I'll be watching from the 110+ heat index down here... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted June 13, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted June 13, 2022 Severe warning for us in Dayton. 70 mph winds. Please don't knock out the power. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 Just now, ClicheVortex2014 said: Severe warning for us in Dayton. 70 mph winds. Please don't knock out the power. and quarter sized hail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
junior Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 (edited) Cute little MCS in SW OH. Edited June 13, 2022 by junior Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted June 13, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted June 13, 2022 (edited) 3 minutes ago, junior said: Cute little MCS in SW OH. Pretty nasty looking honestly. Charging my phone right now just in case. I think Butler and Warren county will get the worst of it based on recent radar trends. With how strong these storms are looking, I'll be surprised if we get a round 2 this evening. Edited June 13, 2022 by ClicheVortex2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted June 13, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted June 13, 2022 I’m feeling pretty good that Dayton is gonna get spared from the worst of it. Should focus more on Cincinnati metro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ak9971 Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 1 minute ago, ClicheVortex2014 said: I’m feeling pretty good that Dayton is gonna get spared from the worst of it. Should focus more on Cincinnati metro. Agreed. Warren county and south is going to be rough though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted June 13, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted June 13, 2022 That's some serious lightning. Yikes! If another tree in my yard gets struck, I swear... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 1 minute ago, ClicheVortex2014 said: That's some serious lightning. Yikes! If another tree in my yard gets struck, I swear... Looks like you are about to get smacked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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