StormfanaticInd Posted June 8, 2022 Share Posted June 8, 2022 (edited) Cell south of me is looks interesting Edited June 8, 2022 by StormfanaticInd 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted June 8, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted June 8, 2022 Warm front is over Cincinnati right now. The supercell in extreme SE IN appears to have turned right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted June 8, 2022 Share Posted June 8, 2022 Oops guess that was 9pm CDT so 10m here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted June 8, 2022 Share Posted June 8, 2022 howdy weather fam, feel like a Tornado Watch warrants popping in to say hi 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ak9971 Posted June 8, 2022 Share Posted June 8, 2022 2 minutes ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said: howdy weather fam, feel like a Tornado Watch warrants popping in to say hi also here as well, threat snuck up on me didnt even know there was a decent threat today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted June 8, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted June 8, 2022 Most favorable conditions are still back in southern Indiana. The round impacting SW OH isn't the main threat. A big question I have is about HRRR's handling of the convection currently impacting Cincinnati metro. i.e., it doesn't have it. Since it's being forced by a warm front passing through and there's more instability south of the front, I don't think it'll negatively impact later. But we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted June 8, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted June 8, 2022 Some wild hooks in Indiana Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted June 8, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted June 8, 2022 Getting worried about the supercells just south of the warm front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
junior Posted June 8, 2022 Share Posted June 8, 2022 (edited) I knew we'd see some type of watch with a slight neg tilting vort. Quite a few right moving cells, rather small though... as if none can really take an alpha dominance look yet. Edited June 8, 2022 by junior Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted June 8, 2022 Share Posted June 8, 2022 I just wanna hear some good thunder....seems like around here its been just monsoon garden variety storms all season. Like actual monsoon rain 😂 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted June 8, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted June 8, 2022 No shortage of mesocyclones but they seem to be struggling to strengthen. Seems the skinny instability profile may have verified at least for now. Definitely not the time (yet) to put our guard down given the unseasonably strong deep-layer shear and favorable directional shear. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Michelle Posted June 8, 2022 Share Posted June 8, 2022 I'll let my guard down around 10PM. Haha 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted June 8, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted June 8, 2022 (edited) Slight risk maintained... rightfully so given the way things are going. We're lucky instability is seasonably weak. DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0300 PM CDT WED JUN 08 2022 VALID 082000Z - 091200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE OHIO VALLEY/MIDWEST...AND FROM THE MISSISSIPPI DELTA VICINITY EAST TO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS... ..SUMMARY SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST ACROSS PARTS OF THE OHIO VALLEY/MIDWEST THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING, AND FROM THE MISSISSIPPI DELTA REGION EASTWARD TO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS. ..DISCUSSION THE ONGOING FORECAST REMAINS LARGELY REFLECTIVE OF THE CURRENT SCENARIO, THUS NOT REQUIRING SUBSTANTIAL CHANGES WITH RESPECT TO THE ONGOING OUTLOOK AREAS. GREATEST SEVERE RISK IN THE SHORT TERM REMAINS OVER THE MID OHIO VALLEY REGION, WHERE STRONG STORMS -- INCLUDING A FEW ROTATING CELLS -- CONTINUE TO EVOLVE. ELSEWHERE, SOME SEVERE RISK WILL CONTINUE FROM THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY EASTWARD INTO THE CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES, WITH STORMS NEAR AND AHEAD OF THE REMNANT MCV NOW CROSSING ARKANSAS. MEANWHILE, THE MRGL RISK OVER THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS VICINITY HAS BEEN REDUCED IN SIZE, AS SUBSTANTIAL CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW HAS PROGRESSED SOUTHWESTWARD TO FAR WEST TEXAS AND CENTRAL/SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO. Edited June 8, 2022 by ClicheVortex2014 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted June 8, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted June 8, 2022 Bunch of organized looking supercells in Indiana. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow____ Posted June 8, 2022 Share Posted June 8, 2022 Popping in to say hi. It’s been very active lately with these storms on the daily. I’m loving it. Though we could stand to dry out a little lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted June 8, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted June 8, 2022 Finally starting to see storms strengthen. The cell with the tornado warning is definitely warranted. Might be a tornado on the ground there. But the recent trend is concerning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted June 8, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted June 8, 2022 All sun here in Dayton after some brief rain Mesoscale Discussion 1092 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0323 PM CDT Wed Jun 08 2022 Areas affected...Central/southeast Indiana into southwest Ohio Concerning...Tornado Watch 333... Valid 082023Z - 082230Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 333 continues. SUMMARY...The severe weather threat continues across WW 333. The potential for tornadoes continues across the watch area, but may be highest across southeast Indiana over the next 1-2 hours. DISCUSSION...Numerous supercells are being monitored in regional WSR-88D imagery from IN and OH. Most of these cells have displayed somewhat paltry updraft intensities with only modest cloud top cooling and transient lightning bursts. However, most of these cells have displayed storm organization with weak, but persistent, mesocyclones. Additionally, a few hail reports have been noted with stronger cells, including a couple of 1.75 inch hail report. Storm distribution appears sufficiently widespread to continue to favor discrete modes across central/southeast IN into southwest OH for the next couple of hours. Latest surface observations show the warm front has lifted into central IN/OH, and MLCAPE values continue to increase across the warm sector to the south of the front (up to 1000-2000 J/kg per recent mesoanalysis estimates). Regional VWPs and ACARS soundings continue to sample veering winds in the lowest few kilometers, which is fostering 100-200 m2/s2 ESRH. These trends suggest that the overall severe threat will persist across the watch area. Portions of southeast IN will likely see the highest tornado potential for the next 1-2 hours as relatively stronger low-level winds in the vicinity of the surface low boost low-level SRH. Recent STP estimates bear out this idea, and several discrete supercells within this environment may realize this potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted June 8, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted June 8, 2022 Apparently a confirmed tornado in Indiana Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bman10 Posted June 8, 2022 Share Posted June 8, 2022 1 minute ago, ClicheVortex2014 said: Apparently a confirmed tornado in Indiana 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ak9971 Posted June 8, 2022 Share Posted June 8, 2022 1 minute ago, ClicheVortex2014 said: Apparently a confirmed tornado in Indiana which is interesting because radar presentation isnt great to be honest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted June 8, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted June 8, 2022 Gonna go out on a limb and suggest flights at CVG are grounded Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted June 8, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted June 8, 2022 Pretty strong mid-level meso shown via KILN radar but CVG radar suggests it hasn't translated to the low-levels at least yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cincysnow Posted June 8, 2022 Share Posted June 8, 2022 Decent rates, 3”/hr 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted June 8, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted June 8, 2022 (edited) NKY supercell is definitely strengthening Edit: as soon as I posted this, I was about to edit that it might get a tornado warning soon. Alas, tornado warning just got issued. Edited June 8, 2022 by ClicheVortex2014 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Michelle Posted June 8, 2022 Share Posted June 8, 2022 Tornado warned Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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