StormfanaticInd Posted May 31, 2022 Share Posted May 31, 2022 Today could have definitely been much worse. With the amount of shear and instability present we definitely dodged a bullet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted May 31, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted May 31, 2022 (edited) The Raxpol one is insane. The massive, broad inflow is mindblowingly large. Some anticyclonic/satellite tornadoes next to the thicc tornado. Looks like the closest one was EF2+ Edited May 31, 2022 by ClicheVortex2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted May 31, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted May 31, 2022 Won’t rule out some panhandle/W OK magic today. Should be some crazy supercells. Already 4500 sbcape contour and it’s only 2:30pm central Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted May 31, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted May 31, 2022 If anyone tries to tell you yesterday busted: And this is before NWS offices finish surveying. There’s gonna be more than 5 tornado reports. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted May 31, 2022 Share Posted May 31, 2022 ILN latest for tomorrow. Quote .SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/... An active convective day is expected on Wednesday, with the potential for some severe weather. The majority of model guidance is suggesting a well-defined diurnal minimum in precipitation during the morning hours. A slow-moving cold front will be progressing into northern Indiana after 12Z, and then into the ILN CWA by late afternoon. As this cold front will be decreasing its forward speed, it seems unlikely to actually clear through the forecast area tomorrow (this may not occur until Thursday). Nonetheless, the environment ahead of the front will be favorable for thunderstorm development. There will be 1000-2000 J/kg of SBCAPE (per 12Z SPC HREF), initially capped, but with a 700mb warm layer eroding by early afternoon. With a well-mixed boundary layer, and some dry air in the mid levels, the instability profile supports a risk of strong to severe winds. Mid-level lapse rates are also sufficient for some deep storm cores, which may also help to develop a limited hail threat. This event will be somewhat lacking, however, in both shear and forcing. 0-6km bulk shear will be around 25-35 knots, with very little in the way of low-level shear at all. This shear is also quite unidirectional, generally out of a westerly / west-southwesterly direction. Also, the storms are expected to develop well ahead of the cold front. This suggests that the overall storm mode may remain somewhat disorganized, so the severe threat may be isolated/episodic within a broader swath of sub-severe / strong storms. If cold pools are able to congeal and propagate forward, that may enhance the wind threat in localized cases. The end result is that there is enough instability for fairly widespread storm development during the diurnal peak tomorrow, and at least a few severe storms will probably occur, with a primary threat for damaging winds. There is some hail threat, very little tornado threat, and any flooding should be localized to training cells. This does not look like a particularly significant event, so the SPC Day 2 SLGT risk (for a decent chunk of the ILN CWA) appears warranted. High temperatures look to be a few degrees below today (Tuesday) with lower 80s in the northwest and upper 80s in the southeast. As it may remain sunny well into the day in the far southern / southeastern ILN CWA, a few readings near 90 are possible. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted May 31, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted May 31, 2022 (edited) 45 minutes ago, snowlover2 said: ILN latest for tomorrow. Should be a solid summer-like tstorm day with some shear. Not expecting anything crazy, for sure. We really need systems to come back down to our area. Low pressures have been too far south, west, or north. Just hasn't favored our area yet. Edited May 31, 2022 by ClicheVortex2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ElectricStorm Posted May 31, 2022 Share Posted May 31, 2022 Severe watch up for OK. I'm like 3 miles outside of it lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted May 31, 2022 Share Posted May 31, 2022 Tornado warning in S KS and nasty hailers in the SE TX panhandle area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted May 31, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted May 31, 2022 (edited) Wichita... magic? Edited May 31, 2022 by ClicheVortex2014 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neoncyclone Posted May 31, 2022 Share Posted May 31, 2022 (edited) 5 minutes ago, ClicheVortex2014 said: Wichita... magic? Even scarier supercell entering Oklahoma rn. Edited May 31, 2022 by Neoncyclone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted May 31, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted May 31, 2022 (edited) 22 minutes ago, snowlover2 said: Tornado warning in S KS and nasty hailers in the SE TX panhandle area. These cells aren't messing around. Confirmed tornado per weather spotters. Technically panhandle magic because it's currently in the Texas panhandle for about 2 minutes Edited May 31, 2022 by ClicheVortex2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neoncyclone Posted May 31, 2022 Share Posted May 31, 2022 Witchita supercell looks incredible now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted May 31, 2022 Share Posted May 31, 2022 Quote BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Amarillo TX 559 PM CDT Tue May 31 2022 The National Weather Service in Amarillo has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Southeastern Collingsworth County in the Panhandle of Texas... * Until 645 PM CDT. * At 559 PM CDT, a tornado producing storm was located over Dodson, or 7 miles northwest of Hollis, moving east at 25 mph. HAZARD...Damaging tornado and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. * Locations impacted include... Dodson. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted May 31, 2022 Share Posted May 31, 2022 Still confirmed and barely moving. Quote Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Norman OK 606 PM CDT Tue May 31 2022 OKC057-312345- /O.CON.KOUN.TO.W.0049.000000T0000Z-220531T2345Z/ Harmon OK- 606 PM CDT Tue May 31 2022 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 PM CDT FOR WEST CENTRAL HARMON COUNTY... At 606 PM CDT, a confirmed tornado was located near Dodson, moving east at 10 mph. HAZARD...Damaging tornado and golf ball size hail. SOURCE...Weather spotters confirmed tornado. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. Locations impacted include... Hollis and McKnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted May 31, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted May 31, 2022 Appears the supercell south of it is strengthening rotation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted May 31, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted May 31, 2022 Wichita supercell is really having a day 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted May 31, 2022 Share Posted May 31, 2022 First a tornado and now a new cell with baseball sized hail. Quote BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Norman OK 625 PM CDT Tue May 31 2022 The National Weather Service in Norman has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Southern Harmon County in southwestern Oklahoma... * Until 715 PM CDT. * At 624 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 5 miles southwest of Dodson, moving east at 25 mph. THIS IS A DESTRUCTIVE STORM FOR NEAR AND WEST OF HOLLIS. HAZARD...Baseball size hail and 70 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be severely injured. Expect shattered windows, extensive damage to roofs, siding, and vehicles. * Locations impacted include... Hollis, Gould and McKnight. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Remain alert for a possible tornado! Tornadoes can develop quickly from severe thunderstorms. If you spot a tornado go at once into the basement or small central room in a sturdy structure. For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. && LAT...LON 3479 10000 3484 9974 3457 9971 3458 10000 TIME...MOT...LOC 2324Z 260DEG 22KT 3469 10007 TORNADO...POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...2.75 IN WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX WIND GUST...70 MPH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted May 31, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted May 31, 2022 Another supercell is poised to ride just south of the track of the Wichita tornadic supercell Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted June 1, 2022 Share Posted June 1, 2022 Tornado warning back in SW OK again. Quote Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Norman OK 658 PM CDT Tue May 31 2022 OKC057-010030- /O.CON.KOUN.TO.W.0050.000000T0000Z-220601T0030Z/ Harmon OK- 658 PM CDT Tue May 31 2022 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 PM CDT FOR CENTRAL HARMON COUNTY... At 657 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located 8 miles northwest of Gould, moving northeast at 25 mph. HAZARD...Tornado and baseball size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. This tornadic thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of central Harmon County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted June 1, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted June 1, 2022 I've made a thread for later this week into mid-June-ish fwiw. No specific event in mind, just a large-scale pattern that is more likely to be favorable for severe weather than not imo. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted June 1, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted June 1, 2022 Massive HP southeast of Wichita. Unfortunately, for now, ICT's 0z sounding isn't in yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWOhioChaser Posted June 1, 2022 Share Posted June 1, 2022 44 minutes ago, ClicheVortex2014 said: I've made a thread for later this week into mid-June-ish fwiw. No specific event in mind, just a large-scale pattern that is more likely to be favorable for severe weather than not imo. Let's hope one of the chances favors Lower Great Lakes region. We are due for some good storms! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted June 1, 2022 Share Posted June 1, 2022 Cell in TX with 3" hail reported by public. Quote Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Lubbock TX 811 PM CDT Tue May 31 2022 TXC045-010145- /O.CON.KLUB.SV.W.0123.000000T0000Z-220601T0145Z/ Briscoe TX- 811 PM CDT Tue May 31 2022 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 845 PM CDT FOR CENTRAL BRISCOE COUNTY... At 810 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Silverton, moving east at 45 mph. THIS IS A DESTRUCTIVE STORM FOR SILVERTON. HAZARD...Three inch hail and 60 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Public. IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be severely injured. Expect shattered windows, extensive damage to roofs, siding, and vehicles. Locations impacted include... Silverton, Caprock Canyon State Park, Quitaque and Mackenzie Reservoir. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. This storm is producing large hail. SEEK SHELTER NOW inside a sturdy structure and stay away from windows. && LAT...LON 3436 10146 3465 10146 3464 10100 3432 10104 TIME...MOT...LOC 0110Z 274DEG 41KT 3448 10127 THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...3.00 IN WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cincysnow Posted June 1, 2022 Share Posted June 1, 2022 8 minutes ago, ClicheVortex2014 said: Massive HP southeast of Wichita. Unfortunately, for now, ICT's 0z sounding isn't in yet. That inflow tho 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted June 1, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted June 1, 2022 6 minutes ago, NWOhioChaser said: Let's hope one of the chances favors Lower Great Lakes region. We are due for some good storms! Disappointing start to our severe season, but the start of our severe season is also our most dangerous in terms of tornadoes. Derecho season basically starts tomorrow and lasts through July. Our big events will be with embedded shortwaves in zonal flow and northwesterly flow events. I can't imagine we won't make it out of 2022 without a moderate risk. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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