Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted May 11, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted May 11, 2022 Absolutely disgusting. To be fair, it's really just a dry cold front. High today is almost what you'd expected in mid-July. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted May 11, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted May 11, 2022 Amazingly well defined MCV. I think we’re seeing a MCS start to form. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted May 11, 2022 Share Posted May 11, 2022 If it wasn't for that upper level low this week would have been crazy 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted May 11, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted May 11, 2022 Damn, we're already on GOES18? Feels like 16 just got launched 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted May 11, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted May 11, 2022 Possible cold pool developing north of Worthington, MN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted May 11, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted May 11, 2022 Tornado warning just north of that possible cold pool. Very strong low-level shear in the area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted May 11, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted May 11, 2022 Now that convection is organizing, starting to see expected results Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted May 11, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted May 11, 2022 (edited) Plenty of tornado potential in the north half of the MCS. Maybe those cells ahead of it, too, if they're surface-based. Edited May 11, 2022 by ClicheVortex2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist Ingyball Posted May 11, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted May 11, 2022 58 minutes ago, ClicheVortex2014 said: Damn, we're already on GOES18? Feels like 16 just got launched IIRC it fixed some issues with GOES-17 but we are already working on our next-gen satellites aiming for 2030s I think. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted May 11, 2022 Share Posted May 11, 2022 1 hour ago, ClicheVortex2014 said: Absolutely disgusting. To be fair, it's really just a dry cold front. High today is almost what you'd expected in mid-July. Looks like that Ohio pulled an Uno Reverse Card against the Cold Front! 😆 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted May 11, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted May 11, 2022 (edited) The MCV that developed from the storms in western Texas last night is basically going through cyclogenesis in Minnesota. You need surface convergence/divergence aloft or pre-existing vorticity... which is the case here in the form of the MCV... approaching a stationary front. Really not much different from your textbook cyclogenesis. It was a stationary front earlier but now you can clearly see a north-south oriented "cold front" which is more like an outflow boundary that's being used like a cold front. Right now we're in the open stage of cyclogenesis Edited May 11, 2022 by ClicheVortex2014 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted May 11, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted May 11, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted May 11, 2022 Share Posted May 11, 2022 this is a little difficult to pick out on radar Quote ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 PM CDT FOR WESTERN SIBLEY AND NORTHWESTERN NICOLLET COUNTIES... At 654 PM CDT, a confirmed tornado was located 6 miles southwest of Lafayette, or 7 miles north of New Ulm, moving northeast at 45 mph. HAZARD...Damaging tornado and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Weather spotters confirmed tornado near New Ulm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted May 12, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted May 12, 2022 Nasty situation for S MN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted May 12, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted May 12, 2022 Incredible shear at Minneapolis. Tornado threat is gonna continue for at least an hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ElectricStorm Posted May 12, 2022 Author Share Posted May 12, 2022 Whoa 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted May 12, 2022 Share Posted May 12, 2022 Quite the severe mcs ongoing right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted May 12, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted May 12, 2022 Would not like to be in the path of this system 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted May 12, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted May 12, 2022 And that's definitely a monster supercell embedded in the MCS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted May 12, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted May 12, 2022 (edited) 0z MPX is just slightly north of the warm front but damn, that shear. Surface observations show that mid-upper 60 degree dew points aren't far away from MPX now, which would be a huge improvement from this. Would greatly increase instability but I don't think there'd be much surface-based instability. Warm the temps by a few degrees and maybe. Edited May 12, 2022 by ClicheVortex2014 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted May 12, 2022 Share Posted May 12, 2022 Minneapolis is about to get rocked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted May 12, 2022 Share Posted May 12, 2022 So you are telling me this dent in the velocity is a supercell? Here's what I see: lots of rain and wind convergence at the squall, with 59 kts base velocity coming directly at the radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted May 12, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted May 12, 2022 (edited) 11 minutes ago, Chinook said: So you are telling me this dent in the velocity is a supercell? Here's what I see: lots of rain and wind convergence at the squall, with 59 kts base velocity coming directly at the radar. Not that it really matters, but there was a mesocyclone signature at 6000 feet, arguably up to 11k feet. You don't see that kind of reflectivity or velocity signature with non-supercells. First image is 6k feet, second 11k feet Edited May 12, 2022 by ClicheVortex2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted May 12, 2022 Share Posted May 12, 2022 Might lose the NWS-Minneapolis radar soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted May 12, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted May 12, 2022 Holy shit… welcome to MCS season I guess 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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