snowlover2 Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 ILN is doing a special balloon launch shortly. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cperry29 Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 Compared to current conditions, HRDPS may have the best handle on the storms so far. Dunno what that means going forward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted June 13, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted June 13, 2022 Probabilities Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 Latest HRRR does have the cells in IL/IN but die off quickly for some reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cperry29 Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, cperry29 said: Compared to current conditions, HRDPS may have the best handle on the storms so far. Dunno what that means going forward. Here’s the rest of the run FWIW. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 Hearing some good thunder. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 I've seen this movie before in central Ohio. The early storms will dive just to the south of us, and the overnight storms will miss to the northeast. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 Think these storms are getting ready to dive southeast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted June 13, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted June 13, 2022 (edited) 2 minutes ago, StormfanaticInd said: Think these storms are getting ready to dive southeast They can take their time. Still destabilizing here. Only like 5000 sbcape. 🚮 Edited June 13, 2022 by ClicheVortex2014 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neoncyclone Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 18z hrrr is a bit more allowing for semi-discrete storms 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted June 13, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted June 13, 2022 Explosive. I guess you can contribute that to 7000 sbcape and -13 to -14 LI 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted June 13, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted June 13, 2022 (edited) I think we had 80 degree dew points in SW OH back in June 2013, but I don't remember it happening since. And this is a milestone you don't forget (for a while, anyway, apparently) CVG has officially recorded 80 degree dew points for 3 straight hours. 106 degree heat index. Edited June 13, 2022 by ClicheVortex2014 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow____ Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 8 minutes ago, ClicheVortex2014 said: I think we had 80 degree dew points in SW OH back in June 2013, but I don't remember it happening since. And this is a milestone you don't forget (for a while, anyway, apparently) CVG has officially recorded 80 degree dew points for 3 straight hours. 106 degree heat index. Just was coming in here to say 80F dew points are rare and aren’t seen often… already well exceeding the HI values for today. Lunken airport readiness are even more impressive. Not looking forward to the rest of the week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TLChip Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 These two cells look like they might spin, moving extremely fast though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted June 13, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted June 13, 2022 A supercell developed in the wake of the MCV in southern WI 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neoncyclone Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 Luckily It's riding the edge of parameters, in a generally not very favorable area for tornadoes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bman10 Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 16 minutes ago, ClicheVortex2014 said: I think we had 80 degree dew points in SW OH back in June 2013, but I don't remember it happening since. And this is a milestone you don't forget (for a while, anyway, apparently) CVG has officially recorded 80 degree dew points for 3 straight hours. 106 degree heat index. ILN just mentioned first time since July 2011 CVG saw 80° DP. Crazy!!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neoncyclone Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 Just now, Neoncyclone said: Luckily It's riding the edge of parameters, in a generally not very favorable area for tornadoes. It is slowly moving towards better parameter space as well as the parameter space should strengthen over the next few hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TLChip Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWsnowhio Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 Updated Day 1 Outlook should be coming anytime now from SPC. They've been busy putting out a couple Mesoscale Discussions. Will they have enough info at this time to pinpoint a Moderate Risk? The main show may just be starting to figure itself out up in Wisconsin... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted June 13, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted June 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, NWsnowhio said: Updated Day 1 Outlook should be coming anytime now from SPC. They've been busy putting out a couple Mesoscale Discussions. Will they have enough info at this time to pinpoint a Moderate Risk? The main show may just be starting to figure itself out up in Wisconsin... I've gotta wonder what impact the Indiana storms will have on the main threat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted June 13, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted June 13, 2022 Easy to see why these storms in Indiana are struggling to maintain intensity. At least for now. Directional shear explains why we've seen brief mesocyclones. 5300 sbcape tho Legit 7000 sbcape sounding at ILX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWsnowhio Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 (edited) There it is...45 hatched for wind...and mention of the D word. Edited June 13, 2022 by NWsnowhio 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted June 13, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted June 13, 2022 (edited) I think it’s starting to organize a bit. Hope this makes sense Edited June 13, 2022 by ClicheVortex2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted June 13, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted June 13, 2022 Dayton is now under a moderate risk. Wasn't expecting this. Still not really expecting much. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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