snowlover2 Posted June 1, 2022 Share Posted June 1, 2022 0z HRRR doesn't seem to impressed with tomorrow around here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted June 1, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted June 1, 2022 21 minutes ago, snowlover2 said: 0z HRRR doesn't seem to impressed with tomorrow around here. Wouldn't read much into it for tonight. Lots of uncertainty when MCSs are involved. Does look like debris clouds could be a party pooper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted June 1, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted June 1, 2022 ????????????/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted June 1, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted June 1, 2022 SW OK doing some things Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted June 1, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted June 1, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist Ingyball Posted June 1, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted June 1, 2022 Ended up being pretty big flash flood event after the severe weather. We got 3.9" of rain at KICT with 2.45" coming within an hour. Ended up with cars getting stuck and people needing to be rescued. AFAIK not injuries or deaths at this time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted June 1, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted June 1, 2022 (edited) Well that's a new one. Day 2 slight risk for Dayton, downgraded to marginal risk in day 1 (definitely not new), but RE-introduced with the 16z update. Edit: nice overlap of the two most recent updates Edited June 1, 2022 by ClicheVortex2014 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted June 1, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted June 1, 2022 (edited) Got a weak area of vorticity in Missouri. Starting to show in the form of a MCV-like swirl on satellite. Should be where the severe threat is most focused for the Lower OV. Edited June 1, 2022 by ClicheVortex2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted June 1, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted June 1, 2022 Darn Mesoscale Discussion 1001 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0158 PM CDT Wed Jun 01 2022 Areas affected...Much of the Lower Ohio Valley Region. Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 011858Z - 012030Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...A few multicell storm clusters are possible this afternoon and evening with a threat for damaging winds and marginally severe hail. A watch appears unlikely, but trends will be monitored. DISCUSSION...Storms have started to develop in an uncapped airmass across the Lower Ohio Valley. Weak mid-level lapse rates in the region (5.5 to 6 C/km) is a primary limiting factor to more robust updraft development in an environment with 1250 to 1500 J/kg MLCAPE (per SPC mesoanalysis). These storms are forming on the periphery of the stronger mid-level flow with effective shear around 20 to 30 knots which could support some multicell clusters. However, the poor lapse rate environment amid only marginally favorable shear should limit the overall severe weather threat from this activity. Therefore, a few strong to severe storms may occur, but the threat is not expected to be widespread enough to warrant a watch. ..Bentley/Kerr.. 06/01/2022 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...ILN...LMK...OHX...IND...PAH...ILX...MEG... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted June 1, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted June 1, 2022 Storms are failing in SW OH. That's fine. Shear is gonna get a little better with time... don't wanna use the instability now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted June 1, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted June 1, 2022 Mesoanalysis says we have ~30 knots effective shear with more to our west but directional shear is non-existent. Shame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted June 1, 2022 Share Posted June 1, 2022 this is a GIF loop of a splitting cell near Carlsbad, NM (I have not attached the file because it is over 1 megabyte) https://i.imgur.com/s3KD9bi.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted June 1, 2022 Share Posted June 1, 2022 It's been so hard to even get regular thunderstorms. On to the next one🙄 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted June 1, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted June 1, 2022 Nice little downpour here. Unfortunately this might be it for me though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWOhioChaser Posted June 1, 2022 Share Posted June 1, 2022 (edited) Everything initiated south of me...again. Next. That being said, some intense reflectivity with the severe warned storm to my south. Edited June 1, 2022 by NWOhioChaser 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted June 1, 2022 Share Posted June 1, 2022 Storms seem to be exploding in southern Indiana Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
junior Posted June 1, 2022 Share Posted June 1, 2022 Gonna miss MBY to my northwest. May get a drizzle here. Atleast there's some thunder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted June 1, 2022 Share Posted June 1, 2022 Warning #2 for Tipp City. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted June 1, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted June 1, 2022 (edited) Second severe warning for this area today smh. Convection is rapidly strengthening across the area in response to the area of vorticity/faux-MCV approaching. Currently in central IN. Edited June 1, 2022 by ClicheVortex2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted June 1, 2022 Share Posted June 1, 2022 Area of storms from Indy south still to come. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bman10 Posted June 1, 2022 Share Posted June 1, 2022 Jealous of my buddy in tipp. They got it nice so far. We had some stuff at my work in Huber Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted June 1, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted June 1, 2022 Not expecting that severe warning to continue east to Dayton but hopefully we can get some thunder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted June 1, 2022 Share Posted June 1, 2022 4 minutes ago, ClicheVortex2014 said: Not expecting that severe warning to continue east to Dayton but hopefully we can get some thunder. You never know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted June 1, 2022 Share Posted June 1, 2022 Looks like they dropped the E IN warning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OxfordOh_ Posted June 1, 2022 Share Posted June 1, 2022 Liberty Indiana 20 minutes ago! 4 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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